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We propose a novel method for the elimination of negative Monte Carlo event weights. The method is process-agnostic, independent of any analysis, and preserves all physical observables. We demonstrate the overall performance and systematic…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-06-01 Jeppe R. Andersen , Andreas Maier

An importance sampling approach for sampling copula models is introduced. We propose two algorithms that improve Monte Carlo estimators when the functional of interest depends mainly on the behaviour of the underlying random vector when at…

Computation · Statistics 2015-04-08 Philipp Arbenz , Mathieu Cambou , Marius Hofert

Separability of multivariate functions alleviates the difficulty in finding a minimum or maximum value of a function such that an optimal solution can be searched by solving several disjoint problems with lower dimensionalities. In most of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-09 Takashi Goda

It is well known that Monte Carlo integration with variance reduction by means of control variates can be implemented by the ordinary least squares estimator for the intercept in a multiple linear regression model. A central limit theorem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-10 François Portier , Johan Segers

Importance sampling is a promising variance reduction technique for Monte Carlo simulation based derivative pricing. Existing importance sampling methods are based on a parametric choice of the proposal. This article proposes an algorithm…

Applications · Statistics 2009-04-14 Jan C. Neddermeyer

We propose a Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from high dimensional probability distributions that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo and importance sampling. We provide a careful theoretical analysis, including guarantees on robustness to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-18 Giacomo Zanella , Gareth Roberts

Monte Carlo simulations are methods for simulating statistical systems. The aim is to generate a representative ensemble of configurations to access thermodynamical quantities without the need to solve the system analytically or to perform…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-19 Jean-Charles Walter , Gerard Barkema

Conditional Monte Carlo (CMC) has been widely used for sensitivity estimation with discontinuous integrands as a standard simulation technique. A major limitation of using CMC in this context is that finding conditioning variables to ensure…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Guiyun Feng , Guangwu Liu

We analyze the accuracy and sample complexity of variational Monte Carlo approaches to simulate the dynamics of many-body quantum systems classically. By systematically studying the relevant stochastic estimators, we are able to: (i) prove…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-10-11 Alessandro Sinibaldi , Clemens Giuliani , Giuseppe Carleo , Filippo Vicentini

We construct improved quantum Monte Carlo estimators for the spherically- and system-averaged electron pair density (i.e. the probability density of finding two electrons separated by a relative distance u), also known as the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Julien Toulouse , Roland Assaraf , C. J. Umrigar

Based on the central limit theorem, we discuss the problem of evaluation of the statistical error of Monte Carlo calculations using a time discretized diffusion process. We present a robust and practical method to determine the effective…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-02-22 François Delyon , Bernard Bernu , Markus Holzmann

We present a general sample reweighting scheme and its underlying theory for the integration of an unknown function with low dimensionality. Our method produces better results than standard weighting schemes for common sampling strategies,…

Graphics · Computer Science 2019-08-07 Jerry Jinfeng Guo , Elmar Eisemann

The computational cost of a Monte Carlo algorithm can only be meaningfully discussed when taking into account the magnitude of the resulting statistical error. Aiming for a fixed error per particle, we study the scaling behavior of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-02-11 Norbert Nemec

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-11 Cheng-Der Fuh , Huei-Wen Teng , Ren-Her Wang

A new Monte Carlo algorithm is introduced for the simulation of supercooled liquids and glass formers, and tested in two model glasses. The algorithm is shown to thermalize well below the Mode Coupling temperature and to outperform other…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-05-21 L. A. Fernandez , V. Martin-Mayor , P. Verrocchio

Monte Carlo algorithms are a foundational pillar of modern computational science, yet their effective application hinges on a deep understanding of their performance trade offs. This paper presents a critical analysis of the evolution of…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-23 Ravi Prasad

Standard Monte Carlo computation is widely known to exhibit a canonical square-root convergence speed in terms of sample size. Two recent techniques, one based on control variate and one on importance sampling, both derived from an…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-13 Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

We introduce a new Monte Carlo method by incorporating a guided distribution function to the conventional Monte Carlo method. In this way, the efficiency of Monte Carlo methods is drastically improved. To further speed up the algorithm, we…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 S. P. Li

Monte Carlo estimation in plays a crucial role in stochastic reaction networks. However, reducing the statistical uncertainty of the corresponding estimators requires sampling a large number of trajectories. We propose control variates…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

Monte Carlo is a simple and flexible tool that is widely used in computational finance. In this context, it is common for the quantity of interest to be the expected value of a random variable defined via a stochastic differential equation.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-06 Desmond J. Higham
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