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Bayesian learning is a powerful learning framework which combines the external information of the data (background information) with the internal information (training data) in a logically consistent way in inference and prediction. By…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Erdong Guo , David Draper

The paper discusses the reconstruction of potentials for quantum systems at finite temperatures from observational data. A nonparametric approach is developed, based on the framework of Bayesian statistics, to solve such inverse problems.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-06 J. C. Lemm , J. Uhlig , A. Weiguny

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

We discuss Bayesian inference for parameters selected using the data. First, we provide a critical analysis of the existing positions in the literature regarding the correct Bayesian approach under selection. Second, we propose two types of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Daniel G. Rasines , G. Alastair Young

Stability selection is a versatile framework for structure estimation and variable selection in high-dimensional setting, primarily grounded in frequentist principles. In this paper, we propose an enhanced methodology that integrates…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Mahdi Nouraie , Connor Smith , Samuel Muller

In this paper, we consider several types of information and methods of combination associated with incomplete probabilistic systems. We discriminate between 'a priori' and evidential information. The former one is a description of the whole…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Jose E. Cano , Serafin Moral , Juan F. Verdegay-Lopez

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Reinforcement learning (RL) methods typically learn new tasks from scratch, often disregarding prior knowledge that could accelerate the learning process. While some methods incorporate previously learned skills, they usually rely on a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Yuan Meng , Xiangtong Yao , Kejia Chen , Yansong Wu , Liding Zhang , Zhenshan Bing , Alois Knoll

This paper considers data-driven chance-constrained stochastic optimization problems in a Bayesian framework. Bayesian posteriors afford a principled mechanism to incorporate data and prior knowledge into stochastic optimization problems.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

Techniques for finding regularized solutions to underdetermined linear systems can be viewed as imposing prior knowledge on the unknown vector. The success of modern techniques, which can impose priors such as sparsity and non-negativity,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-13 Keith Dillon , Yeshaiahu Fainman

Bayesian inference provides a powerful tool for leveraging observational data to inform model predictions and uncertainties. However, when such data is limited, Bayesian inference may not adequately constrain uncertainty without the use of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-26 Rebekah D. White , John D. Jakeman , Tim Wildey , Troy Butler

When complex Bayesian models exhibit implausible behaviour, one solution is to assemble available information into an informative prior. Challenges arise as prior information is often only available for the observable quantity, or some…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Andrew A. Manderson , Robert J. B. Goudie

This paper introduces a framework for incorporating prior information into the design of sequential experiments. These sources may include past experiments, expert opinions, or the experimenter's intuition. We model the problem using a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-01 Frederico Finan , Demian Pouzo

We consider joint inversion for two or more unknown parameters from observational data in the Bayesian framework. Standard approaches often either treat the parameters as independent or impose structural similarity through regularisation…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-04 Ruanui Nicholson , Matti Niskanen , Oliver J. Maclaren , Jari P. Kaipio

Pimentel et al. (2020) recently analysed probing from an information-theoretic perspective. They argue that probing should be seen as approximating a mutual information. This led to the rather unintuitive conclusion that representations…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Tiago Pimentel , Ryan Cotterell

Bayesian inference --- although becoming popular in physics and chemistry --- is hampered up to now by the vagueness of its notion of prior probability. Some of its supporters argue that this vagueness is the unavoidable consequence of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-03 O. -A. Al-Hujaj , H. L. Harney

Solving Bayesian inverse problems typically involves deriving a posterior distribution using Bayes' rule, followed by sampling from this posterior for analysis. Sampling methods, such as general-purpose Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), are…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Jasper M. Everink , Chao Zhang , Amal M. A. Alghamdi , Rémi Laumont , Nicolai A. B. Riis , Jakob S. Jørgensen

Despite rapid recent advances in quantum machine learning, the field is in many ways stuck. Existing approaches can exhibit serious limitations, and we still lack learning frameworks that are simple, interpretable, scalable, and naturally…

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

Deep learning is increasingly moving towards a transfer learning paradigm whereby large foundation models are fine-tuned on downstream tasks, starting from an initialization learned on the source task. But an initialization contains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Ravid Shwartz-Ziv , Micah Goldblum , Hossein Souri , Sanyam Kapoor , Chen Zhu , Yann LeCun , Andrew Gordon Wilson