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The Monte Carlo algorithm is increasingly utilized, with its central step involving computer-based random sampling from stochastic models. While both Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Reject Monte Carlo serve as sampling methods, the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-28 Fengyu Li , Huijiao Yu , Jun Yan , Xianyong Meng

Sequential analysis encompasses simulation theories and methods where the sample size is determined dynamically based on accumulating data. Since the conceptual inception, numerous sequential stopping rules have been introduced, and many…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Jiezhong Wu , Reiichiro Kawai

Monte Carlo event generators are an essential tool for data analysis in collider physics. To include subleading quantum corrections, these generators often need to produce negative weight events, which leads to statistical dilution of the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-10-21 Benjamin Nachman , Jesse Thaler

Tossing a coin is the most elementary Monte Carlo experiment. In a computer the coin is replaced by a pseudo random number generator. It can be shown analytically and by exact enumerations that popular random number generators are not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Heiko Bauke , Stephan Mertens

This paper concerns numerical assessment of Monte Carlo error in particle filters. We show that by keeping track of certain key features of the genealogical structure arising from resampling operations, it is possible to estimate variances…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-29 Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

The EM algorithm is a powerful tool for maximum likelihood estimation with missing data. In practice, the calculations required for the EM algorithm are often intractable. We review numerous methods to circumvent this intractability, all of…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-03 William Ruth

This paper has a practical aim. For a long time, implementations of pseudorandom number generators in standard libraries of programming languages had poor quality. The situation started to improve only recently. Up to now, a large number of…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Migran N. Gevorkyan , Dmitry S. Kulyabov , Anastasia V. Demidova , Anna V. Korolkova

Renewal models are widely used in statistical epidemiology as semi-mechanistic models of disease transmission. While primarily used for estimating the instantaneous reproduction number, they can also be used for generating projections,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Nicholas Steyn , Kris V. Parag , Robin N. Thompson , Christl A. Donnelly

We describe an embarrassingly parallel, anytime Monte Carlo method for likelihood-free models. The algorithm starts with the view that the stochasticity of the pseudo-samples generated by the simulator can be controlled externally by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-03 Edward Meeds , Max Welling

Several models for the Monte Carlo simulation of Compton scattering on electrons are quantitatively evaluated with respect to a large collection of experimental data retrieved from the literature. Some of these models are currently…

We present a method which incorporates the Bose-Einstein effect into Monte Carlo generators for multiple production by weighting the events. Various aspects of weight calculations are discussed in detail. We show that our method allows to…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-31 K. Fialkowski , R. Wit , J. Wosiek

I show how to construct Monte Carlo algorithms (programs), prove that they are correct and document them. Complicated algorithms are build using a handful of elementary methods. This construction process is transparently illustrated using…

Computational Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 S. Jadach

Retirement prediction helps individuals and institutions make informed financial, lifestyle, and workforce decisions based on estimated retirement portfolios. This paper attempts to predict retirement using Monte Carlo simulations, allowing…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-22 Aditya Gupta , Vijay K. Tayal

Recently the collider physics community has seen significant advances in the formalisms and implementations of event generators. This review is a primer of the methods commonly used for the simulation of high energy physics events at…

We introduce a method for non-uniform random number generation based on sampling a physical process in a controlled environment. We demonstrate one proof-of-concept implementation of the method that reduces the error of Monte Carlo…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-04-24 James Timothy Meech , Phillip Stanley-Marbell

In parallelized Monte-Carlo simulations, the order of summation is not always the same. When the mean is calculated in running fashion, this may create an artificial randomness in results which ought to be reproducible. This note takes a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-13 Jherek Healy

Because the stochastic calculus yields rarely random variables with laws defined by explicit closed formulas, probabilistic numerical computations are done most often by simulation. The simulation by the shift, whose field of application is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nicolas Bouleau

We show that the effects of quantum interference can be implemented in Monte-Carlo generators by modelling the generalized Wigner functions. A specific prescription for an appropriate modification of the weights of events produced by…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-28 A. Bialas , A. Krzywicki

Simulation studies are used to evaluate and compare the properties of statistical methods in controlled experimental settings. In most cases, performing a simulation study requires knowledge of the true value of the parameter, or estimand,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ashley I. Naimi , David Benkeser , Jacqueline E. Rudolph

A Monte Carlo event generator has been developed assuming thermal production of hadrons. The system under consideration is sampled grand canonically in the Boltzmann approximation. A re-weighting scheme is then introduced to account for…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-12-14 M. Hauer , S. Wheaton