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The cross-correlations between the exchange rate fluctuations of 74 currencies over the period 1995-2012 are analyzed in this paper. The eigenvalue distribution of the cross-correlation matrix exhibits a bulk which approximately matches the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-02 Sitabhra Sinha , Uday Kovur

We study the volatility of the S&P500 stock index from 1984 to 1996 and find that the volatility distribution can be very well described by a log-normal function. Further, using detrended fluctuation analysis we show that the volatility is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Pierre Cizeau , Yanhui Liu , Martin Meyer , C. -K. Peng , H. Eugene Stanley

We present a stochastic analysis of a data set consisiting of 10^6 quotes of the US Doller - German Mark exchange rate. Evidence is given that the price changes x(tau) upon different delay times tau can be described as a Markov process…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 C. Renner , J. Peinke , R. Friedrich

Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-10 Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin

This work deals with both instantaneous uniform mixing property and temporal standard deviation for continuous-time quantum random walks on circles in order to study their fluctuations comparing with discrete-time quantum random walks, and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Norio Inui , Koichiro Kasahara , Yoshinao Konishi , Norio Konno

In this paper we present a rather general phenomenological theory of tick-by-tick dynamics in financial markets. Many well-known aspects, such as the L\'evy scaling form, follow as particular cases of the theory. The theory fully takes into…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Enrico Scalas , Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi

In this paper, we quantitatively investigate the statistical properties of a statistical ensemble of stock prices. We selected 1200 stocks traded on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, and formed a statistical ensemble of daily stock prices for each…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-26 Taisei Kaizoji

Based on empirical financial time-series, we show that the "silence-breaking" probability follows a super-universal power law: the probability of observing a large movement is inversely proportional to the length of the on-going…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-06 Robert Kitt , Maksim Sakki , Jaan Kalda

The use of kinetic modelling based on partial differential equations for the dynamics of stock price formation in financial markets is briefly reviewed. The importance of behavioral aspects in market booms and crashes and the role of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-12 Dario Maldarella , Lorenzo Pareschi

The dynamics of a stock market with heterogeneous agents is discussed in the framework of a recently proposed spin model for the emergence of bubbles and crashes. We relate the log returns of stock prices to magnetization in the model and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Taisei Kaizoji , Stefan Bornholdt , Yoshi Fujiwara

For renewal-reward processes with a power-law decaying waiting time distribution, anomalously large probabilities are assigned to atypical values of the asymptotic processes. Previous works have reveals that this anomalous scaling causes a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Masato Itami , Takahiro Nemoto

A phenomenological investigation of the endogenous and exogenous dynamics in the fluctuations of capital fluxes is investigated on the Chinese stock market using mean-variance analysis, fluctuation analysis and their generalizations to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Liang Guo , Wei-Xing Zhou

Coined discrete-time quantum walks are studied using simple deterministic dynamical systems as coins whose classical limit can range from being integrable to chaotic. It is shown that a Loschmidt echo like fidelity plays a central role and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-01-13 Sivaprasad Omanakuttan , Arul Lakshminarayan

This paper proposes a novel model of financial prices where: (i) prices are discrete; (ii) prices change in continuous time; (iii) a high proportion of price changes are reversed in a fraction of a second. Our model is analytically…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-21 Neil Shephard , Justin J. Yang

The fluctuation scaling law has universally been observed in a wide variety of phenomena. For counting processes describing the number of events occurred during time intervals, it is expressed as a power function relationship between the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-07-01 Shinsuke Koyama

The relaxation dynamics of aftershocks after large volatility shocks are investigated based on two high-frequency data sets of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite (SSEC) index. Compared with previous relevant work, we have defined main…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Guo-Hua Mu , Wei-Xing Zhou

We have discovered 12 independent new empirical scaling laws in foreign exchange data-series that hold for close to three orders of magnitude and across 13 currency exchange rates. Our statistical analysis crucially depends on an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-04-01 J. B. Glattfelder , A. Dupuis , R. B. Olsen

The fundamental theorem behind financial markets is that stock prices are intrinsically complex and stochastic. One of the complexities is the volatility associated with stock prices. Volatility is a tendency for prices to change…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Leonard Mushunje , Maxwell Mashasha , Edina Chandiwana

We study the temporal fluctuations in time-dependent stock prices (both individual and composite) as a stochastic phenomenon using general techniques and methods of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. In particular, we analyze stock price…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Constantin , S. Das Sarma

We confirm universal behaviors such as eigenvalue distribution and spacings predicted by Random Matrix Theory (RMT) for the cross correlation matrix of the daily stock prices of Tokyo Stock Exchange from 1993 to 2001, which have been…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Akihiko Utsugi , Kazusumi Ino , Masaki Oshikawa
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