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In this work, we develop an equilibrium model for price formation of securities in a market composed of two populations of different types: the first one consists of cooperative agents, while the other one consists of non-cooperative…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-22 Masaaki Fujii

Stock price change in financial market occurs through transactions in analogy with diffusion in stochastic physical systems. The analysis of price changes in real markets shows that long-range correlations of price fluctuations largely…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 V. Gontis

We attempt to explain stock market dynamics in terms of the interaction among three variables: market price, investor opinion and information flow. We propose a framework for such interaction and apply it to build a model of stock market…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-23 Maxim Gusev , Dimitri Kroujiline , Boris Govorkov , Sergey V. Sharov , Dmitry Ushanov , Maxim Zhilyaev

The key idea of this model is that firms are the result of an evolutionary process. Based on demand and supply considerations the evolutionary model presented here derives explicitly Gibrat's law of proportionate effects as the result of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-11 Joachim Kaldasch

As Large Language Models (LLMs) become increasingly integrated into financial systems, understanding their behavioural properties is crucial. Do LLMs conform to the rational expectations paradigm, do they exhibit human-like "animal…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-30 Maxime Saxena , Marco Pangallo , Cars Hommes , Fabio Caccioli , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona

The paper presents a step forward into the development of the theory of meaning. Stock and financial markets are examined from communication-theoretical perspective on the dynamics of information and meaning. This study focuses on the link…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-19 Inga Ivanova

Social networks are organized into communities with dense internal connections, giving rise to high values of the clustering coefficient. In addition, these networks have been observed to be assortative, i.e. highly connected vertices tend…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-08 R. Toivonen , J. -P. Onnela , J. Saramäki , J. Hyvönen , K. Kaski

We propose a simple market model where agents trade different types of products with each other by using money, relying only on local information. Value fluctuations of single products, combined with the condition of maximum profit in…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-24 Raul Donangelo , Alex Hansen , Kim Sneppen , Sergio R. Souza

In the present work we introduce a stochastic cellular automata model in order to simulate the dynamics of the stock market. A direct percolation method is used to create a hierarchy of clusters of active traders on a two dimensional grid.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Bartolozzi , A. W. Thomas

New theoretical approaches about forecasting stock markets are proposed. A mathematization of the stock market in terms of arithmetical relations is given, where some simple (non-differential, non-fractal) expressions are also suggested as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 Caglar Tuncay

Agent-based models (ABMs) are fit to model heterogeneous, interacting systems like financial markets. We present the latest advances in Evology: a heterogeneous, empirically calibrated market ecology agent-based model of the US stock…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-02-03 Aymeric Vie , J. Doyne Farmer

The aim of this paper is to propose a heterogeneous agent model of stock markets that develop complicated endogenous price fluctuations. We find occurrences of non-stationary chaos, or speculative bubble, are caused by the heterogeneity of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

Financial markets have been extensively studied as highly complex evolving systems. In this paper, we quantify financial price fluctuations through a coupled dynamical system composed of phase oscillators. We find a Financial Coherence and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-10 Shangmei Zhao , Qiuchao Xie , Qing Lu , Xin Jiang , Wei Chen

Financial markets show a number of non-stationarities, ranging from volatility fluctuations over ever changing technical and regulatory market conditions to seasonalities. On the other hand, financial markets show various stylized facts…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-19 Sebastian M. Krause , Jonas A. Fiegen , Thomas Guhr

Computer modelling for evolutionary systems consists in: 1) to store in the memory the individual features of each member of a large population; and 2) to update the whole system repeatedly, as time goes by, according to some prescribed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Paulo Murilo Castro de Oliveira

In retrospect, the experimental findings on competitive market behavior called for a revival of the old, classical, view of competition as a collective higgling and bargaining process (as opposed to price-taking behaviors) founded on…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-04 Sabiou Inoua , Vernon Smith

This study is a detailed analysis of Speculation Game, a minimal agent-based model of financial markets, in which the round-trip trading and the dynamic wealth evolution with variable trading volumes are implemented. Instead of herding…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-10 Kei Katahira , Yu Chen

The seceder model illustrates how the desire to be different than the average can lead to formation of groups in a population. We turn the original, agent based, seceder model into a model of network evolution. We find that the structural…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Andreas Gronlund , Petter Holme

A financial system contains many elements networked by their relationships. Extensive works show that topological structure of the network stores rich information on evolutionary behaviors of the system such as early warning signals of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-09 Li Zhou , Lu Qiu , Changgui Gu , Huijie Yang

In this review article we explore several recent advances in the quantitative modeling of financial markets. We begin with the Efficient Markets Hypothesis and describe how this controversial idea has stimulated a number of new directions…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-31 J. Doyne Farmer , Andrew W. Lo
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