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Related papers: Records in a changing world

200 papers

For a partial structural change in a linear regression model with a single break, we develop a continuous record asymptotic framework to build inference methods for the break date. We have T observations with a sampling frequency h over a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

We study records generated by Brownian particles in one dimension. Specifically, we investigate an ordinary random walk and define the record as the maximal position of the walk. We compare the record of an individual random walk with the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-13 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

The study of records in the Linear Drift Model (LDM) has attracted much attention recently due to applications in several fields. In the present paper we study $\delta$-records in the LDM, defined as observations which are greater than all…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Raúl Gouet , Miguel Lafuente , F. Javier López , Gerardo Sanz

Rank-ordering statistics provides a perspective on the rare, largest elements of a population, whereas the statistics of cumulative distributions are dominated by the more numerous small events. The exponent of a power law distribution can…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 Didier Sornette , Leon Knopoff , Yan Kagan , Christian Vanneste

In this paper we study records obtained from partial comparisons within a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables, indexed by positive integers, with a common density~\(f.\) Our main result is that if…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-20 Ghurumuruhan Ganesan

Given a sequence of independent random vectors taking values in ${\mathbb R}^d$ and having common continuous distribution function $F$, say that the $n^{\rm \scriptsize th}$ observation sets a (Pareto) record if it is not dominated (in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-07 James Allen Fill , Ao Sun

We compute exactly the mean number of records $\langle R_N \rangle$ for a time-series of size $N$ whose entries represent the positions of a discrete time random walker on the line. At each time step, the walker jumps by a length $\eta$…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-03 Satya N. Majumdar , Philippe Mounaix , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Gregory Schehr

We consider sequences of random variables whose probability generating functions are polynomials all of whose roots lie on the unit circle. The distribution of such random variables has only been sporadically studied in the literature. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-11 Hsien-Kuei Hwang , Vytas Zacharovas

We propose a method to search for signs of causal structure in spatiotemporal data making minimal a priori assumptions about the underlying dynamics. To this end, we generalize the elementary concept of recurrence for a point process in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 J. Davidsen , P. Grassberger , M. Paczuski

The linear exponential distribution is a generalization of the exponential and Rayleigh distributions. This distribution is one of the best models to fit data with increasing failure rate (IFR). But it does not provide a reasonable fit for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-21 M. Arshad , M. Khetan , V. Kumar , A. K. Pathak

Random permutations with distribution conditionally uniform given the set of record values can be generated in a unified way, coherently for all values of $n$. Our central example is a two-parameter family of random permutations that are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander Gnedin

We study the statistics of avalanches, as a response to an applied force, undergone by a particle hopping on a one dimensional lattice where the pinning forces at each site are independent and identically distributed (I.I.D), each drawn…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-12-21 Vincenzo Maria Schimmenti , Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso

In this paper we examine some relative orderings of upper and lower records. It is shown that if m > n, the mth upper record ages faster than the nth upper record, where the data sets come from a sequence of independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Mohamed Kayid

We introduce a novel stochastic growth process, the record-driven growth process, which originates from the analysis of a class of growing networks in a universal limiting regime. Nodes are added one by one to a network, each node…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-11-12 C. Godreche , J. M. Luck

We characterise probability distributions via a martingale property associated with a natural generalisation of record values, known as $\delta$-records. For an independent and identically distributed sequence $(X_n)$ with running maximum…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Raúl Gouet , Miguel Lafuente , F. Javier López , Gerardo Sanz

We prove that the exponential distribution is the only one which satisfies a regression identity. This identity involves conditional expectation of the sample mean of record values given two record values outside of the sample.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-06 George P. Yanev

The spread of infectious disease in a human community or the proliferation of fake news on social media can be modeled as a randomly growing tree-shaped graph. The history of the random growth process is often unobserved but contains…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Harry Crane , Min Xu

The characterization of record events is considered for a discrete-time random walk model with long-term memory arising from correlations between successive steps. An important feature is that the correlations are strong enough to give rise…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-02 Michael J. Kearney

Statistical Inference is the process of determining a probability distribution over the space of parameters of a model given a data set. As more data becomes available this probability distribution becomes updated via the application of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-04-28 David S. Berman , Jonathan J. Heckman , Marc Klinger

We characterize the exponential distribution in terms of the regression of a record value with non-adjacent record values as covariates. We also study characterizations based on the regression of linear combinations of record values.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-06 George P. Yanev , M. Ahsanullah