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We consider extension of Granger causality to nonlinear bivariate time series. In this frame, if the prediction error of the first time series is reduced by including measurements from the second time series, then the second time series is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Nicola Ancona , Daniele Marinazzo , Sebastiano Stramaglia

Dynamics of complex systems is studied by first considering a chaotic time series generated by Lorenz equations and adding noise to it. The trend (smooth behavior) is separated from fluctuations at different scales using wavelet analysis…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 Dilip P. Ahalpara , Jitendra C. Parikh

Research into time series classification has tended to focus on the case of series of uniform length. However, it is common for real-world time series data to have unequal lengths. Differing time series lengths may arise from a number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-11 Chang Wei Tan , Francois Petitjean , Eamonn Keogh , Geoffrey I. Webb

The multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of time series is able to reveal the presence of long-range correlations and, at the same time, to characterize the self-similarity of the series. The rich information derivable from the…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-06 Enrico Maiorino , Lorenzo Livi , Alessandro Giuliani , Alireza Sadeghian , Antonello Rizzi

In this paper, high frequency wind time series measured at different heights from the ground (from 5.5 to 25.5 meters) in an urban area were investigated. The spectrum of each series is characterized by a power-law behaviour at low…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-17 Luciano Telesca , Mohamed Laib , Fabian Guignard , Dasaraden Mauree , Mikhail Kanevski

Statistical inference for time series such as curve estimation for time-varying models or testing for existence of change-point have garnered significant attention. However, these works are generally restricted to the assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Soham Bonnerjee , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

The concept of Granger causality is increasingly being applied for the characterization of directional interactions in different applications. A multivariate framework for estimating Granger causality is essential in order to account for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Angeliki Papana , Elsa Siggiridou , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

In present paper, we investigate the multifractality signatures in hourly time series extracted from CoRoT spacecraft database. Our analysis is intended to highlight the possibility that astrophysical time series can be members of a…

Granger causality and variants of this concept allow the study of complex dynamical systems as networks constructed from multivariate time series. In this work, a large number of Granger causality measures used to form causality networks…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-08 Elsa Siggiridou , Christos Koutlis , Alkiviadis Tsimpiris , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

Exploratory analysis of time series data can yield a better understanding of complex dynamical systems. Granger causality is a practical framework for analysing interactions in sequential data, applied in a wide range of domains. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-20 Ričards Marcinkevičs , Julia E. Vogt

When dealing with non-stationary systems, for which many time series are available, it is common to divide time in epochs, i.e. smaller time intervals and deal with short time series in the hope to have some form of approximate stationarity…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-11-17 Manan Vyas , T. Guhr , T. H. Seligman

In many scientific fields like e.g. neuroscience, climatology or physics, complex relationships can be described most parsimoniously by nonlinear mechanics. Despite their relevance, many scientists still apply linear estimates in order to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-10-08 Immo Weber , Carina Renate Oehrn

A methodology for high dimensional causal inference in a time series context is introduced. It is assumed that there is a monotonic transformation of the data such that the dynamics of the transformed variables are described by a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-07 Francesco Cordoni , Alessio Sancetta

This chapter discusses correlation analysis of stationary multivariate Gaussian time series in the spectral or Fourier domain. The goal is to identify the hub time series, i.e., those that are highly correlated with a specified number of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2014-04-10 Hamed Firouzi , Dennis Wei , Alfred O. Hero

Multiple metrics have been developed to detect causality relations between data describing the elements constituting complex systems, all of them considering their evolution through time. Here we propose a metric able to detect causality…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-05-20 Massimiliano Zanin

Time series analysis has proven to be a powerful method to characterize several phenomena in biology, neuroscience and economics, and to understand some of their underlying dynamical features. Despite a plethora of methods have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-01 Andrea Santoro , Federico Battiston , Giovanni Petri , Enrico Amico

Different methods are used to determine the scaling exponents associated with a time series describing a complex dynamical process, such as those observed in geophysical systems. Many of these methods are based on the numerical evaluation…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Nicola Scafetta , Bruce J. West

We present a method that allows to distinguish between nearly periodic and strictly periodic time series. To this purpose, we employ a conservative criterion for periodicity, namely that the time series can be interpolated by a periodic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-11-11 Gerrit Ansmann

Ergodicity breaking is a challenge for biological and psychological sciences. Ergodicity is a necessary condition for linear causal modeling. Long-range correlations and non-Gaussianity characterizing various biological and psychological…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-10-05 Damian G. Kelty-Stephen , Madhur Mangalam

The distribution of the return intervals $\tau$ between volatilities above a threshold $q$ for financial records has been approximated by a scaling behavior. To explore how accurate is the scaling and therefore understand the underlined…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-02 Fengzhong Wang , Kazuko Yamasaki , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley