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The intensity of a default time is obtained by assuming that the default indicator process has an absolutely continuous compensator. Here we drop the assumption of absolute continuity with respect to the Lebesgue measure and only assume…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-15 Frank Gehmlich , Thorsten Schmidt

Shape restrictions have played a central role in economics as both testable implications of theory and sufficient conditions for obtaining informative counterfactual predictions. In this paper we provide a general procedure for inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-29 Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Andres Santos

We present cross and time series analysis of price fluctuations in the U.S. Treasury fixed income market. By means of techniques borrowed from statistical physics we show that the correlation among bonds depends strongly on the maturity and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 M. Bernaschi , L. Grilli , L. Marangio , S. Succi , D. Vergni

This paper formulates a model of utility for a continuous time framework that captures the decision-maker's concern with ambiguity about both volatility and drift. Corresponding extensions of some basic results in asset pricing theory are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-22 Larry G. Epstein , Shaolin Ji

We model the term structure of the forward default intensity and the default density by using L\'evy random fields, which allow us to consider the credit derivatives with an after-default recovery payment. As applications, we study the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-14 Lijun Bo , Ying Jiao , Xuewei Yang

This work is focused on the extension and assessment of the monotonicity-preserving scheme in [3] and the local bounds preserving scheme in [5] to hierarchical octree adaptive mesh refinement (AMR). Whereas the former can readily be used on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Jesus Bonilla , Santiago Badia

This paper develops necessary and sufficient conditions for the preservation of asymptotic convergence rates of deterministically and stochastically perturbed ordinary differential equations with regularly varying nonlinearity close to…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2014-09-04 John A. D. Appleby , Denis D. Patterson

Fixed income markets share many features with the equity markets. However there are significant differences as well and many attempts have been done in the past to develop specific tools which describe (and possibly forecasts) the behavior…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Livio Marangio , Alessandro Ramponi , Massimo Bernaschi

In a decision-theoretic framework, the minimax lower bound provides the worst-case performance of estimators relative to a given class of statistical models. For parametric and semiparametric models, the H\'{a}jek--Le Cam local asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Kenta Takatsu , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Regulatory and contractual constraints on individual exposures are standard in insurance and reinsurance markets, but a poorly designed constraint can distort the economic incentives of risk-averse agents. In the unconstrained problem, the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-28 Christopher Blier-Wong , Jean-Gabriel Lauzier

This paper deals with the problem of global parameter estimation of AD(1, n) where n is a positive integer which is a subclass of affine diffusions introduced by Duffie, Filipovic, and Schachermayer. In general affine models are applied to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-13 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Houssem Dahbi , Hamdi Fathallah

The two main approaches in credit risk are the structural approach pioneered in Merton (1974) and the reduced-form framework proposed in Jarrow & Turnbull (1995) and in Artzner & Delbaen (1995). The goal of this article is to provide a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-14 Frank Gehmlich , Thorsten Schmidt

With the reform of interest rate benchmarks, interbank offered rates (IBORs) like LIBOR have been replaced by risk-free rates (RFRs), such as the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) in the U.S. and the Euro Short-Term Rate (\euro STR)…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-27 Alessandro Calvia , Marzia De Donno , Chiara Guardasoni , Simona Sanfelici

This paper addresses the challenge of model uncertainty in quantitative finance, where decisions in portfolio allocation, derivative pricing, and risk management rely on estimating stochastic models from limited data. In practice, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Hans Buehler , Blanka Horvath , Yannick Limmer , Thorsten Schmidt

A simple quantum model explains the Levy-unstable distributions for individual stock returns observed by ref.[1]. The probability density function of the returns is written as the squared modulus of an amplitude. For short time intervals…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Martin Schaden

This paper investigates contraction properties of switched dynamical systems for the case that all modes are non-contracting, thereby extending existing results that require at least one mode to be contracting. Leveraging the property that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-19 Edwin Baum , Zonglin Liu , Yuzhen Qin , Olaf Stursberg

Diffusion is a fundamental physical phenomenon with critical applications in fields such as metallurgy, cell biology, and population dynamics. While standard diffusion is well-understood, anomalous diffusion often requires complex non-local…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-16 Gabriel Barreiro , Vladimir Pérez-Veloz

Neglecting many motivating details for the Park-Pham theorem (previously known as the Kahn-Kalai conjecture), the result starts with a finite set $X$, a non-trivial upper set $\mathcal{F} \subseteq 2^X$, and a particular parameterized…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-08-16 Bryce Alan Christopherson , Darian Colgrove

In applied probability, the normal approximation is often used for the distribution of data with assumed additive structure. This tradition is based on the central limit theorem for sums of (independent) random variables. However, it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Alexandra Dorofeeva , Victor Korolev , Alexander Zeifman

To make medium- and long-term insurance products attractive, it is essential to enable participation in stock market returns. However, to eliminate downside risk, guarantees must be included, which naturally leads to the challenge of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Raquel M. Gaspar , Thorsten Schmidt