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Portfolio optimization is an important process in finance that consists in finding the optimal asset allocation that maximizes expected returns while minimizing risk. When assets are allocated in discrete units, this is a combinatorial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-04 Álvaro Rubio-García , Juan José García-Ripoll , Diego Porras

Stock volatility prediction is an important task in the financial industry. Recent advancements in multimodal methodologies, which integrate both textual and auditory data, have demonstrated significant improvements in this domain, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Shengkun Wang , Taoran Ji , Jianfeng He , Mariam Almutairi , Dan Wang , Linhan Wang , Min Zhang , Chang-Tien Lu

Using recent advances in the econometrics literature, we disentangle from high frequency observations on the transaction prices of a large sample of NYSE stocks a fundamental component and a microstructure noise component. We then relate…

Applications · Statistics 2009-06-11 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jialin Yu

The present article explores the application of randomized control techniques in empirical asset pricing and performance evaluation. It introduces geometric random walks, a class of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, to construct flexible…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-04 Cyril Bachelard , Apostolos Chalkis , Vissarion Fisikopoulos , Elias Tsigaridas

This paper resolves a pivotal open problem on nonparametric inference for nonlinear functionals of volatility matrix. Multiple prominent statistical tasks can be formulated as functionals of volatility matrix, yet a unified statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Richard Y. Chen

In this article we deal with the problem of portfolio allocation by enhancing network theory tools. We use the dependence structure of the correlations network in constructing some well-known risk-based models in which the estimation of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-14 Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi , Asmerilda Hitaj

In machine learning, classifiers are typically susceptible to noise in the training data. In this work, we aim at reducing intra-class noise with the help of graph filtering to improve the classification performance. Considered graphs are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-26 Mounia Hamidouche , Carlos Lassance , Yuqing Hu , Lucas Drumetz , Bastien Pasdeloup , Vincent Gripon

Great research efforts have been devoted to exploiting deep neural networks in stock prediction. While long-range dependencies and chaotic property are still two major issues that lower the performance of state-of-the-art deep learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Junran Wu , Ke Xu , Xueyuan Chen , Shangzhe Li , Jichang Zhao

We propose a novel probabilistic method for detection of objects in noisy images. The method uses results from percolation and random graph theories. We present an algorithm that allows to detect objects of unknown shapes in the presence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-02 Mikhail A. Langovoy , Olaf Wittich

Probabilistic error cancellation is an attempt to reverse the effect of dissipative noise channels on quantum computers by applying unphysical channels after the execution of a quantum algorithm on noisy hardware. We investigate on general…

This paper investigates the enhancement of financial time series forecasting with the use of neural networks through supervised autoencoders, aiming to improve investment strategy performance. It specifically examines the impact of noise…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-19 Bartosz Bieganowski , Robert Slepaczuk

We consider the problem of estimating a low-rank matrix from a noisy observed matrix. Previous work has shown that the optimal method depends crucially on the choice of loss function. In this paper, we use a family of weighted loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-08 William Leeb

Relying on recent advances in statistical estimation of covariance distances based on random matrix theory, this article proposes an improved covariance and precision matrix estimation for a wide family of metrics. The method is shown to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-03 Malik Tiomoko , Florent Bouchard , Guillaume Ginholac , Romain Couillet

Financial time series often exhibit low signal-to-noise ratio, posing significant challenges for accurate data interpretation and prediction and ultimately decision making. Generative models have gained attention as powerful tools for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Zhuohan Wang , Carmine Ventre

Modern technologies are producing datasets with complex intrinsic structures, and they can be naturally represented as matrices instead of vectors. To preserve the latent data structures during processing, modern regression approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-16 Hang Zhang , Fengyuan Zhu , Shixin Li

With the proliferation of algorithmic decision-making, increased scrutiny has been placed on these systems. This paper explores the relationship between the quality of the training data and the overall fairness of the models trained with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Aki Barry , Lei Han , Gianluca Demartini

Extracting relevant properties of empirical signals generated by nonlinear, stochastic, and high-dimensional systems is a challenge of complex systems research. Open questions are how to differentiate chaotic signals from stochastic ones,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-07-08 B. R. R. Boaretto , R. C. Budzinski , K. L. Rossi , T. L. Prado , S. R. Lopes , C. Masoller

We formulate a discrete-time Bayesian stochastic volatility model for high-frequency stock-market data that directly accounts for microstructure noise, and outline a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for parameter estimation. The methods…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-02 Georgi Dinolov , Abel Rodriguez , Hongyun Wang

We consider the problem of simulating loss probabilities and conditional excesses for linear asset portfolios under the t-copula model. Although in the literature on market risk management there are papers proposing efficient variance…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-07 Halis Sak , İsmail Başoğlu

This thesis mainly focuses on two problems in capital structure and individual's life-cycle portfolio choice. In the first problem, we derive a stochastic control model to optimize banks' dividend and recapitalization policies and calibrate…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-07 Shan Huang