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In this paper, we study a continuous time structural asset value model for two correlated firms using a two-dimensional Brownian motion. We consider the situation of incomplete information, where the information set available to the market…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-28 Wai-Ki Ching , Jia-Wen Gu , Harry Zheng

We present in this paper an approach for computing the homogenized behavior of a medium that is a small random perturbation of a periodic reference material. The random perturbation we consider is, in a sense made precise in our work, a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2010-05-24 Arnaud Anantharaman , Claude Le Bris

Consider a random permutation of $\{1, \ldots, \lfloor n^{t_2}\rfloor\}$ drawn according to the Ewens measure with parameter $t_1$ and let $K(n, t)$ denote the number of its cycles, where $t\equiv (t_1, t_2)\in\mathbb [0, 1]^2$. Next,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-21 Helmut Pitters

A Brownian loop is a random walk circuit of infinitely many, suitably infinitesimal, steps. In a plane such a loop may or may not enclose a marked point, the origin, say. If it does so it may wind arbitrarily many times, positive or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-10-02 J. H. Hannay

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) promise improved generalization under covariate shift by providing principled probabilistic representations of epistemic uncertainty. However, weight-based BNNs often struggle with high computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-13 Trung Trinh , Markus Heinonen , Luigi Acerbi , Samuel Kaski

Machine learning based data-driven technologies have shown impressive performances in a variety of application domains. Most enterprises use data from multiple sources to provide quality applications. The reliability of the external data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Rosni K Vasu , Sanjay Seetharaman , Shubham Malaviya , Manish Shukla , Sachin Lodha

This paper is a brief review of the topic of binary systems as sources of gravitational-wave emission for both LIGO and LISA. In particular I review the current estimates of the associated Galactic event rates and their implications for…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 Vassiliki Kalogera

We consider a model for 2D electrons in a very strong magnetic field (i.e. projected onto a single Landau level) and a random potential $V$. The computation of the averaged Green function for this system reduces to calculating the averaged…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-30 A. Kristoffersen , K. Olaussen

One form of long-term behavior revealed by opinion dynamics simulations is intermittency, where an individual cycles between eras of stable, constant beliefs and turbulent, fluctuating beliefs, for example when inferring the political bias…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-01 Nicholas Kah Yean Low , Andrew Melatos

In this paper, we are concerned with the long-range voter model on lattices. We prove a stationary fluctuation theorem for the occupation time of the model under a proper time-space scaling. In several cases, the fluctuation limits are…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Xiaofeng Xue

Consider the problem of learning undirected graphical models on trees from corrupted data. Recently Katiyar et al. showed that it is possible to recover trees from noisy binary data up to a small equivalence class of possible trees. Their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-11 Marta Casanellas , Marina Garrote-López , Piotr Zwiernik

The Brier Score is a widely-used criterion to assess the quality of probabilistic predictions of binary events. The expectation value of the Brier Score can be decomposed into the sum of three components called reliability, resolution, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-03 Stefan Siegert

We analyze the statistical consistency of robust estimators for precision matrices in high dimensions. We focus on a contamination mechanism acting cellwise on the data matrix. The estimators we analyze are formed by plugging appropriately…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-25 Po-Ling Loh , Xin Lu Tan

We study the following one-dimensional model of annihilating particles. Beginning with all sites of $\mathbb{Z}$ uncolored, a blue particle performs simple random walk from $0$ until it reaches a nonzero red or uncolored site, and turns…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-03 Shirshendu Ganguly , Lionel Levine , Sourav Sarkar

The indirect source-coding problem in which a Bernoulli process is compressed in a lossy manner from its noisy observations is considered. These noisy observations are obtained by passing the source sequence through a The indirect…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-05 Alon Kipnis , Stefano Rini , Andrea J. Goldsmith

Prediction markets mobilize financial incentives to forecast binary event outcomes through the aggregation of dispersed beliefs and heterogeneous information. Their growing popularity and demonstrated predictive accuracy in political…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-29 Bridget Smart , Ebba Mark , Anne Bastian , Josefina Waugh

Consider a random walk among random conductances on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ with $d\geq 2$. We study the quenched limit law under the usual diffusive scaling of the random walk conditioned to have its first coordinate positive. We show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Christophe Gallesco , Nina Gantert , Serguei Popov , Marina Vachkovskaia

The vicious random walker problem on a one dimensional lattice is considered. Many walkers take simultaneous steps on the lattice and the configurations in which two of them arrive at the same site are prohibited. It is known that the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Taro Nagao , Peter J. Forrester

In many multi-agent systems of practical interest, such as traffic networks or crowd evacuation, control actions cannot be exerted on all agents. Instead, controllable leaders must indirectly steer uncontrolled followers through local…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Davide Salzano , Gian Carlo Maffettone , Mario di Bernardo

We consider the CEO problem for non-regular source distributions (such as uniform or truncated Gaussian). A group of agents observe independently corrupted versions of data and transmit coded versions over rate-limited links to a CEO. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-24 Aditya Vempaty , Lav R. Varshney