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Consider Plurality with random tie-breaking. This paper uses standard axiomatic extensions of preferences over elements to preferences over sets (Kelly, Gardenfors, Responsiveness) to characterize all better-replies of a voter under…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-09-07 Reshef Meir

Bayesian inference provides principled uncertainty quantification but is often limited by the challenges of prior and likelihood elicitation. The martingale posterior (MGP) (Fong et al., 2023) offers an alternative by replacing these…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Kenyon Ng , Edwin Fong , David T. Frazier , Jeremias Knoblauch , Susan Wei

Bayesian inference is an effective approach for solving statistical learning problems especially with uncertainty and incompleteness. However, inference efficiencies are physically limited by the bottlenecks of conventional computing…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2017-11-06 Xiaotao Jia , Jianlei Yang , Zhaohao Wang , Yiran Chen , Hai , Li , Weisheng Zhao

We consider the problem of inferring the interaction kernel of stochastic interacting particle systems from observations of a single particle. We adopt a semi-parametric approach and represent the interaction kernel in terms of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrea Zanoni

In computational reinforcement learning, a growing body of work seeks to express an agent's model of the world through predictions about future sensations. In this manuscript we focus on predictions expressed as General Value Functions:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Alex Kearney , Anna Koop , Johannes Günther , Patrick M. Pilarski

Complex systems can be characterized by classes of equivalency of their elements defined according to system specific rules. We propose a generalized preferential attachment model to describe the class size distribution. The model…

Probabilistic argumentation allows reasoning about argumentation problems in a way that is well-founded by probability theory. However, in practice, this approach can be severely limited by the fact that probabilities are defined by adding…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Nico Potyka

To improve word representation learning, we propose a probabilistic prior which can be seamlessly integrated with word embedding models. Different from previous methods, word embedding is taken as a probabilistic generative model, and it…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Shaogang Ren , Dingcheng Li , Ping Li

Attribution-based explanation techniques capture key patterns to enhance visual interpretability; however, these patterns often lack the granularity needed for insight in fine-grained tasks, particularly in cases of model misclassification,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Lintong Zhang , Kang Yin , Seong-Whan Lee

Multiple types of inference are available for probabilistic graphical models, e.g., marginal, maximum-a-posteriori, and even marginal maximum-a-posteriori. Which one do researchers mean when they talk about "planning as inference"? There is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Miguel Lázaro-Gredilla , Li Yang Ku , Kevin P. Murphy , Dileep George

Claiming causal inferences in network settings necessitates careful consideration of the often complex dependency between outcomes for actors. Of particular importance are treatment spillover or outcome interference effects. We consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-18 Duncan A. Clark , Mark S. Handcock

Selective inference methods are developed for group lasso estimators for use with a wide class of distributions and loss functions. The method includes the use of exponential family distributions, as well as quasi-likelihood modeling for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Yiling Huang , Sarah Pirenne , Snigdha Panigrahi , Gerda Claeskens

The inferential models (IM) framework provides prior-free, frequency-calibrated, posterior probabilistic inference. The key is the use of random sets to predict unobservable auxiliary variables connected to the observable data and unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

In this paper, we will use the entropy approach to derive a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of an element that belongs to at least half of the sets in a finite family of sets.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Veronica Phan

In this paper we develop a concept aware multi-preferential semantics for dealing with typicality in description logics, where preferences are associated with concepts, starting from a collection of ranked TBoxes containing defeasible…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Laura Giordano , Daniele Theseider Dupré

We describe a procedure to introduce general dependence structures on a set of Dirichlet processes. Dependence can be in one direction to define a time series or in two directions to define spatial dependencies. More directions can also be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

After reviewing the entropy power, the McKean, and the Gaussian completely monotone conjectures, we prove that the first implies the second, for each order of the time-derivative. The proof is elementary and is based on manipulating the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Guillaume Wang

We introduce evolving networks where new vertices preferentially connect to the more central parts of a network. This makes such networks compact. Finite networks grown under the preferential compactness mechanism have complex…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 M. J. Alava , S. N. Dorogovtsev

We consider an extension of the setting of label ranking, in which the learner is allowed to make predictions in the form of partial instead of total orders. Predictions of that kind are interpreted as a partial abstention: If the learner…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-12-05 Weiwei Cheng , Eyke Hüllermeier

First a few reformulations of Frankl's conjecture are given, in terms of reduced families or matrices, or analogously in terms of lattices. These lead naturally to a stronger conjecture with a neat formulation which might be easier to…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-03-04 Francesco Marigo , Davide Schipani
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