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Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo method which designs estimators of expectations under a target distribution using weighted samples from a proposal distribution. When the target distribution is complex, such as multimodal distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Anas Cherradi , Yazid Janati , Alain Durmus , Sylvain Le Corff , Yohan Petetin , Julien Stoehr

State-space models are ubiquitous in the statistical literature since they provide a flexible and interpretable framework for analyzing many time series. In most practical applications, the state-space model is specified through a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-18 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet

We establish the validity of bootstrap methods for empirical likelihood (EL) inference under the density ratio model (DRM). In particular, we prove that the bootstrap maximum EL estimators share the same limiting distribution as their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Weiwei Zhuang , Weiqi Yang , Jiahua Chen

Sampling orthogonal polynomial bases via Monte Carlo is of interest for uncertainty quantification of models with high-dimensional random inputs, using Polynomial Chaos (PC) expansions. It is known that bounding a probabilistic parameter,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

We propose extensions and improvements of the statistical analysis of distributed multipoles (SADM) algorithm put forth by Chipot et al. in [6] for the derivation of distributed atomic multipoles from the quantum-mechanical electrostatic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-07-28 Nicolas Champagnat , Christophe Chipot , Erwan Faou

In the study of phase transitions a very few models are accessible to exact solution. In the most cases analytical simplifications have to be done or some numerical technique has to be used to get insight about their critical properties.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-24 B. V. Costa , L. A. S. Mól , J. C. S. Rocha

Monte Carlo simulations are one of the major tools in statistical physics, complex system science, and other fields, and an increasing number of these simulations is run on distributed systems like clusters or grids. This raises the issue…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-07-03 Heiko Bauke , Stephan Mertens

We develop Monte Carlo methods for sampling random states and corresponding bit strings in qubit systems. To this end, we derive exact probability density functions that yield the Porter-Thomas distribution in the limit of large systems. We…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-05 Andreas Raab

We present a detailed discussion of our novel diagrammatic coupled cluster Monte Carlo (diagCCMC) [Scott et al. J. Phys. Chem. Lett. 2019, 10, 925]. The diagCCMC algorithm performs an imaginary-time propagation of the similarity-transformed…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-10-28 Charles J. C. Scott , Roberto Di Remigio , T. Daniel Crawford , Alex J. W. Thom

The self-learning Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is a powerful Monte Carlo method that, with the help of machine learning, adaptively generates an easy-to-sample probability distribution for approximating a given hard-to-sample distribution.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-01-04 Katsuhiro Endo , Taichi Nakamura , Keisuke Fujii , Naoki Yamamoto

We use machine learning algorithms to detect the crystalline phase in undercooled melts in molecular dynamics simulations. Our classification method is based on local conformation and environmental fingerprints of individual monomers. In…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-11-02 Atmika Bhardwaj , Jens-Uwe Sommer , Marco Werner

Finding effective ways to exploit parallel computing to accelerate Markov chain Monte Carlo methods is an important problem in Bayesian computation and related disciplines. In this paper, we consider the zeroth-order setting where the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-28 Francesco Pozza , Giacomo Zanella

Consider a population consisting of clusters of sampling units, evolving temporally, spatially, or according to other dynamics. We wish to monitor the evolution of its means, medians, or other parameters. For administrative convenience and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-30 Jiahua Chen , Yukun Liu , James Zidek

The tube model is a central concept in polymer physics, and allows to reduce the complex many-filament problem of an entangled polymer solution to a single filament description. We investigate the probability distribution function of…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-08-12 Hauke Hinsch , Erwin Frey

Incorporating information about the target distribution in proposal mechanisms generally produces efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (or at least, algorithms that are more efficient than uninformed counterparts). For instance, it…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-27 Philippe Gagnon

Probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) are widely used to discover latent structure in data, but their success hinges on selecting an appropriate model design. In practice, model specification is difficult and often requires iterative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Kevin Zhang , Yixin Wang

We propose Adaptive Incremental Mixture Markov chain Monte Carlo (AIMM), a novel approach to sample from challenging probability distributions defined on a general state-space. While adaptive MCMC methods usually update a parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-01 Florian Maire , Nial Friel , Antonietta Mira , Adrian Raftery

We present the first finite-sample analysis of policy evaluation in robust average-reward Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Prior work in this setting have established only asymptotic convergence guarantees, leaving open the question of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-11 Yang Xu , Washim Uddin Mondal , Vaneet Aggarwal

Multi-component polymer systems are of interest in organic photovoltaic and drug delivery applications, among others where diverse morphologies influence performance. An improved understanding of morphology classification, driven by…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-08-27 Pavan Inguva , Lachlan Mason , Indranil Pan , Miselle Hengardi , Omar K. Matar

Restricted Boltzmann Machines are simple and powerful generative models that can encode any complex dataset. Despite all their advantages, in practice the trainings are often unstable and it is difficult to assess their quality because the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-16 Nicolas Béreux , Aurélien Decelle , Cyril Furtlehner , Beatriz Seoane