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In this paper we extend the theory of option pricing to take into account and explain the empirical evidence for asset prices such as non-Gaussian returns, long-range dependence, volatility clustering, non-Gaussian copula dependence, as…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-28 Stoyan V. Stoyanov , Yong Shin Kim , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

Economic and financial theories and practice essentially deal with uncertain future. Humans encounter uncertainty in different kinds of activity, from sensory-motor control to dynamics in financial markets, what has been subject of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-08 Felix Polyakov

We study the risk premium impact in the Perturbative Black Scholes model. The Perturbative Black Scholes model, developed by Scotti, is a subjective volatility model based on the classical Black Scholes one, where the volatility used by the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Luca Regis , Simone Scotti

We use the expectation of the range of an arithmetic Brownian motion and the method of moments on the daily high, low, opening and closing prices to estimate the volatility of the stock price. The daily price jump at the opening is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-21 Cristin Buescu , Michael Taksar , Fatoumata J. Koné

In the previous paper (Inverse Problems, 32, 015010, 2016), a new heuristic mathematical model was proposed for accurate forecasting of prices of stock options for 1-2 trading days ahead of the present one. This new technique uses the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-12 Michael V. Klibanov , Aleksander A. Shananin , Kirill V. Golubnichiy , Sergey M. Kravchenko

The usual theory of asset pricing in finance assumes that the financial strategies, i.e. the quantity of risky assets to invest, are real-valued so that they are not integer-valued in general, see the Black and Scholes model for instance.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-16 Dorsaf Cherif , Meriam El Mansour , Emmanuel Lepinette

We describe the pricing and hedging of financial options without the use of probability using rough paths. By encoding the volatility of assets in an enhancement of the price trajectory, we give a pathwise presentation of the replication of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-09 John Armstrong , Claudio Bellani , Damiano Brigo , Thomas Cass

We investigate whether it is possible to formulate option pricing and hedging models without using probability. We present a model that is consistent with two notions of volatility: a historical volatility consistent with statistical…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-10 Damiano Brigo

The problem of stock hedging is reconsidered in this paper, where a put option is chosen from a set of available put options to hedge the market risk of a stock. A formula is proposed to determine the probability that the potential loss…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-04 Guanghui Huang , Jing Xu , Wenting Xing

Model uncertainty is a type of inevitable financial risk. Mistakes on the choice of pricing model may cause great financial losses. In this paper we investigate financial markets with mean-volatility uncertainty. Models for stock markets…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-31 Yuhong Xu

Consider an American option that pays G(X^*_t) when exercised at time t, where G is a positive increasing function, X^*_t := \sup_{s\le t}X_s, and X_s is the price of the underlying security at time s. Assuming zero interest rates, we show…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-23 A. Philip Dawid , Steven de Rooij , Peter Grunwald , Wouter M. Koolen , Glenn Shafer , Alexander Shen , Nikolai Vereshchagin , Vladimir Vovk

In financial mathematics, it is a typical approach to approximate financial markets operating in discrete time by continuous-time models such as the Black Scholes model. Fitting this model gives rise to difficulties due to the discrete…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-11 Kathrin Hellmuth , Christian Klingenberg

We provide an European option pricing formula written in the form of an infinite series of Black Scholes type terms under double Levy jumps model, where both the interest rate and underlying price are driven by Levy process. The series…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-19 Qian Li , Li Wang

We consider the problem of pricing perpetual American options written on dividend-paying assets whose price dynamics follow a multidimensional Black and Scholes model. For convex Lipschitz continuous reward functions, we give a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Andrzej Rozkosz

This paper presents a derivation of the explicit price for the perpetual American put option in the Black-Scholes model, time-capped by the first drawdown epoch beyond a predefined level. We demonstrate that the optimal exercise strategy…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Zbigniew Palmowski , Paweł Stȩpniak

Options financial instruments designed to protect investors from the stock market randomness. In 1973, Fisher Black, Myron Scholes and Robert Merton proposed a very popular option pricing method using stochastic differential equations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-06 J. Perello , J. M. Porra , M. Montero , J. Masoliver

This paper considers options pricing when the assumption of normality is replaced with that of the symmetry of the underlying distribution. Such a market affords many equivalent martingale measures (EMM). However we argue (as in the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-10 Kais Hamza , Fima C. Klebaner , Zinoviy Landsman , Ying-Oon Tan

According to the volatility feedback effect, an unexpected increase in squared volatility leads to an immediate decline in the price-dividend ratio. In this paper, we consider the properties of stock price dynamics and option valuations…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-11 Juho Kanniainen , Robert Piché

The aim of this paper is to present a simple stochastic model that accounts for the effects of a long-memory in volatility on option pricing. The starting point is the stochastic Black-Scholes equation involving volatility with long-range…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Fedotov , Abby Tan

A classical inventory problem is studied from the perspective of embedded options, reducing inventory-management to the design of optimal contracts for forward delivery of stock (commodity). Financial option techniques \`{a} la…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-10 Roy O. Davies , A. J. Ostaszewski