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We present a new methodology for studying non-Hamiltonian nonlinear systems based on an information theoretic extension of a renormalization group technique using a modified maximum entropy principle. We obtain a rigorous dimensionally…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-06-28 M. Schmuck , M. Pradas , S. Kalliadasis , G. A. Pavliotis

The estimation of coverage probabilities, and in particular of the missing mass, is a classical statistical problem with applications in numerous scientific fields. In this paper, we study this problem in relation to randomized data…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Stefano Favaro , Matteo Sesia

Modern machine learning models with a large number of parameters often generalize well despite perfectly interpolating noisy training data - a phenomenon known as benign overfitting. A foundational explanation for this in linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Yuta Kondo

The Griffiths inequalities for Ising spin glasses are proved on the Nishimori line with various bond randomness which includes Gaussian and $\pm J$ bond randomness. The proof for Ising systems with Gaussian bond randomness has already been…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 Hidetsugu Kitatani

This work proposes a general framework for capturing noise-driven transitions in spatially extended non-equilibrium systems and explains the emergence of coherent patterns beyond the instability onset. The framework relies on stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

Information theory is built on probability measures and by definition a probability measure has total mass 1. Probability measures are used to model uncertainty, and one may ask how important it is that the total mass is one. We claim that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Peter Harremoës

We have developed a linearization method to investigate the subthreshold oscillatory behaviors in nonlinear autonomous systems. By considering firstly the neuronal system as an example, we show that this theoretical approach can predict…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Shenbing Kuang , Jiafu Wang , Ting Zeng , Aiyin Cao

The natural habitat of most Bayesian methods is data represented by exchangeable sequences of observations, for which de Finetti's theorem provides the theoretical foundation. Dirichlet process clustering, Gaussian process regression, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-16 Peter Orbanz , Daniel M. Roy

In this paper, we develop a novel argument, the non-autonomous approximation method, to seek the asymptotic limits of the fully coupled multi-scale McKean-Vlasov stochastic systems with irregular coefficients, which, as summarized in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-19 Yuewen Hou , Yun Li , Longjie Xie

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-27 Benjamin Letham , Brian Karrer , Guilherme Ottoni , Eytan Bakshy

Linear Response theory aims to predict how added forcing alters the statistical properties of an unforced system. These kinds of questions have been studied predominantly for autonomous dynamical systems, yet many systems in the physical,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Stefano Galatolo , Valerio Lucarini

In statistical inference, uncertainty is unknown and all models are wrong. That is to say, a person who makes a statistical model and a prior distribution is simultaneously aware that both are fictional candidates. To study such cases,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Sumio Watanabe

For the identification of switched systems with a measured switching signal, this work aims to analyze the effect of switching strategies on the estimation error. The data for identification is assumed to be collected from globally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-26 Shengling Shi , Othmane Mazhar , Bart De Schutter

Collective oscillations and patterns of synchrony have long fascinated researchers in the applied sciences, particularly due to their far-reaching importance in chemistry, physics, and biology. The Kuramoto model has emerged as a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Jason Bramburger , Matt Holzer

Radio map estimation (RME) is the problem of inferring the value of a certain metric (e.g. signal power) across an area of interest given a collection of measurements. While most works tackle this problem from a purely non-Bayesian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-11 Tien Ngoc Ha , Daniel Romero

Generalized linear models (GLMs) arise in high-dimensional machine learning, statistics, communications and signal processing. In this paper we analyze GLMs when the data matrix is random, as relevant in problems such as compressed sensing,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-01 Jean Barbier , Florent Krzakala , Nicolas Macris , Léo Miolane , Lenka Zdeborová

In high-dimensional statistical inference in which the number of parameters to be estimated is larger than that of the holding data, regularized linear estimation techniques are widely used. These techniques have, however, some drawbacks.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-06 Takashi Takahashi , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

Building on our recent work on {\em neuromimetic control theory}, new results on resilience and neuro-inspired quantization are reported. The term neuromimetic refers to the models having features that are characteristic of the neurobiology…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-11 Zexin Sun , John Baillieul

Squared error loss remains the most commonly used loss function for constructing a Bayes estimator of the parameter of interest. However, it can lead to sub-optimal solutions when a parameter is defined in a restricted space. It can also be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki , Mauro Gasparini

Recent work has developed a non-parametric Bayesian approach to the calibration of a computer model, which abstractly amounts to the inversion of a pushforward of stochastic input parameters by a smooth map. The framework has been used in…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Akshay Prasadan , Donald Estep , Derek Bingham