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An increasing number of politicians are relying on cheaper, easier to access technologies such as online social media platforms to communicate with their constituency. These platforms present a cheap and low-barrier channel of communication…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-08 Benson Tsz Kin Leung , Pinar Yildirim

We develop an equilibrium theory of attention and politics. In a spatial model of electoral competition where candidates have varying policy preferences, we examine what kinds of political behaviors capture voters' limited attention and how…

General Economics · Economics 2019-01-23 Li Hu , Anqi Li

Political polarization appears to be on the rise, as measured by voting behavior, general affect towards opposing partisans and their parties, and contents posted and consumed online. Research over the years has focused on the role of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Kiran Garimella , Tim Smith , Rebecca Weiss , Robert West

This paper models voters who invest effort to determine whether a particular claim relevant to their voting choices is correct. If a voter succeeds in determining whether the claim is correct, this information is shared via a social…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-22 Boris Ginzburg

Televised debates between presidential candidates are often regarded as the exemplar of persuasive communication. Yet, recent evidence from Le Pennec and Pons (2023) indicates that they may not sway voters as strongly as popular belief…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-13 Sung Jae Jun , Sokbae Lee

The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election unfolded within an information environment of unprecedented volatility, challenging citizens to navigate a torrent of rapidly evolving, often contradictory information while determining what to believe.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Kijung Lee

We study a model of electoral accountability and selection whereby heterogeneous voters aggregate incumbent politician's performance data into personalized signals through paying limited attention. Extreme voters' signals exhibit an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-04-05 Anqi Li , Lin Hu

It is believed that interventions that change the media's costs of misreporting can increase the information provided by media outlets. This paper analyzes the validity of this claim and the welfare implications of those types of…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-26 Federico Vaccari

We introduce a socially motivated extension of the voter model in which individual voters are also influenced by two opposing, fixed-opinion news sources. These sources forestall consensus and instead drive the population to a politically…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-27 Deepak Bhat , S. Redner

The potential for a large, diverse population to coexist peacefully is thought to depend on the existence of a ``shared reality:'' a public sphere in which participants are exposed to similar facts about similar topics. A generation ago,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Homa Hosseinmardi , Samuel Wolken , David M. Rothschild , Duncan J. Watts

This work analyses surprising elections, and attempts to quantify the notion of surprise in elections. A voter is surprised if their estimate of the winner (assumed to be based on a combination of the preferences of their social connections…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Sagar Massand , Swaprava Nath

Persistent inequalities in political knowledge are a central concern in political communication. We organize the mechanisms underlying the knowledge-gap literature by distinguishing between individual preconditions, structural features of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Roberto Ulloa , Tiedemann Leonard , Peter Selb , Celina Kacperski

Online platforms have transformed the way in which individuals access and interact with news, with a high degree of trust particularly placed in search engine results. We use web tracked behavioral data across a 2-month period and analyze…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-04-06 Roberto Ulloa , Celina Sylwia Kacperski

The outcome of an election depends not only on which candidate is more popular, but also on how many of their voters actually turn out to vote. Here we consider a simple model in which voters abstain from voting if they think their vote…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-01 Ekaterina Landgren , Jonas L. Juul , Steven H. Strogatz

Analyses of voting algorithms often overlook informational externalities shaping individual votes. For example, pre-polling information often skews voters towards candidates who may not be their top choice, but who they believe would be a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Yiling Chen , Jessie Finocchiaro

The outcomes of democratic elections rest on individuals' decision-making that is driven by their varying preferences and beliefs. Individuals may prefer consensus to gridlock, or gridlock to consensus, and information may be fractured via…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-29 Jonathan Engle , Bryce Morsky

The election control problem through social influence asks to find a set of nodes in a social network of voters to be the starters of a political campaign aiming at supporting a given target candidate. Voters reached by the campaign change…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Mohammad Abouei Mehrizi , Federico Corò , Emilio Cruciani , Gianlorenzo D'Angelo

I develop a rather simple agent-based model to capture a co-evolution of opinion formation, political decision making and economic outcomes. I use this model to study how societies form opinions if their members have opposing interests.…

General Economics · Economics 2021-11-19 Patrick Mellacher

The suggestions generated by most existing recommender systems are known to suffer from a lack of diversity, and other issues like popularity bias. As a result, they have been observed to promote well-known "blockbuster" items, and to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Bibek Paudel , Abraham Bernstein

This aim of this article is to explore the potential use of Wikipedia page view data for predicting electoral results. Responding to previous critiques of work using socially generated data to predict elections, which have argued that these…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-01-05 Taha Yasseri , Jonathan Bright
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