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We propose an adaptive importance sampling scheme for the simulation of rare events when the underlying dynamics is given by a diffusion. The scheme is based on a Gibbs variational principle that is used to determine the optimal (i.e.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Carsten Hartmann , Omar Kebiri , Lara Neureither , Lorenz Richter

We present an algorithm for the stochastic simulation of gene expression and heterogeneous population dynamics. The algorithm combines an exact method to simulate molecular-level fluctuations in single cells and a constant-number Monte…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-08-24 Daniel A. Charlebois , Jukka Intosalmi , Dawn Fraser , Mads Kaern

Branching processes are a class of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) prevalent for modeling stochastic population dynamics in ecology, biology, epidemiology, and many other fields. The transient or finite-time behavior of these systems…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-24 Achal Awasthi , Jason Xu

From the point of view of statistical mechanics, a full characterisation of a molecular system requires the experimental determination of its possible states, their populations and the respective interconversion rates. Well-established…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-02 Z. Faidon Brotzakis , Michele Vendruscolo , Peter. G. Bolhuis

Diffusions are a fundamental class of models in many fields, including finance, engineering, and biology. Simulating diffusions is challenging as their sample paths are infinite-dimensional and their transition functions are typically…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-11 Paul A. Jenkins , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts , Michael Sørensen

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

The discrete class algorithm presented in this paper is an efficient simulation tool for stochastic processes governed by a reasonably small set of transition rates. The algorithm is presented, its performance compared to prevailing methods…

Computational Physics · Physics 2008-02-03 Hans E. Plesser , Dietmar Wendt

The kinetics of collective rearrangements in solution, such as protein folding and nanocrystal phase transitions, often involve free energy barriers that are both long and rough. Applying methods of transition path sampling to harvest…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 M. Grünwald , P. L. Geissler , C. Dellago

We present a new method for simulating Markovian jump processes with time-dependent transitions rates, which avoids the transformation of random numbers by inverting time integrals over the rates. It relies on constructing a sequence of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-20 Viktor Holubec , Petr Chvosta , Mario Einax , Philipp Maass

The stochastic simulation algorithm (SSA) and the corresponding Monte Carlo (MC) method are among the most common approaches for studying stochastic processes. They rely on knowledge of interevent probability density functions (PDFs) and on…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-12 S. Rusconi , E. Akhmatskaya , D. Sokolovski , N. Ballard , J. C. de la Cal

We study long-range interacting systems driven by external stochastic forces that act collectively on all the particles constituting the system. Such a scenario is frequently encountered in the context of plasmas, self-gravitating systems,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-03 Cesare Nardini , Shamik Gupta , Stefano Ruffo , Thierry Dauxois , Freddy Bouchet

The ability to predict accurate thermodynamic and kinetic properties in biomolecular systems is of both scientific and practical utility. While both remain very difficult, predictions of kinetics are particularly difficult because rates, in…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2018-06-13 Yong Wang , Omar Valsson , Pratyush Tiwary , Michele Parrinello , Kresten Lindorff-Larsen

A strategy for finding transition paths connecting two stable basins is presented. The starting point is the Hamilton principle of stationary action; we show how it can be transformed into a minimum principle through the addition of…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-11-07 Daniele Passerone , Matteo Ceccarelli , Michele Parrinello

The purpose of this paper is to examine the Lagrangian stochastic modeling of the fluid velocity seen by inertial particles in a nonhomogeneous turbulent flow. A new Langevin-type model, compatible with the transport equation of the drift…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2009-07-01 Boris Arcen , Anne Tanière

Stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems can undergo rapid transitions relative to the change in their forcing, for example due to the occurrence of multiple equilibrium solutions for a specific interval of parameters. In this paper, we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-11-12 S. Baars , D. Castellana , F. W. Wubs , H. A. Dijkstra

We present a new Monte Carlo algorithm that produces results of high accuracy with reduced simulational effort. Independent random walks are performed (concurrently or serially) in different, restricted ranges of energy, and the resultant…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Fugao Wang , D. P. Landau

Herein, we introduce and study a new class of discrete random fields designed for quick simulation and covariance inference under inhomogeneous condition. Simulation of these correlated fields can be done in a single pass instead of relying…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-05 Biao Wu , Michael A. Kouritzin , Fraser Newton

We present a data-driven point of view for rare events, which represent conformational transitions in biochemical reactions modeled by over-damped Langevin dynamics on manifolds in high dimensions. We first reinterpret the transition state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-06 Yuan Gao , Tiejun Li , Xiaoguang Li , Jian-Guo Liu

We explore the distribution of paths followed in fluctuation-induced switching between coexisting stable states. We introduce a quantitative characteristic of the path distribution in phase space that does not require a priori knowledge of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 H. B. Chan , M. I. Dykman , C. Stambaugh

We introduce a variational algorithm to estimate the likelihood of a rare event within a nonequilibrium molecular dynamics simulation through the evaluation of an optimal control force. Optimization of a control force within a chosen basis…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-14 Avishek Das , David T. Limmer