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Monte Carlo methods to evaluate and maximize the likelihood function enable the construction of confidence intervals and hypothesis tests, facilitating scientific investigation using models for which the likelihood function is intractable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-13 Edward L. Ionides , Carles Breto , Joonha Park , Richard A. Smith , Aaron A. King

Due to the potential benefits of parallelization, designing unbiased Monte Carlo estimators, primarily in the setting of randomized multilevel Monte Carlo, has recently become very popular in operations research and computational…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-03 Guanyang Wang , Jose Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful method for drawing samples from non-standard probability distributions and is utilized across many fields and disciplines. Methods such as Metropolis-Adjusted Langevin (MALA) and Hamiltonian…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-28 Lee Devlin , Paul Horridge , Peter L. Green , Simon Maskell

A new class of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, based on simulating piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs), have recently shown great promise: they are non-reversible, can mix better than standard MCMC algorithms, and…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-23 Augustin Chevallier , Paul Fearnhead , Matthew Sutton

An important feature of Bayesian statistics is the opportunity to do sequential inference: the posterior distribution obtained after seeing a dataset can be used as prior for a second inference. However, when Monte Carlo sampling methods…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-24 Bram Thijssen , Lodewyk F. A. Wessels

Monte Carlo statistical ray-tracing methods are commonly employed to simulate carrier transport in nanostructured materials. In the case of a large degree of nanostructuring and under linear response (small driving fields), these…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2023-02-09 Pankaj Priyadarshi , Neophytos Neophytou

We address the possibility of performing numerical Monte Carlo simulations for the thermodynamics of quantum dissipative systems. Dissipation is considered within the Caldeira-Leggett formulation, which describes the system in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Luca Capriotti , Alessandro Cuccoli , Andrea Fubini , Valerio Tognetti , Ruggero Vaia

In this note we apply the recently established Wiener-Hopf Monte Carlo (WHMC) simulation technique for Levy processes from Kuznetsov et al. [17] to path functionals, in particular first passage times, overshoots, undershoots and the last…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-04 Albert Ferreiro-Castilla , Kees van Schaik

The computational complexity of naive, sampling-based uncertainty quantification for 3D partial differential equations is extremely high. Multilevel approaches, such as multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC), can reduce the complexity significantly,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-07-13 Björn Gmeiner , Daniel Drzisga , Ulrich Ruede , Robert Scheichl , Barbara Wohlmuth

Coupled cluster theory is a vital cornerstone of electronic structure theory and is being applied to ever-larger systems. Stochastic approaches to quantum chemistry have grown in importance and offer compelling advantages over traditional…

Multi-sample, importance-weighted variational autoencoders (IWAE) give tighter bounds and more accurate uncertainty estimates than variational autoencoders (VAE) trained with a standard single-sample objective. However, IWAEs scale poorly:…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-18 Laurence Aitchison

In Monte Carlo simulations, proposed configurations are accepted or rejected according to an acceptance ratio, which depends on an underlying probability distribution and an a priori sampling probability. By carefully selecting the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-02-09 Emanuel Casiano-Diaz , Kipton Barros , Ying Wai Li , Adrian Del Maestro

Although histogram methods have been extremely effective for analyzing data from Monte Carlo simulations, they do have certain limitations, including the range over which they are valid and the difficulties of combining data from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Robert H. Swendsen , Jian-Sheng Wang , Shing-Te Li , Brian Diggs , Christopher Genovese , Joseph B. Kadane

We consider the problem of adaptive stratified sampling for Monte Carlo integration of a differentiable function given a finite number of evaluations to the function. We construct a sampling scheme that samples more often in regions where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-10-22 Alexandra Carpentier , Rémi Munos

By precisely writing down the matrix element of the local Boltzmann operator, we have proposed a new path integral formulation for quantum field theory and developed a corresponding Monte Carlo algorithm. With current formula, the…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2022-03-08 J. Wang , W. Pan , D. Y. Sun

There is significant interest in rapid protein simulations because of the time-scale limitations of all-atom methods. Exploiting the low cost and great availability of computer memory, we report a Monte Carlo technique for incorporating…

Biological Physics · Physics 2008-12-04 Artem B. Mamonov , Divesh Bhatt , Derek J. Cashman , Daniel M. Zuckerman

Monte Carlo (MC) integration is an important calculational technique in the physical sciences. Practical considerations require that the calculations are performed as accurately as possible for a given set of computational resources. To…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-11-08 Prasanth Shyamsundar , Jacob L. Scott , Stephen Mrenna , Konstantin T. Matchev , Kyoungchul Kong

We discuss the use of a recent class of sequential Monte Carlo methods for solving inverse problems characterized by a semi-linear structure, i.e. where the data depend linearly on a subset of variables and nonlinearly on the remaining…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-06 Sara Sommariva , Alberto Sorrentino

We introduce a Monte Carlo algorithm to efficiently compute transport properties of chaotic dynamical systems. Our method exploits the importance sampling technique that favors trajectories in the tail of the distribution of displacements,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-25 Diego Tapias , David P. Sanders , Eduardo G. Altmann

There has been substantial interest in developing Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms based on piecewise-deterministic Markov processes. However existing algorithms can only be used if the target distribution of interest is differentiable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-12 Augustin Chevallier , Sam Power , Andi Q. Wang , Paul Fearnhead