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In this paper we derive an effective equation for derivative pricing which accounts for the presence of virtual arbitrage opportunities and their elimination by the market. We model the arbitrage return by a stochastic process and find an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Kirill Ilinski , Alexander Stepanenko

We generalize the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) to include the contribution of virtual arbitrage opportunities. We model the arbitrage return by a stochastic process. The latter is incorporated in the APT framework to calculate the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Kirill Ilinski

Statistical arbitrage is a class of financial trading strategies using mean reversion models. The corresponding techniques rely on a number of assumptions which may not hold for general non-stationary stochastic processes. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-02 Christopher Mohri

There is vast empirical evidence that given a set of assumptions on the real-world dynamics of an asset, the European options on this asset are not efficiently priced in options markets, giving rise to arbitrage opportunities. We study…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-03 Rudra P. Jena , Peter Tankov

A common assumption in financial engineering is that the market price for any derivative coincides with an objectively defined risk-neutral price - a plausible assumption only if traders collectively possess objective knowledge about the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-08 Kerry W. Fendick

We derive the arbitrage gains or, equivalently, Loss Versus Rebalancing (LVR) for arbitrage between \textit{two imperfectly liquid} markets, extending prior work that assumes the existence of an infinitely liquid reference market. Our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-03 Christoph Schlegel , Quintus Kilbourn

We explore the role that random arbitrage opportunities play in hedging financial derivatives. We extend the asymptotic pricing theory presented by Fedotov and Panayides [Stochastic arbitrage return and its implication for option pricing,…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Stephanos Panayides

Non-equilibrium phenomena occur not only in physical world, but also in finance. In this work, stochastic relaxational dynamics (together with path integrals) is applied to option pricing theory. A recently proposed model (by Ilinski et…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Matthias Otto

The paper develops general, discrete, non-probabilistic market models and minmax price bounds leading to price intervals for European options. The approach provides the trajectory based analogue of martingale-like properties as well as a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-06 Sebastian E. Ferrando , Alfredo L. Gonzalez , Ivan L. Degano , Massoome Rahsepar

In the paper we study dynamics of the arbitrage prices of credit default swaps within a hazard process model of credit risk. We derive these dynamics without postulating that the immersion property is satisfied between some relevant…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-19 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Monique Jeanblanc , Marek Rutkowski

In a stochastic volatility framework, we find a general pricing equation for the class of payoffs depending on the terminal value of a market asset and its final quadratic variation. This allows a pricing tool for European-style claims…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-12 Lorenzo Torricelli

The purpose of this work is to explore the role that arbitrage opportunities play in pricing financial derivatives. We use a non-equilibrium model to set up a stochastic portfolio, and for the random arbitrage return, we choose a stationary…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Sergei Fedotov , Stephanos Panayides

Consider a market of competing model providers selling query access to models with varying costs and capabilities. Customers submit problem instances and are willing to pay up to a budget for a verifiable solution. An arbitrageur…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Ricardo Olmedo , Bernhard Schölkopf , Moritz Hardt

This short note provides a systematic construction of market models without unbounded profits but with arbitrage opportunities.

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-12 Johannes Ruf , Wolfgang Runggaldier

We study a market model in which the volatility of the stock may jump at a random time from a fixed value to another fixed value. This model was already described in the literature. We present a new approach to the problem, based on partial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Miquel Montero

This paper presents a stochastic model for discrete-time trading in financial markets where trading costs are given by convex cost functions and portfolios are constrained by convex sets. The model does not assume the existence of a cash…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-24 Teemu Pennanen

The paper studies the concepts of hedging and arbitrage in a non probabilistic framework. It provides conditions for non probabilistic arbitrage based on the topological structure of the trajectory space and makes connections with the usual…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-08 Alexander Alvarez , Sebastian Ferrando , Pablo Olivares

We estimate prices of exotic options in a discrete-time model-free setting when the trader has access to market prices of a rich enough class of exotic and vanilla options. This is achieved by estimating an unobservable quantity called…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-26 Terry Lyons , Sina Nejad , Imanol Perez Arribas

A new modelling approach that directly prescribes dynamics to the term structure of VIX futures is proposed in this paper. The approach is motivated by the tractability enjoyed by models that directly prescribe dynamics to the VIX,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-03 Alexander Badran , Beniamin Goldys

The literature on volatility modelling and option pricing is a large and diverse area due to its importance and applications. This paper provides a review of the most significant volatility models and option pricing methods, beginning with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-09 Sovan Mitra
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