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We present a novel probabilistic approach for optimal path experimental design. In this approach a discrete path optimization problem is defined on a static navigation mesh, and trajectories are modeled as random variables governed by a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Ahmed Attia

We study random walks on a family of treelike regular fractals with a trap fixed on a central node. We obtain all the eigenvalues and their corresponding multiplicities for the associated stochastic master equation, with the eigenvalues…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-11-11 Zhongzhi Zhang , Bin Wu , Guanrong Chen

The probabilistic description of the time evolution of a physical system can take two conceptually distinct forms: a trajectory of probabilities, which specifies how probabilities evolve over time, and a probability on trajectories, which…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-02 Győző Egri , Marton Gomori , Balazs Gyenis , Gábor Hofer-Szabó

We introduce a statistical mechanics formalism for the study of constrained graph evolution as a Markovian stochastic process, in analogy with that available for spin systems, deriving its basic properties and highlighting the role of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 A. C. C. Coolen , A. De Martino , A. Annibale

In this note we derive the exact probability that a specific state in a two-state Markov chain is visited exactly $k$ times after $N$ transitions. We provide a closed-form solution for $\mathbb{P}(N_l = k \mid N)$, considering initial state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Mohammad Taha Shah

The integro-differential wave equation for the probability density function for a classical one-dimensional L\'evy walk with continuous sample paths has been derived. This equation involves a classical wave operator together with memory…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-02-10 Sergei Fedotov

We investigate the effects of markovian resseting events on continuous time random walks where the waiting times and the jump lengths are random variables distributed according to power law probability density functions. We prove the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-10 Vicenç Méndez , Axel Masó-Puigdellosas , Trifce Sandev , Daniel Campos

Let {X_n,n\geq0} be a Markov chain on a general state space X with transition probability P and stationary probability \pi. Suppose an additive component S_n takes values in the real line R and is adjoined to the chain such that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Cheng-Der Fuh

A random walk problem with particles on discrete double infinite linear grids is discussed. The model is based on the work of Montroll and others. A probability connected with the problem is given in the form of integrals containing…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. B. Sanders , N. M. Temme

Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on ${\mathbb Z}_+^2$ having increments $(1,0)$, $(-1,1)$, $(0,-1)$ with jump probabilities $\lambda(M_k)$, $\mu_1(M_k)$, and $\mu_2(M_k)$ where $M$ is an irreducible aperiodic finite state Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Fatma Başoğlu Kabran , Ali Devin Sezer

The trajectories of diffusion processes are continuous but non-differentiable, and each occurs with vanishing probability. This introduces a gap between theory, where path probabilities are used in many contexts, and experiment, where only…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-01 Julian Kappler , Ronojoy Adhikari

We consider open quantum walks on a graph, and consider the random variables defined as the passage time and number of visits to a given point of the graph. We study in particular the probability that the passage time is finite, the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-11-10 Ivan Bardet , Denis Bernard , Yan Pautrat

This work is an analytical calculation of the path probability for random dynamics of mechanical system described by Langevin equation with Gaussian noise. The result shows an exponential dependence of the probability on the action. In the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-27 Aziz El Kaabouchi , Qiuping A. Wang

Computing optimal conditional reachability probabilities in Markov decision processes (MDPs) is tractable by a reduction to reachability probabilities. Yet, this reduction yields cyclic, challenging MDPs that are often notoriously hard to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Milan Češka , Sebastian Junges , Luko van der Maas , Filip Macák , Tim Quatmann

We consider a discrete-time random walk on a line starting at $x_0\geq 0$ where a cost is incurred at each jump. We obtain an exact analytical formula for the distribution of the total cost of a trajectory until the process crosses the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-03 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Pierpaolo Vivo

We calculate crossing probabilities and one-sided last exit time densities for a class of moving barriers on an interval $[0,T]$ via Schwartz distributions. We derive crossing probabilities and first hitting time densities for another class…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-28 Nabil Kahale

We describe an exact approach for calculating transition probabilities and waiting times in finite-state discrete-time Markov processes. All the states and the rules for transitions between them must be known in advance. We can then…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Semen A. Trygubenko , David J. Wales

In random walks, the path representation of the Green's function is an infinite sum over the length of path probability density functions (PDFs). Here we derive and solve, in Laplace space, the recursion relation for the n order path PDF…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-08-19 O. Flomenbom , R. J. Silbey

We study a discrete-time random walk on the non-negative integers, such that when 0 is reached a jump occurs to an arbitrary location, with given probabilities. We obtain an asymptotic formula for the expected position at large times, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-01 Guy Katriel

Associated to a random walk on $\mathbb{Z}$ and a positive integer $n$, there is a return probability of the random walk returning to the origin after $n$ steps. An interesting question is when the set of return probabilities uniquely…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-15 Max Zhou