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In this paper we study a mathematical model for an infectious disease such as Cholera without life-time immunity. Due to the different mobility for susceptible, infected human and recovered human hosts, the diffusion coefficients are…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Hong-Ming Yin

Epidemiological models describe the spread of an infectious disease within a population. They capture microscopic details on how the disease is passed on among individuals in various different ways, while making predictions about the state…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-27 Stefan Hohenegger , Francesco Sannino

We study the spectral properties of the process of explosive percolation. In particular, we explore how the maximum eigenvalue of the adjacency matrix of a network which governs the spreading efficiency evolves as the density of connection…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Ning Ning Chung , Lock Yue Chew , Choy Heng Lai

We study site and bond percolation on directed simple random graphs with a given degree distribution and derive the expressions for the critical value of the percolation probability above which the giant strongly connected component emerges…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-03-08 Femke van Ieperen , Ivan Kryven

We investigate a model for spatial epidemics explicitly taking into account bi-directional movements between base and destination locations on individual mobility networks. We provide a systematic analysis of generic dynamical features of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

We present a disease transmission model that considers both explicit and non-explicit factors. This approach is crucial for accurate prediction and control of infectious disease spread. In this paper, we extend the spread model from our…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Jung-Chao Ban , Jyy-I Hong , Cheng-Yu Tsai , Yu-Liang Wu

We present a Monte Carlo study of the bond and site directed (oriented) percolation models in $(d+1)$ dimensions on simple-cubic and body-centered-cubic lattices, with $2 \leq d \leq 7$. A dimensionless ratio is defined, and an analysis of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-10-11 Junfeng Wang , Zongzheng Zhou , Qingquan Liu , Timothy M. Garoni , Youjin Deng

We study a stochastic epidemic model consisting of elements (organisms in a community or cells in tissue) with fixed positions, in which damage or disease is transmitted by diffusing agents ("signals") emitted by infected individuals. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-05 Fernando P. Faria , Ronald Dickman

We consider the random connection model in which an edge between two Poisson points at distance $r$ is present with probability $g(r)$. We conduct an extreme value analysis on this model, namely by investigating the longest edge with at…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-11 Arnaud Rousselle , Ercan Sönmez

The spreading of evolutionary novelties across populations is the central element of adaptation. Unless population are well-mixed (like bacteria in a shaken test tube), the spreading dynamics not only depends on fitness differences but also…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-19 Oskar Hallatschek , Daniel S. Fisher

In this paper we study a nonlinear reaction-diffusion system which models an infectious disease caused by bacteria such as those for cholera. One of the significant features in this model is that a certain portion of the recovered human…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Hong-Ming Yin , Jun Zou

In this paper we introduce a novel description of the equilibrium state of a bond percolation process on random graphs using the exact method of generating functions. This allows us to find the expected size of the giant connected component…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-20 Peter Mann , V. Anne Smith , John Mitchell , Simon Dobson

In this work, we study the evolution of the susceptible individuals during the spread of an epidemic modeled by the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) process spreading on the top of complex networks. Using an edge-based compartmental…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 L. D. Valdez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which removed individuals may name some of their infectious…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Frank G Ball , Edward S Knock , Philip D O'Neill

Series expansion methods are used to study directed bond percolation clusters on the square lattice whose lateral growth is restricted by a wall parallel to the growth direction. The percolation threshold $p_c$ is found to be the same as…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2019-08-15 J W Essam , A J Guttmann , I Jensen , D TanlaKishani

In this paper, we outline the theory of epidemic percolation networks and their use in the analysis of stochastic SIR epidemic models on undirected contact networks. We then show how the same theory can be used to analyze stochastic SIR…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , James M. Robins

Many processes of spreading and diffusion take place on temporal networks, and their outcomes are influenced by correlations in the times of contact. These correlations have a particularly strong influence on processes where the spreading…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-19 Mikko Kivelä , Jordan Cambe , Jari Saramäki , Márton Karsai

We consider directed percolation with an absorbing boundary in 1+1 and 2+1 dimensions. The distribution of cluster lifetimes and sizes depend on the boundary. The new scaling exponents can be related to the exponents characterizing standard…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 K. B. Lauritsen , K. Sneppen , M. Markosova , M. H. Jensen

Infectious diseases are a threat for human health with tremendous impact on our society at large. The recent COVID-19 pandemic, caused by the SARS-CoV-2, is the latest example of a highly infectious disease ravaging the world, since late…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-17 Giacomo Cacciapaglia , Corentin Cot , Michele Della Morte , Stefan Hohenegger , Francesco Sannino , Shahram Vatani

Epidemic spreading is well understood when a disease propagates around a contact graph. In a stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible setting, spectral conditions characterise whether the disease vanishes. However, modelling human…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Desmond John Higham , Henry-Louis de Kergorlay
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