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We study a version of first passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ where the random passage times on the edges are replaced by contact times represented by random closed sets on $\mathbb{R}$. Similarly to the contact process without…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Benedikt Jahnel , Lukas Lüchtrath , Anh Duc Vu

We study extended infection fronts advancing over a spatially uniform susceptible population by solving numerically a diffusive Kermack McKendrick SIR model with a dichotomous spatially random transmission rate, in two dimensions. We find a…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-06-11 A. B. Kolton , K. Laneri

Diseases emerge, persist and vanish in an ongoing battle for available hosts. Hosts, on the other hand, defend themselves by developing immunity that limits the ability of pathogens to reinfect them. We here explore a multi-disease system…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-06-29 Jeppe Juul , Kim Sneppen

We study a simple case of the susceptible-weakened-infected-removed model in regular random graphs in a situation where an epidemic starts from a finite fraction of initially infected nodes (seeds). Previous studies have shown that,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-03 Takehisa Hasegawa , Koji Nemoto

We introduce a model for directed percolation with a long-range temporal diffusion, while the spatial diffusion is kept short ranged. In an interpretation of directed percolation as an epidemic process, this non-Markovian modification can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Andrea Jimenez-Dalmaroni

We explore how heterogeneity in the intensity of interactions between people affects epidemic spreading. For that, we study the susceptible-infected-susceptible model on a complex network, where a link connecting individuals $i$ and $j$ is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-08-28 C. Buono , F. Vazquez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

This review addresses recent developments in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Focusing on phase transitions from fluctuating phases into absorbing states, the universality class of directed percolation is investigated in detail. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Haye Hinrichsen

The effect of spatial correlations on the spread of infectious diseases was investigated using a stochastic SIR (Susceptible-Infective-Recovered) model on complex networks. It was found that in addition to the reduction of the effective…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 J. Verdasca , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes , N. R. Bernardino , J. M. Pacheco , M. C. Gomes

We study a version of compact directed percolation (CDP) in one dimension in which occupation of a site for the first time requires that a "mine" or antiparticle be eliminated. This process is analogous to the variant of directed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ronald Dickman , Daniel ben-Avraham

This manuscript introduces a new analytical approach for studying the time evolution of disease spread on a finite size network. Our methodology can accommodate any disease with a general infectivity profile. This new approach is able to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-05-25 B. Davoudi , B. Pourbohloul

We identify the asymptotic distribution of the chemical distance in high-dimensional critical Bernoulli percolation. Namely, we show that the distance between the origin and a distant vertex conditioned to lie in the cluster of the origin…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Shirshendu Chatterjee , Pranav Chinmay , Jack Hanson , Philippe Sosoe

The size and shape of the region affected by an outbreak is relevant to understand the dynamics of a disease and help to organize future actions to mitigate similar events. A simple extension of the SIR model is considered, where agents…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-03 Paulo Murilo C. de Oliveira , Daniel A. Stariolo , Jeferson J. Arenzon

We propose a dynamical model for describing the spread of epidemics. This model is an extension of the SIQR (susceptible-infected-quarantined-recovered) and SIRP (susceptible-infected-recovered-pathogen) models used earlier to describe…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-08 S. P. Lukyanets , I. S. Gandzha , O. V. Kliushnichenko

We investigate a discrete-time two-strain symbiotic epidemic model on complex networks with both random and long-range interactions. Our analysis examines how the co-infection recovery rate ($\mu$), the long-range decay exponent ($\alpha$),…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-23 Frank Namugera

In presence of long range dispersal, epidemics spread in spatially disconnected regions known as clusters. Here, we characterize exactly their statistical properties in a solvable model, in both the supercritical (outbreak) and critical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-05 Xiangyu Cao , Pierre Le Doussal , Alberto Rosso

We study a model of directed percolation (DP) with immunization, i.e. with different probabilities for the first infection and subsequent infections. The immunization effect leads to an additional non-Markovian term in the corresponding…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Andrea Jimenez-Dalmaroni , Haye Hinrichsen

We study the behavior of the random walk in a continuum independent long-range percolation model, in which two given vertices $x$ and $y$ are connected with probability that asymptotically behaves like $|x-y|^{-\alpha}$ with $\alpha>d$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-30 Ercan Sönmez , Arnaud Rousselle

The rapid worldwide spread of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) demonstrated the potential threat an infectious disease poses in a closely interconnected and interdependent world. Here we introduce a probabilistic model which…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 L. Hufnagel , D. Brockmann , T. Geisel

Records of social interactions provide us with new sources of data for understanding how interaction patterns affect collective dynamics. Such human activity patterns are often bursty, i.e., they consist of short periods of intense activity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Taro Takaguchi , Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

We use the connection between bond percolation and SIR epidemics to establish lower bounds for the critical percolation probability in $2$ and $3$ dimensions as the range becomes large. The bound agrees with the conjectured asymptotics for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-15 Spencer Frei , Edwin Perkins