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Confirmation bias is a cognitive bias that adversely affects management decisions, and mathematical modelling is an aid to its detailed understanding. Bias in opinion update about the value of a parameter is modelled here assuming that…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-02-08 Rose D Baker

A statistical estimation model with qualitative input provides a mechanism to fuse human intuition in the form of qualitative information into a statistical model. We investigate the statistical properties of this model and devise a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-21 Seksan Kiatsupaibul , Pariyakorn Maneekul

Recent technological changes have increased connectivity between individuals around the world leading to higher frequency interactions between members of communities that would be otherwise distant and disconnected. This paper examines a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Hossein Noorazar , Matthew Sottile , Kevin Vixie

Understanding how group interactions influence opinion dynamics is fundamental to the study of collective behavior. In this work, we propose and study a model of opinion dynamics on $d$-uniform hypergraphs, where individuals interact…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-18 Thierry Njougouo , Timoteo Carletti , Elio Tuci

In this paper, we will review some of the issues that have been raised by opinion dynamics theory to date. In particular, we conducted a hypothesis-based simulation using a socio-physical approach regarding the filter bubble phenomenon that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-23 Yasuko Kawahata

In this paper, we study opinion dynamics in a balanced social structure consisting of two groups. Agents learn the true state of the world naively learning from their neighbors and from an unbiased source of information. Agents want to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-03 Sebastiano Della Lena , Luca Paolo Merlino

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of some common opinion dynamic models in a continuum of agents. We show that as long as the interactions among the agents are symmetric, the distribution of the agents' opinion converges. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Julien M. Hendrickx , Alex Olshevsky

In modern society people are being exposed to numerous information, with some of them being frequently repeated or more disruptive than others. In this paper we use a model of opinion dynamics to study how this news impact the society. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-24 Gioia Boschi , Chiara Cammarota , Reimer Kühn

Natural and artificial collectives exhibit heterogeneities across different dimensions, contributing to the complexity of their behavior. We investigate the effect of two such heterogeneities on collective opinion dynamics: heterogeneity of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-07 Vito Mengers , Mohsen Raoufi , Oliver Brock , Heiko Hamann , Pawel Romanczuk

We propose a collective opinion formation model with a so-called confirmation bias. The confirmation bias is a psychological effect with which, in the context of opinion formation, an individual in favor of an opinion is prone to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-24 Ryosuke Nishi , Naoki Masuda

We propose and study a stochastic binary opinion model where agents in a group are considered to hold an opinion of 0 or 1 at each moment. An agent in the group updates his/her opinion based on the group's opinion configuration and his/her…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-27 Serap Tay Stamoulas , Muruhan Rathinam

The field of opinion dynamics has its roots in early research that applied methods from magnetic physics to gain insights into the formation of social opinions. A central challenge in this field lies in modeling how diverse opinions coexist…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-02 Yasuko Kawahata

Accurate modeling of opinion dynamics has the potential to help us understand polarization and what makes effective political discourse possible or impossible. Here, we use physics-based methods to model the evolution of political opinions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-07 David Sabin-Miller , Daniel M. Abrams

We study the dynamics of opinion formation in the situation where changing opinion involves a cost for the agents. To do so we couple the dynamics of a heterogeneous bounded confidence Hegselmann-Krause model with that of the resources that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-07 Hendrik Schawe , Laura Hernández

This work consists of an epidemic model with vaccination coupled with an opinion dynamics. Our objective was to study how disease risk perception can influence opinions about vaccination and therefore the spreading of the disease.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-20 Marcelo A. Pires , André L. Oestereich , Nuno Crokidakis

We investigate the dynamics of the majority-rule opinion formation model when voters experience differential latencies. With this extension, voters that just adopted an opinion go into a latent state during which they are excluded from the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-17 Alexander Scheidler

We define an opinion formation model of agents in a 1d ring, where the opinion of an agent evolves due to its interactions with close neighbors and due to its either positive or negative attitude toward the overall mood of all the other…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-05-22 Gerardo Iñiguez , János Kertész , Kimmo K. Kaski , R. A. Barrio

In this paper we study the problem of making predictions using multiple structural casual models defined by different agents, under the constraint that the prediction satisfies the criterion of counterfactual fairness. Relying on the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Fabio Massimo Zennaro , Magdalena Ivanovska

We present two models of continuous opinion dynamics under bounded confidence which are representable as nonnegative discrete dynamical systems, namely the Hegselmann-Krause model (Hegselmann and Krause, Journal of Artificial Societies and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-06-11 Jan Lorenz

People's opinions on a wide range of topics often evolve over time through their interactions with others. Models of opinion dynamics primarily focus on one-dimensional opinions, which represent opinions on one topic. However, opinions on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-01 Grace Jingying Li , Jiajie Luo , Weiqi Chu