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We present the analytic solution of the self-organized critical (SOC) forest-fire model in one dimension proving SOC in systems without conservation laws by analytic means. Under the condition that the system is in the steady state and very…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 Barbara Drossel , Siegfried Clar , Franz Schwabl

Forest-savanna bistability - the hypothesis that forests and savannas exist as alternative stable states in the tropics - and its implications are key challenges for mathematical modelers and ecologists in the context of ongoing climate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-05 Kimberly Shen , Simon Levin , Denis D. Patterson

A stochastic theory for the toppling activity in sandpile models is developed, based on a simple mean-field assumption about the toppling process. The theory describes the process as an anti-persistent Gaussian walk, where the diffusion…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Martin Rypdal , Kristoffer Rypdal

We propose a Bayesian stochastic cellular automata modeling approach to model the spread of wildfires with uncertainty quantification. The model considers a dynamic neighborhood structure that allows neighbor states to inform transition…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-07 Nicholas Grieshop , Christopher K. Wikle

Extended Self-Similarity (ESS), a procedure that remarkably extends the range of scaling for structure functions in Navier--Stokes turbulence and thus allows improved determination of intermittency exponents, has never been fully explained.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-04-29 Sagar Chakraborty , Uriel Frisch , Samriddhi Sankar Ray

Many natural or human-made systems encompassing local reactions and diffusion processes exhibit spatially distributed patterns of some relevant dynamical variable. These interactions, through self-organization and critical phenomena, give…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2024-07-08 Jean-François de Kemmeter , Adam Byrne , Amy Dunne , Timoteo Carletti , Malbor Asllani

We review the properties of the self-organized critical (SOC) forest-fire model. The paradigm of self-organized criticality refers to the tendency of certain large dissipative systems to drive themselves into a critical state independent of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Siegfried Clar , Barbara Drossel , Franz Schwabl

Accurate spatiotemporal modeling of conditions leading to moderate and large wildfires provides better understanding of mechanisms driving fire-prone ecosystems and improves risk management. We here develop a joint model for the occurrence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Jonathan Koh , François Pimont , Jean-Luc Dupuy , Thomas Opitz

The influence of dissipation on the fluctuation statistics of the total energy is investigated through both a phenomenological and a stochastic model for dissipative energy-transfer through a cascade of states. In equilibrium the states…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-06-27 Eric Bertin , Peter C. W. Holdsworth

We study the energy level spacing of perturbed conformal minimal models in finite volume, considering perturbations of such models that are massive but not necessarily integrable. We compute their spectrum using a renormalization group…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 G. P. Brandino , R. M. Konik , G. Mussardo

We reconsider a model introduced by Bak, Chen, and Tang (Phys. Rev. A 38, 364 (1988)) as a supposedly self-organized critical model for forest fires. We verify again that the model is not critical in 2 dimensions, as found also by previous…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 Hans-Martin Bröker , Peter Grassberger

The Drossel-Schwabl Forest Fire Model is one of the best studied models of non-conservative self-organised criticality. However, using a new algorithm, which allows us to study the model on large statistical and spatial scales, it has been…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Gunnar Pruessner , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

This paper focuses on the statistical properties of wild-land fires and, in particular, investigates if spread dynamics relates to simple invasion model. The fractal dimension and lacunarity of three fire scars classified from satellite…

The critical dimension necessary for a flame to propagate in suspensions of fuel particles in oxidizer is studied analytically and numerically. Two types of models are considered: First, a continuum model, wherein the individual particulate…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-12-23 Fredric Y. K. Lam , XiaoCheng Mi , Andrew J. Higgins

Propagation of premixed flames having thick reaction zones in rapidly-varying, small-scale, zero-mean, spatio-temporal periodic flows is considered. Techniques of large activation energy asymptotics and homogenization theory are used to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-01 Prabakaran Rajamanickam , Joel Daou

Scaling laws in astrophysical systems that involve the energy, the geometry, and the spatio-temporal evolution, provide the theoretical framework for physical models of energy dissipation processes. A leading model is the standard…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-13 Markus J. Aschwanden , Alexandre Araujo

In 2023, Sicily faced an escalating issue of uncontrolled fires, necessitating a thorough investigation into their spatio-temporal dynamics. Our study addresses this concern through point process theory. Each wildfire is treated as a unique…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-19 Nicoletta D'Angelo , Alessandro Albano , Andrea Gilardi , Giada Adelfio

A Gibbs-like approach for simultaneous multi-scale correlation functions in random, time-dependent, multiplicative processes for the turbulent energy cascade is investigated. We study the optimal log-normal Gibbs-like distribution able to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-06-13 Roberto Benzi , Luca Biferale , Mauro Sbragaglia

The aim of this review is to provide a concise overview of some of the generic approaches that have been developed to deal with the statistical description of large systems of interacting dissipative 'units'. The latter notion includes,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-08 Eric Bertin

The Drossel-Schwabl model of forest fires can be interpreted in a coarse grained sense as a model for the stress distribution in a single planar fault. Fires in the model are then translated to earthquakes. I show that when a second class…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-15 E. A. Jagla