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This paper describes a new Monte Carlo method based on a novel stochastic potential switching algorithm. This algorithm enables the equilibrium properties of a system with potential $V$ to be computed using a Monte Carlo simulation for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. H. Mak

The fully marginalized likelihood, or Bayesian evidence, is of great importance in probabilistic data analysis, because it is involved in calculating the posterior probability of a model or re-weighting a mixture of models conditioned on…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-01-30 Fengji Hou , Jonathan Goodman , David W. Hogg

This paper introduces a Monte Carlo method for maximum likelihood inference in the context of discretely observed diffusion processes. The method gives unbiased and a.s.\@ continuous estimators of the likelihood function for a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-03 Alexandros Beskos , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

We study coarsening phenomena in three different simple exclusion processes with quenched disordered jump rates. In the case of the totally asymmetric process, an earlier phenomenological description is improved, yielding for the time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-05 R. Juhász , G. Ódor

Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) is a powerful and fast-growing method for optimizing and evolving parameterized many-body wave functions, especially with modern neural-network quantum states. In practice, however, the stochastic estimators…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2026-03-20 Zhou-Quan Wan , Roeland Wiersema , Shiwei Zhang

In statistical data assimilation one seeks the largest maximum of the conditional probability distribution $P(\mathbf{X},\mathbf{p}|\mathbf{Y})$ of model states, $\mathbf{X}$, and parameters,$\mathbf{p}$, conditioned on observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-28 Sasha Shirman , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

Computing the variance of a conditional expectation has often been of importance in uncertainty quantification. Sun et al. has introduced an unbiased nested Monte Carlo estimator, which they call $1\frac{1}{2}$-level simulation since the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-09 Takashi Goda

I present a regression algorithm that provides a continuous, piecewise-smooth function approximating scattered data. It is based on composing and blending linear functions over Voronoi cells, and it scales to high dimensions. The algorithm…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Shankar Prasad Sastry

Multiple hypothesis tests are often carried out in practice using p-value estimates obtained with bootstrap or permutation tests since the analytical p-values underlying all hypotheses are usually unknown. This article considers the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-08 Georg Hahn

We consider a wide range of matrix models and study them using the Monte Carlo technique in the large $N$ limit. The results we obtain agree with exact analytic expressions and recent numerical bootstrap methods for models with one and two…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-04-05 Raghav G. Jha

A new method based on nesting Monte Carlo is developed to solve high-dimensional semi-linear PDEs. Convergence of the method is proved and its convergence rate studied. Results in high dimension for different kind of non-linearities show…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-15 Xavier Warin

Quantum mechanics for many-body systems may be reduced to the evaluation of integrals in 3N dimensions using Monte-Carlo, providing the Quantum Monte Carlo ab initio methods. Here we limit ourselves to expectation values for trial…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-11-22 John Robert Trail , Ryo Maezono

We study the phase portraits with positive probability of random planar homogeneous vector fields of degree n. In particular, for n=1,2,3, we give a complete solution of the problem and, moreover, either we give the exact value of each…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-03-10 Anna Cima , Armengol Gasull , Víctor Mañosa

In this paper we study probabilistic and neural network approximations for solutions to Poisson equation subject to Holder data in general bounded domains of $\mathbb{R}^d$. We aim at two fundamental goals. The first, and the most…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Lucian Beznea , Iulian Cimpean , Oana Lupascu-Stamate , Ionel Popescu , Arghir Zarnescu

We consider online computation of expectations of additive state functionals under general path probability measures proportional to products of unnormalised transition densities. These transition densities are assumed to be intractable but…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-13 Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff , Jimmy Olsson

We apply extensive Monte Carlo simulations to study the probability distribution $P(m)$ of the order parameter $m$ for the simple cubic Ising model with periodic boundary condition at the transition point. Sampling is performed with the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-03-18 Jiahao Xu , Alan M. Ferrenberg , David P. Landau

The investigation of freezing transitions of single polymers is computationally demanding, since surface effects dominate the nucleation process. In recent studies we have systematically shown that the freezing properties of flexible,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2012-07-18 Stefan Schnabel , Michael Bachmann , Wolfhard Janke

We develop a biased Monte Carlo algorithm to measure probabilities of rare events in cluster-cluster aggregation for arbitrary collision kernels. Given a trajectory with a fixed number of collisions, the algorithm modifies both the waiting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-24 Rahul Dandekar , R. Rajesh , V. Subashri , Oleg Zaboronski

Monte Carlo methods can provide accurate p-value estimates of word counting test statistics and are easy to implement. They are especially attractive when an asymptotic theory is absent or when either the search sequence or the word pattern…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-01 Hock Peng Chan , Nancy R. Zhang , Louis H. Y. Chen

We present the MCscales approach for incorporating scale uncertainties in parton distribution functions (PDFs). The new methodology builds on the Monte Carlo sampling for propagating experimental uncertainties into the PDF space that…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-03-27 Zahari Kassabov , Maria Ubiali , Cameron Voisey
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