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Solomonoff unified Occam's razor and Epicurus' principle of multiple explanations to one elegant, formal, universal theory of inductive inference, which initiated the field of algorithmic information theory. His central result is that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Marcus Hutter

Optimal control of complex environments with robotic systems faces two complementary and intertwined challenges: efficient organization of sensory state information and far-sighted action planning. Because the reinforcement learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Abdullah Akgül , Gulcin Baykal , Manuel Haußmann , Mustafa Mert Çelikok , Melih Kandemir

This paper shows that the common method used for making predictions under uncertainty in A1 and science is in error. This method is to use currently available data to select the best model from a given class of models-this process is called…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Matthew Self , Peter Cheeseman

The development of a generalist agent capable of solving a wide range of sequential decision-making tasks remains a significant challenge. We address this problem in a cross-agent setup where agents share the same observation space but…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Niklas Höpner , David Kuric , Herke van Hoof

The algebraic intersection type unification problem is an important component in proof search related to several natural decision problems in intersection type systems. It is unknown and remains open whether the algebraic intersection type…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Andrej Dudenhefner , Moritz Martens , Jakob Rehof

Artificial general intelligence (AGI) may herald our extinction, according to AI safety research. Yet claims regarding AGI must rely upon mathematical formalisms -- theoretical agents we may analyse or attempt to build. AIXI appears to be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Michael Timothy Bennett

Existing approaches to Theory of Mind (ToM) in Artificial Intelligence (AI) overemphasize prompted, or cue-based, ToM, which may limit our collective ability to develop Artificial Social Intelligence (ASI). Drawing from research in computer…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Nikolos Gurney , David V. Pynadath , Volkan Ustun

A fundamental task in AI is providing performance guarantees for predictions made in unseen domains. In practice, there can be substantial uncertainty about the distribution of new data, and corresponding variability in the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Kasra Jalaldoust , Alexis Bellot , Elias Bareinboim

The framework of Solomonoff prediction assigns prior probability to hypotheses inversely proportional to their Kolmogorov complexity. There are two well-known problems. First, the Solomonoff prior is relative to a choice of Universal Turing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Sven Neth

We investigate opportunities and challenges for improving unsupervised machine learning using four common strategies with a long history in physics: divide-and-conquer, Occam's razor, unification and lifelong learning. Instead of using one…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-25 Tailin Wu , Max Tegmark

We introduce an increasing-complexity, open-ended, and human-agnostic metric to evaluate foundational and frontier AI models in the context of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI) claims. Unlike…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Alberto Hernández-Espinosa , Luan Ozelim , Felipe S. Abrahão , Hector Zenil

Solving a decision theory problem usually involves finding the actions, among a set of possible ones, which optimize the expected reward, possibly accounting for the uncertainty of the environment. In this paper, we introduce the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Damiano Azzolini , Elena Bellodi , Rafael Kiesel , Fabrizio Riguzzi

The rapid advancement of large language models (LLMs) calls for a rigorous theoretical framework to explain their empirical success. While significant progress has been made in understanding LLM behaviors, existing theoretical frameworks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Jun Wan , Lingrui Mei

This work advances and substantiates the thesis that the resolution of this crisis lies in the domain of possibility theory, specifically in the axiomatic approach developed in Bychkovs article. Unlike numerous attempts to fix Dempster…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Bychkov Oleksii , Bychkova Sophia , Lytvynchuk Khrystyna

We represent agents as sets of strings. Each string encodes a potential interaction with another agent or environment. We represent the total set of dynamics between two agents as the intersection of their respective strings, we prove…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Samuel Epstein , Margrit Betke

We provide a formal, simple and intuitive theory of rational decision making including sequential decisions that affect the environment. The theory has a geometric flavor, which makes the arguments easy to visualize and understand. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-10 Peter Sunehag , Marcus Hutter

This paper proposes a research direction to advance AI which draws inspiration from cognitive theories of human decision making. The premise is that if we gain insights about the causes of some human capabilities that are still lacking in…

Addressing uncertainty is critical for autonomous systems to robustly adapt to the real world. We formulate the problem of model uncertainty as a continuous Bayes-Adaptive Markov Decision Process (BAMDP), where an agent maintains a…

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) is critical for attaining trust in the operation of AI systems. A key question of an AI system is ``why was this decision made this way''. Formal approaches to XAI use a formal model of the AI…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Yacine Izza , Alexey Ignatiev , Sasha Rubin , Joao Marques-Silva , Peter J. Stuckey

Artificial intelligence commonly refers to the science and engineering of artificial systems that can carry out tasks generally associated with requiring aspects of human intelligence, such as playing games, translating languages, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Andreas Krause , Jonas Hübotter