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The complexity of human behaviour can lead to very unpredictable patterns in social activity and structure. Here we demonstrate the instability of a community network controlled by majority ruling, where an element adopts the most popular…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2016-05-17 V. F. Kusmartsev , F. V. Kusmartsev

The paper studies average consensus with random topologies (intermittent links) \emph{and} noisy channels. Consensus with noise in the network links leads to the bias-variance dilemma--running consensus for long reduces the bias of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-09-08 Soummya Kar , José M. F. Moura

We study two variants of the modified Watts threshold model with a noise (with nonconformity, in the terminology of social psychology) on a complete graph. Within the first version, a noise is introduced via so-called independence, whereas…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-03 Bartłomiej Nowak , Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron

We study binary opinion dynamics in a fully connected network of interacting agents. The agents are assumed to interact according to one of the following rules: (1) Voter rule: An updating agent simply copies the opinion of another randomly…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-04 Arpan Mukhopadhyay , Ravi R. Mazumdar , Rahul Roy

We show that certain critical exponents of systems with multiplicative noise can be obtained from exponents of the KPZ equation. Numerical simulations in 1d confirm this prediction, and yield other exponents of the multiplicative noise…

adap-org · Physics 2016-08-16 Yuhai Tu , G. Grinstein , M. A. Muñoz

Predicting the winner of an election is a favorite problem both for news media pundits and computational social choice theorists. Since it is often infeasible to elicit the preferences of all the voters in a typical prediction scenario, a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-04-21 Arnab Bhattacharyya , Palash Dey

The $q$-voter model with independence is generalized to signed random graphs and studied by means of Monte Carlo simulations and theoretically using the mean field approximation and different forms of the pair approximation. In the signed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-06 Andrzej Krawiecki , Tomasz Gradowski

In this article, we study the effect of vector-valued interventions in votes under a binary voter model, where each voter expresses their vote as a $0-1$ valued random variable to choose between two candidates. We assume that the outcome is…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-17 Manit Paul , Rishideep Roy , Soudeep Deb

We propose a novel iterative algorithm for estimating a deterministic but unknown parameter vector in the presence of model uncertainties. This iterative algorithm is based on a system model where an overall noise term describes both, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Oliver Lang , Michael Lunglmayr , Mario Huemer

Taking a pragmatic approach to the processes involved in the phenomena of collective opinion formation, we investigate two specific modifications to the co-evolving network voter model of opinion formation, studied by Holme and Newman [1].…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-06-24 Nishant Malik , Peter J. Mucha

We study the ordering dynamics of nonlinear voter models with multiple states, also providing a discussion of the two-state model. The rate with which an individual adopts an opinion scales as the $q$-th power of the number of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-01 Lucía Soledad Ramirez , Federico Vazquez , Maxi San Miguel , Tobias Galla

The q-voter model, a variant of the classic voter model, has been analyzed by several authors: while allowing to study opinion dynamics, this model is also believed to be one of the most representative among the many defined in the wide…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-26 Marco Alberto Javarone , Tiziano Squartini

How should one combine noisy information from diverse sources to make an inference about an objective ground truth? This frequently recurring, normative question lies at the core of statistics, machine learning, policy-making, and everyday…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Silviu Pitis , Michael R. Zhang

In statistics and machine learning, approximation of an intractable integration is often achieved by using the unbiased Monte Carlo estimator, but the variances of the estimation are generally high in many applications. Control variates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-16 Ruosi Wan , Mingjun Zhong , Haoyi Xiong , Zhanxing Zhu

We investigate simulation-based bandpower covariance matrices commonly used in cosmological parameter inferences such as the estimation of the tensor-to-scalar ratio $r$. We find that upper limits on $r$ can be biased low by tens of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-06 Dominic Beck , Ari Cukierman , W. L. Kimmy Wu

In recent years, neural networks have increasingly been employed to identify critical points of phase transitions. For the tricritical directed percolation model, its steady-state configurations encompass both first-order and second-order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-11-08 Feng Gao , Jianmin Shen , Shanshan Wang , Wei Li , Dian Xu

A waveform channel is considered where the transmitted signal is corrupted by Wiener phase noise and additive white Gaussian noise. A discrete-time channel model that takes into account the effect of filtering on the phase noise is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-15 Hassan Ghozlan , Gerhard Kramer

In the compromise model of continuous opinions proposed by Deffuant et al, the states of two agents in a network can start to converge if they are neighbors and if their opinions are sufficiently close to each other, below a given threshold…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-19 Yérali Gandica , Marcelo del Castillo-Mussot , Gerardo J. Vázquez , Sergio Rojas

The large deviation principle in the small noise limit is derived for solutions of possibly degenerate It\^o stochastic differential equations with predictable coefficients, which may depend also on the large deviation parameter. The result…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-06 Alberto Chiarini , Markus Fischer

A national voting population, when segmented into groups like, for example, different states, can yield a counter-intuitive scenario where the winner may not necessarily get the most number of total votes. A recent example is the 2016…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-06 Soumyajyoti Biswas , Parongama Sen