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Probability estimation is one of the fundamental tasks in statistics and machine learning. However, standard methods for probability estimation on discrete objects do not handle object structure in a satisfactory manner. In this paper, we…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-06 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

The occurrence and the distribution of patterns of trees associated to natural numbers are investigated. Bounds from above and below are proven for certain natural quantities.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Roberto Conti , Pierluigi Contucci , Vitalii Iudelevich

Organisms and algorithms learn probability distributions from previous observations, either over evolutionary time or on the fly. In the absence of regularities, estimating the underlying distribution from data would require observing each…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-10 William Bialek , Stephanie E. Palmer , David J. Schwab

We have addressed the issue of field redefinition in connection with renormalisability. Our study is restricted to theories of interacting scalar fields. We have, in particular, shown that if a theory is renormalisable in the usual…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2013-06-20 N. Mohammedi

Learning joint probability distributions on n random variables requires exponential sample size in the generic case. Here we consider the case that a temporal (or causal) order of the variables is known and that the (unknown) graph of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Pawel Wocjan , Dominik Janzing , Thomas Beth

Bayesian network is a complete model for the variables and their relationships, it can be used to answer probabilistic queries about them. A Bayesian network can thus be considered a mechanism for automatically applying Bayes' theorem to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-11-08 Jianguo Ding

We formalize the idea of probability distributions that lead to reliable predictions about some, but not all aspects of a domain. The resulting notion of `safety' provides a fresh perspective on foundational issues in statistics, providing…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-08 Peter Grünwald

In Bayesian classification, it is important to establish a probabilistic model for each class for likelihood estimation. Most of the previous methods modeled the probability distribution in the whole sample space. However, real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-14 Chengsheng Mao , Lijuan Lu , Bin Hu

In the study of natural and artificial complex systems, responses that are not completely determined by the considered decision variables are commonly modelled probabilistically, resulting in response distributions varying across decision…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger , Guillaume Pirot

Statistical learning theory provides the theoretical basis for many of today's machine learning algorithms. In this article we attempt to give a gentle, non-technical overview over the key ideas and insights of statistical learning theory.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2008-10-28 Ulrike von Luxburg , Bernhard Schoelkopf

This paper is motivated by the questions of how to give the concept of probability an adequate real-world meaning, and how to explain a certain type of phenomenon that can be found, for instance, in Ellsberg's paradox. It attempts to answer…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-03-25 Russell J. Bowater

As observers of the universe we are physical systems within it. If the universe is very large in space and/or time, the probability becomes significant that the data on which we base predictions is replicated at other locations in…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2015-05-18 Mark Srednicki , James Hartle

An "element-free" probability distribution is what remains of a probability distribution after we forget the elements to which the probabilities were assigned. These objects naturally arise in Bayesian statistics, in situations where…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Victor Blanchi , Hugo Paquet

The general relationship between an arbitrary frequency distribution and the expectation value of the frequency distributions of its samples is esablished. A set of combinations of expectation values whose value does not in general depend…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-10-05 Paolo Rossi

We develop a new framework of uncertainty variables to model uncertainty. An uncertainty variable is characterized by an uncertainty set, in which its realization is bound to lie, while the conditional uncertainty is characterized by a set…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-10 Rajat Talak , Sertac Karaman , Eytan Modiano

Measurements of a weighted energy density average taken in the vacuum state of a conformal field theory in $1+1$ dimensions are randomly distributed with vanishing expectation value. The probability distribution is computed in closed form…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2020-01-29 Matthew C. Anthony , Christopher J. Fewster

The tree amplitudes in scalar field theories are presented at all $n$. The momentum routing of propagators is given at $n$-point in terms of a specified set of numbers, and the mass expansion of the massive theories is generated. A group…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Gordon Chalmers

The purpose of this paper is to look into how central notions in statistical learning theory, such as realisability, generalise under the assumption that train and test distribution are issued from the same credal set, i.e., a convex set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Fabio Cuzzolin

Methods for Bayesian simulation in the presence of computationally intractable likelihood functions are of growing interest. Termed likelihood-free samplers, standard simulation algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo have been adapted…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-31 S. A. Sisson , G. W. Peters , M. Briers , Y. Fan

A theoretical framework is developed to describe the transformation that distributes probability density functions uniformly over space. In one dimension, the cumulative distribution can be used, but does not generalize to higher…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-09-08 Eric Kee