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Population genetics struggles to model extinction; standard models track the relative rather than absolute fitness of genotypes, while the exceptions describe only the short-term transition from imminent doom to evolutionary rescue. But…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-20 Jason Bertram , Kevin Gomez , Joanna Masel

A wide range of stochastic processes that model the growth and decline of populations exhibit a curious dichotomy: with certainty either the population goes extinct or its size tends to infinity. There is a elegant and classical theorem…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-17 Mike Steel

These lectures contain a brief description of evolutionary models inspired by the statistical mechanics of disordered systems. After an introduction describing the Darwinian paradigm of evolving populations, the deterministic quasispecies…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Luca Peliti

Highly-diverse ecosystems exhibit a broad distribution of population sizes and species turnover, where species at high and low abundances are exchanged over time. We show that these two features generically emerge in the fluctuating phase…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-09 Thibaut Arnoulx de Pirey , Guy Bunin

Darwin's theory of evolution by natural selection does not predict long-term progress or advancement, nor does it provide a useful way to define or understand these concepts. Nevertheless, the history of life is marked by major trends that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-25 Owen M. Gilbert

The magnitude and variability of Earth's biodiversity have puzzled scientists ever since paleontologic fossil databases became available. We identify and study a model of interdependent species where both endogenous and exogenous impacts…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-10 Frank Stollmeier , Theo Geisel , Jan Nagler

We present a quantitative model for the biological evolution of species body masses within large groups of related species, e.g., terrestrial mammals, in which body mass M evolves according to branching (speciation), multiplicative…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-01-22 Aaron Clauset , Sidney Redner

Biological approximations, which are universal for diverse species, are well known. With no other experimental data, their invariance to transformations from one species to another yields exact conservation (with respect to biological…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Mark Ya. Azbel'

Darwin's theory of evolution is considered to be one of the greatest scientific gems in modern science. It not only gives us a description of how living things evolve, but also shows how a population evolves through time and also, why only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-12-18 Arka Bhattacharya

The extinction of species is a major problem of concern with a large literature. Our investigation gives insight into when species extinctions must occur, with an emphasis on determining which species might possibly die out and on how fast…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Naghmeh Akhavan , James A. Yorke

Do mass extinctions affect the development of intelligence? If so, we may expect to be in a universe that is exceptionally placid. We consider the effects of impacts, supervolcanoes, global glaciations, and nearby gamma ray bursts, and how…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-15 McCullen Sandora

Populations are often subject to catastrophes that cause mass removal of individuals. Many stochastic growth models have been considered to explain such dynamics. Among the results reported, it has been considered whether dispersion…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 F. Duque , V. V. Junior , F. P. Machado , A. Roldan-Correa

Isolated populations ultimately go extinct because of the intrinsic noise of elementary processes. In multi-population systems extinction of a population may occur via more than one route. We investigate this generic situation in a simple…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Omer Gottesman , Baruch Meerson

A model for large-scale evolution recently introduced by Amaral and Meyer is studied analytically and numerically. Species are located at different trophic levels and become extinct if their prey becomes extinct. It is proved that this…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-30 Barbara Drossel

We present an explicit unified stochastic model of fluctuations in population size due to random birth, death, density-dependent competition and environmental fluctuations. Stochastic dynamics provide insight into small populations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-31 Alexei J. Drummond , Peter D. Drummond

Populations of species in ecosystems are often constrained by availability of resources within their environment. In effect this means that a growth of one population, needs to be balanced by comparable reduction in populations of others.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-17 Sergei Maslov , Kim Sneppen

The processes and mechanisms underlying the origin and maintenance of biological diversity have long been of central importance in ecology and evolution. The competitive exclusion principle states that the number of coexisting species is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-02 Michael Doebeli , Eduardo Cancino Jaque , Iaroslav Ispolatov

Spontaneous symmetry breaking plays a fundamental role in many areas of condensed matter and particle physics. A fundamental problem in ecology is the elucidation of the mechanisms responsible for biodiversity and stability. Neutral theory,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-06-28 Claudio Borile , Miguel A. Muñoz , Sandro Azaele , Jayanth R. Banavar , Amos Maritan

Deterministic evolutionary game dynamics can lead to stable coexistences of different types. Stochasticity, however, drives the loss of such coexistences. This extinction is usually accompanied by population size fluctuations. We…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-11-02 Hye Jin Park , Arne Traulsen

We propose a stochastic model for evolution through mutation and natural selection of a population that evolves on a $\bbT_d^+$ tree. We think of this model as a way of describing the evolution fitness landscape of a population. We obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Carolina Grejo , Fabio Lopes , Fábio Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa