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Multivariate probability density functions of returns are constructed in order to model the empirical behavior of returns in a financial time series. They describe the well-established deviations from the Gaussian random walk, such as an…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-08-23 E. Alessio , V. Frappietro , M. I. Krivoruchenko , L. J. Streckert

In this paper we discuss the problem of the estimation of extreme event occurrence probability for data drawn from some multifractal process. We also study the heavy (power-law) tail behavior of probability density function associated with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jean-Francois Muzy , Emmanuel Bacry , Alexey Kozhemyak

Multifractality in time series analysis characterizes the presence of multiple scaling exponents, indicating heterogeneous temporal structures and complex dynamical behaviors beyond simple monofractal models. In the context of digital…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-16 Stanisław Drożdż , Robert Kluszczyński , Jarosław Kwapień , Marcin Wątorek

We consider the tail probabilities of stock returns for a general class of stochastic volatility models. In these models, the stochastic differential equation for volatility is autonomous, time-homogeneous and dependent on only a finite…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-21 Henrik O. Rasmussen , Paul Wilmott

In this pre-print we explore the multi-fractal properties of 1 minute traded volume of the equities which compose the Dow Jones 30. We also evaluate the weights of linear and non-linear dependences in the multi-fractal structure of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 L. G. Moyano , J. de Souza , S. M. Duarte Queiros

We investigate the two components of the total daily return (close-to-close), the overnight return (close-to-open) and the daytime return (open-to-close), as well as the corresponding volatilities of the 2215 NYSE stocks from 1988 to 2007.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-02 Fengzhong Wang , Shwu-Jane Shieh , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

In present paper, we investigate the multifractality signatures in hourly time series extracted from CoRoT spacecraft database. Our analysis is intended to highlight the possibility that astrophysical time series can be members of a…

Multifractal processes are a relatively new tool of stock market analysis. Their power lies in the ability to take multiple orders of autocorrelations into account explicitly. In the first part of the paper we discuss the framework of the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

We perform an extensive empirical analysis of scaling properties of equity returns, suggesting that financial data show time varying multifractal properties. This is obtained by comparing empirical observations of the weighted generalised…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-12 Raffaello Morales , T. Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

Multivariate probability density functions of returns are constructed in order to model the empirical behavior of returns in a financial time series. They describe the well-established deviations from the Gaussian random walk, such as an…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 M. I. Krivoruchenko , E. Alessio , V. Frappietro , L. J. Streckert

Based on the tick-by-tick stock prices from the German and American stock markets, we study the statistical properties of the distribution of the individual stocks and the index returns in highly collective and noisy intervals of trading,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-24 J. Kwapien , S. Drozdz , J. Speth

Stock markets can become inefficient due to calendar anomalies known as day-of-the-week effect. Calendar anomalies are well-known in financial literature, but the phenomena remain to be explored in econophysics. In this paper we use…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-04 Darko Stosic , Dusan Stosic , Irena Vodenska , H. Eugene Stanley , Tatijana Stosic

It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Pierre Cizeau , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

This paper builds a model of high-frequency equity returns by separately modeling the dynamics of trade-time returns and trade arrivals. Our main contributions are threefold. First, we characterize the distributional behavior of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-02 Eric M. Aldrich , Indra Heckenbach , Gregory Laughlin

Fluctuations in the return time statistics of a dynamical system can be described by a new spectrum of dimensions. Comparison with the usual multifractal analysis of measures is presented, and difference between the two corresponding sets…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 N. Hadyn , J. Luevano , G. Mantica , S. Vaienti

Although recent studies have found that the long-term correlations relating to the fat-tailed distribution of inter-event times exist in human activity, and that these correlations indicate the presence of fractality, the property of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-03 Yu-Hao Qin , Zhi-Dan Zhao , Shi-Min Cai , Liang Gao , H. Eugene Stanley

We present a comparative analysis of multifractal properties of financial time series built on stock indices from developing (WIG) and developed (S&P500) financial markets. It is shown how the multifractal image of the market is altered…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-19 Dariusz Grech , Lukasz Czarnecki

We have performed detailed multifractal analysis on the minutely volatility of two indexes and 1139 stocks in the Chinese stock markets based on the partition function approach. The partition function $\chi_q(s)$ scales as a power law with…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

Social, technological and economic time series are divided by events which are usually assumed to be random albeit with some hierarchical structure. It is well known that the interevent statistics observed in these contexts differs from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 J. Perello , J. Masoliver , A. Kasprzak , R. Kutner

The multifractal spectra of daily foreign exchange rates for US dollar (USD), the British Pound (GBP), the Euro (Euro) and the Japanese Yen (Yen) with respect to the Indian Rupee are analysed for the period 6th January 1999 to 24th July…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-29 R. P. Datta