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This paper proposes a conditional Curie-Weiss model as a model for opinion formation in a society polarized along two opinions, say opinions 1 and 2. The model comes with interaction strength $\beta>0$ and bais $h$. Here the population in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-29 Alex A. Opoku , Kwame Owusu Edusei , Richard Ansah

We here discuss the process of opinion formation in an open community where agents are made to interact and consequently update their beliefs. New actors (birth) are assumed to replace individuals that abandon the community (deaths). This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-12-07 Timoteo Carletti , Duccio Fanelli , Alessio Guarino , Franco Bagnoli , Andrea Guazzini

The mental models that humans form of other agents---encapsulating human beliefs about agent goals, intentions, capabilities, and more---create an underlying basis for interaction. These mental models have the potential to affect both the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Connor Brooks , Daniel Szafir

People often engage in costly cooperation, especially in repeated interactions. When deciding whether to cooperate, individuals typically take into account how others have acted in the past. For instance, when one person is deciding whether…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-07 Saptarshi Pal , Christian Hilbe , Nikoleta E Glynatsi

We derive and asymptotically analyze mass-action models for disease spread that include transient pair formation and dissociation. Populations of unpaired susceptibles and infecteds are distinguished from the population of three types of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-23 Jonathan Wylie , Tom Chou

As AI systems enter into a growing number of societal domains, these systems increasingly shape and are shaped by user preferences, opinions, and behaviors. However, the design of AI systems rarely accounts for how AI and users shape one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-19 Sarah Dean , Evan Dong , Meena Jagadeesan , Liu Leqi

We propose a collective opinion formation model with a so-called confirmation bias. The confirmation bias is a psychological effect with which, in the context of opinion formation, an individual in favor of an opinion is prone to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-24 Ryosuke Nishi , Naoki Masuda

In swarms of flying insects, the motions of individuals are largely uncoordinated with those of their neighbors, unlike the highly ordered motion of bird flocks. However, it has been observed that insects may transiently form pairs with…

Human-machine networks pervade much of contemporary life. Network change is the product of structural modifications along with differences in participant be-havior. If we assume that behavioural change in a human-machine network is the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-06-26 Paul Walland , J. Brian Pickering

The dynamical origin of opinion polarization in the real world is an interesting topic physical scientists may help to understand. To properly model the dynamics, the theory must be fully compatible with findings by social psychologists on…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-09-03 H. F. Chau , C. Y. Wong , F. K. Chow , C. -H. F. Fung

The conflict between individual and collective interests is in the heart of every social dilemmas established by evolutionary game theory. We cannot avoid these conflicts but sometimes we may choose which interaction framework to use as a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-09 Attila Szolnoki , Xiaojie Chen

Confirmation bias is a cognitive bias that adversely affects management decisions, and mathematical modelling is an aid to its detailed understanding. Bias in opinion update about the value of a parameter is modelled here assuming that…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-02-08 Rose D Baker

In this work we study opinion formation in a population participating of a public debate with two distinct choices. We considered three distinct mechanisms of social interactions and individuals' behavior: conformity, nonconformity and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-11 Nuno Crokidakis , Paulo Murilo Castro de Oliveira

People tend to have their social interactions with members of their own community. Such group-structured interactions can have a profound impact on the behaviors that evolve. Group structure affects the way people cooperate, and how they…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-09 Yohsuke Murase , Christian Hilbe , Seung Ki Baek

We have presented a numerical model of a collective opinion formation procedure to explain political phenomena such as two-party and multi-party systems in politics, political unrest, military coup d'etats and netizen revolutions. Nonlinear…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Soo Yong Kim , Chung Hyun Park , Kyungsik Kim

The Zaller theory of opinion formation is reformulated with one free parameter $\mu$, which measures the largest possible ideological distance which can be made by a citizen in one mental step. Our numerical results show the transient…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Krzysztof Kulakowski

Recent research shows that humans are heavily influenced by online social interactions: We are more likely to perform actions which, in the past, have led to positive social feedback. We introduce a quantitative model of behavior changes in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-01 Sanmay Das , Allen Lavoie

Messages conveyed by media act as a major drive in shaping attitudes and inducing opinion shift. On the other hand, individuals are strongly affected by peer pressure while forming their own judgment. We solve a general model of opinion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-09 Francesca Colaiori , Claudio Castellano

We here discuss a model of continuous opinion dynamics in which agents adjust continuous opinions as a result of random binary encounters whenever their difference in opinion is below a given threshold. We concentrate on the version of the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Gerard Weisbuch , Guillaume Deffuant , Frederic Amblard

Collective opinions affect civic participation, governance, and societal norms. Due to the influence of opinion dynamics, many models of their formation and evolution have been developed. A commonly used approach for the study of opinion…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-06 Claudia Kann , Michelle Feng
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