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Related papers: Scaling and correlation in financial data

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In this paper we propose a new model for volatility fluctuations in financial time series. This model relies on a non-stationary gaussian process that exhibits aging behavior. It turns out that its properties, over any finite time interval,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-12 J. F. Muzy , R. Baile , E. Bacry

Skew-t copula models are attractive for the modeling of financial data because they allow for asymmetric and extreme tail dependence. We show that the copula implicit in the skew-t distribution of Azzalini and Capitanio (2003) allows for a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-03 Lin Deng , Michael Stanley Smith , Worapree Maneesoonthorn

In fully developed turbulence, the velocity field possesses long-range correlations, denoted by a scaling power spectrum or structure functions. Here we consider the autocorrelation function of velocity increment $ {\Delta u_{\ell}(t)}$ at…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2014-02-05 Y. X. Huang , F. G. Schmitt , Z. M. Lu , Y. L. Liu

The paper presents the comparative study of the nature of stock markets in short-term and long-term time scales with and without structural break in the stock data. Structural break point has been identified by applying Zivot and Andrews…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-10 Ajit Mahata , Debi Prasad Bal , Md Nurujjaman

Regarding the intraday sequence of high frequency returns of the S&P index as daily realizations of a given stochastic process, we first demonstrate that the scaling properties of the aggregated return distribution can be employed to define…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-16 Fulvio Baldovin , Francesco Camana , Massimiliano Caporin , Michele Caraglio , Attilio L. Stella

In this paper we present an application of the use of autocopulas for modelling financial time series showing serial dependencies that are not necessarily linear. The approach presented here is semi-parametric in that it is characterized by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-20 Antony Ware , Ilnaz Asadzadeh

Estimating the covariance structure of multivariate time series is a fundamental problem with a wide-range of real-world applications -- from financial modeling to fMRI analysis. Despite significant recent advances, current state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Hrayr Harutyunyan , Daniel Moyer , Hrant Khachatrian , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

A phenomenon of the financial log-periodicity is discussed and the characteristics that amplify its predictive potential are elaborated. The principal one is self-similarity that obeys across all the time scales. Furthermore the same…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 S. Drozdz , F. Gruemmer , F. Ruf , J. Speth

In financial time series there are periods in which the value increases or decreases monotonically. We call those periods elemental trends and study the probability distribution of their duration for the indices DJIA, NASDAQ and IPC. It is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-14 H. F. Coronel-Brizio , A. R. Hernández Montoya , H. R Olivares Sánchez , E. Scalas

Trade prices of about 1000 New York Stock Exchange-listed stocks are studied at one-minute time resolution over the continuous five year period 2018--2022. For each stock, in dollar-volume-weighted transaction time, the discrepancy from a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 William H. Press

We consider the structure functions S^(q)(T), i.e. the moments of order q of the increments X(t+T)-X(t) of the Foreign Exchange rate X(t) which give clear evidence of scaling (S^(q)(T)~T^z(q)). We demonstrate that the nonlinearity of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 F. Schmitt , D. Schertzer , S. Lovejoy

The accurate estimation of scaling exponents is central in the observational study of scale-invariant phenomena. Natural systems unavoidably provide observations over restricted intervals; consequently a stationary stochastic process (time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-03-17 K. H. Kiyani , S. C. Chapman , N. W. Watkins

We show that a time series $x_t$ evolving by a non-local update rule $x_t = f (x_{t-n},x_{t-k})$ with two different delays $k<n$ can be mapped onto a local process in two dimensions with special time-delayed boundary conditions provided…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-01-02 Silvio R. Dahmen , Haye Hinrichsen , Wolfgang Kinzel

We study a random walk problem on the hierarchical network which is a scale-free network grown deterministically. The random walk problem is mapped onto a dynamical Ising spin chain system in one dimension with a nonlocal spin update rule,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jae Dong Noh , Heiko Rieger

We present a new framework for modeling the statistical behavior of both fully developed turbulence and short-term dynamics of financial markets based on the nonextensive thermostatistics proposed by Tsallis. We also show that intermittency…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 F. M. Ramos , C. Rodrigues Neto , R. R. Rosa

I address some recently raised issues regarding the time-parametrization dependence in stochastic descriptions of eternal inflation. To clarify the role of the choice of the time gauge, I show examples of gauge-dependent as well as…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-11 Sergei Winitzki

How and why stock prices move is a centuries-old question still not answered conclusively. More recently, attention shifted to higher frequencies, where trades are processed piecewise across different timescales. Here we reveal that price…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-17 Felix Patzelt , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

What is the dominating mechanism of the price dynamics in financial systems is of great interest to scientists. The problem whether and how volatilities affect the price movement draws much attention. Although many efforts have been made,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-04 Lei Tan , Bo Zheng , Jun-Jie Chen , Xiong-Fei Jiang

Thermal or finite-size scaling analyses of importance sampling Monte Carlo time series in the vicinity of phase transition points often combine different estimates for the same quantity, such as a critical exponent, with the intent to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-04-08 Martin Weigel , Wolfhard Janke

We review the decomposition method of stock return cross-correlations, presented previously for studying the dependence of the correlation coefficient on the resolution of data (Epps effect). Through a toy model of random walk/Brownian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-11 Bence Toth , Balint Toth , Janos Kertesz