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Temporal graphs represent the dynamic relationships among entities and occur in many real life application like social networks, e commerce, communication, road networks, biological systems, and many more. They necessitate research beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Shubham Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur

Most work on causality in machine learning assumes that causal relationships are driven by a constant underlying process. However, the flexibility of agents' actions or tipping points in the environmental process can change the qualitative…

Causal interactions in time series networks can be dynamic and nonlinear, making it difficult to identify them using conventional linear causality estimations. We propose a novel approach, called Threshold Autoregressive Modeling for…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-19 Sipan Aslan , Hernando Ombao

A key question in many network studies is whether the observed correlations between units are primarily due to contagion or latent confounding. Here, we study this question using a segregated graph (Shpitser, 2015) representation of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Yufeng Wu , Rohit Bhattacharya

Experiments in many fields of science and engineering yield data in the form of time series. The Fourier and wavelet transform-based nonparametric methods are used widely to study the spectral characteristics of these time series data.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Mukeshwar Dhamala , Govindan Rangarajan , Mingzhou Ding

Many time-evolving systems in nature, society and technology leave traces of the interactions within them. These interactions form temporal networks that reflect the states of the systems. In this work, we pursue a coarse-grained…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-02-07 Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

Human perception and behavior are affected by the situational context, in particular during social interactions. A recent study demonstrated that humans perceive visual stimuli differently depending on whether they do the task by themselves…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-12 Maria Tsfasman , Anja Philippsen , Carlo Mazzola , Serge Thill , Alessandra Sciutti , Yukie Nagai

Causal decomposition depicts a cause-effect relationship that is not based on the concept of prediction, but based on the phase dependence of time series. It has been validated in both stochastic and deterministic systems and is now…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-18 Yi Zhang , Qin Yang , Lifu Zhang , Branko Celler , Steven Su , Peng Xu , Dezhong Yao

Many different analysis techniques have been developed and applied to EEG recordings that allow one to investigate how different brain areas interact. One particular class of methods, based on the linear parametric representation of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-09 Frederik van de Steen , Luca Faes , Esin Karahan , Jitkomut Songsiri , Pedro Antonio Valdes Sosa , Daniele Marinazzo

Accurate flight delay prediction is crucial for the secure and effective operation of the air traffic system. Recent advances in modeling inter-airport relationships present a promising approach for investigating flight delay prediction…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Qihui Zhu , Shenwen Chen , Tong Guo , Yisheng Lv , Wenbo Du

A great deal of effort has gone into trying to model social influence --- including the spread of behavior, norms, and ideas --- on networks. Most models of social influence tend to assume that individuals react to changes in the states of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-04 Se-Wook Oh , Mason A. Porter

We introduce a novel framework for temporal causal discovery and inference that addresses two key challenges: complex nonlinear dependencies and spurious correlations. Our approach employs a multi-layer Transformer-based time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Jihua Huang , Yi Yao , Ajay Divakaran

This paper proposes a theory for understanding perceptual learning processes within the general framework of laws of nature. Neural networks are regarded as systems whose connections are Lagrangian variables, namely functions depending on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-08-29 Alessandro Betti , Marco Gori , Stefano Melacci

Multi-layered networks represent a major advance in the description of natural complex systems, and their study has shed light on new physical phenomena. Despite its importance, however, the role of the temporal dimension in their structure…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-07 Michele Starnini , Andrea Baronchelli , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

Time lags are ubiquitous in biophysiological processes and more generally in real-world complex networks. It has been recently proposed to use information-theoretic tools such as transfer entropy to detect and estimate a possible delay in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-03 M. L. Rosinberg , G. Tarjus , T. Munakata

Causal discovery problems use a set of observations to deduce causality between variables in the real world, typically to answer questions about biological or physical systems. These observations are often recorded at regular time…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-24 Kurt Butler , Damian Machlanski , Panagiotis Dimitrakopoulos , Sotirios A. Tsaftaris

We present a novel task that measures how people generalize objects' causal powers based on observing a single (Experiment 1) or a few (Experiment 2) causal interactions between object pairs. We propose a computational modeling framework…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-25 Bonan Zhao , Christopher G. Lucas , Neil R. Bramley

Although instantaneous interactions are unphysical, a large variety of maximum entropy statistical inference methods match the model-inferred and the empirically-measured equal-time correlation functions. Focusing on collective motion of…

Identifying ``true causality'' is a fundamental challenge in complex systems research. Widely adopted methods, like the Granger causality test, capture statistical dependencies between variables rather than genuine driver-response…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-05 Yingzhu Liu , Shengyuan Huang , Zhongkui Li , Xiaoguang Yang , Wenjun Mei

Learning Granger causality for general point processes is a very challenging task. In this paper, we propose an effective method, learning Granger causality, for a special but significant type of point processes --- Hawkes process. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-14 Hongteng Xu , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Hongyuan Zha