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A key question in evolution is how likely a mutant is to take over. This depends on natural selection and on stochastic fluctuations. Population spatial structure can impact mutant fixation probabilities. We introduce a model for structured…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-23 Loïc Marrec , Irene Lamberti , Anne-Florence Bitbol

The forest of mutations associated to a multitype branching forest is obtained by merging together all vertices of its clusters and by preserving connections between them. We first show that the forest of mutations of any mulitype branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-06 Loïc Chaumont , Thi Ngoc Anh Nguyen

We are interested in the evolving genealogy of a birth and death process with trait structure and ecological interactions. Traits are hereditarily transmitted from a parent to its offspring unless a mutation occurs. The dynamics may depend…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-20 Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

Motivated by the wide range of known self-replicating systems, some far from genetics, we study a system composed by individuals having an internal dynamics with many possible states that are partially stable, with varying mutation rates.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-10-07 Tommaso Brotto , Guy Bunin , Jorge Kurchan

We study the evolution of the population size distribution of a critical Galton-Watson process with infinite variance of the offspring size of particles assuming that the population size is unusually small at the distant moment $n$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

Genetic fitness optimization using small populations or small population updates across generations generally suffers from randomly diverging evolutions. We propose a notion of highly probable fitness optimization through feasible…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Paul Vitanyi

We updated the agent based Monte Carlo code HERITAGE that simulates human evolution within restrictive environments such as interstellar, sub-light speed spacecraft in order to include the effects of population genetics. We incorporated a…

Popular Physics · Physics 2021-02-03 F. Marin , C. Beluffi , F. Fischer

Certain Markov processes, or deterministic evolution equations, have the property that they are dual to a stochastic process that exhibits extinction versus unbounded growth, i.e., the total mass in such a process either becomes zero, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jan M. Swart

By introducing the notions of living and dead nodes a new model of random tree evolution with continuous time parameter has been constructed. It is assumed that two random variables, the lifetime and the offspring number of living nodes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Pal

Fundamental properties of macroscopic gene-mating dynamic evolutionary systems are investigated. We focus on a single locus, any number of alleles in a two-gender dioecious population, for a large class of systems within population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-22 Juven Wang , Jiunn-Wei Chen

We consider a class of density-dependent branching processes which generalises exponential, logistic and Gompertz growth. A population begins with a single individual, grows exponentially initially, and then growth may slow down as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-11 David Cheek

Kingman's model describes the evolution of a one-locus haploid population of infinite size and discrete generations under the competition of selection and mutation. A random generalisation has been made in a previous paper which assumes all…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Linglong Yuan

The evolution of a quantity, described by a function of space and time, relates the first derivative in time of this function to a spatial operator applied to the function. The initial value of the function at time $t=0$ is given. The…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Michelle M. Wyss , Walter Wyss

We present a statistical analysis of biological evolution processes. Specifically, we study the stochastic replication-mutation-death model where the population of a species may grow or shrink by birth or death, respectively, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

We study a class of evolution models, where the breeding process involves an arbitrary exchangeable process, allowing for mutations to appear. The population size $n$ is fixed, hence after breeding, selection is applied. Individuals are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Daniela Bertacchi , Juri Lember , Fabio Zucca

Which factors govern the evolution of mutation rates and emergence of species? Here, we address this question using a first principles model of life where population dynamics of asexual organisms is coupled to molecular properties and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Muyoung Heo , Louis Kang , Eugene I. Shakhnovich

Textual analysis of typical microbial genomes reveals that they have the statistical characteristics of a DNA sequence of a much shorter length. This peculiar property supports an evolutionary model in which a genome evolves by random…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 L. C. Hsieh , L. F. Luo , F. M. Ji , H. C. Lee

We consider Markov jump processes describing structured populations with interactions via density dependance. We propose a Markov construction with a distinguished individual which allows to describe the random tree and random sample at a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Vincent Bansaye

We explore the connection between evolution and large-deviation theory. To do so, we study evolutionary dynamics in which individuals experience mutations, reproduction, and selection using variants of the Moran model. We show that, in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-09 Sara Dal Cengio , Quentin Laurenceau , Vivien Lecomte , Charline Smadi , Julien Tailleur

Evolution is the process of optimal adaptation of biological populations to their living environments. This is expressed via the concept of fitness, defined as relative reproductive success. However, it has been pointed out that this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-17 Luís MA Bettencourt , Brandon J Grandison , Jordan T Kemp