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Universal features in stock markets and their derivative markets are studied by means of probability distributions in internal rates of return on buy and sell transaction pairs. Unlike the stylized facts in log normalized returns, the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-11 Lukas Pichl , Taisei Kaizoji , Takuya Yamano

This paper continues a series of studies devoted to analysis of the bivariate probability distribution P(x,y) of two consecutive price increments x (push) and y (response) at intraday timescales for a group of stocks. Besides the asymmetry…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Andrei Leonidov , Vladimir Trainin , Alexander Zaitsev , Sergey Zaitsev

We present a finite-dimensional version of the quantum model for the stock market proposed in [C. Zhang and L. Huang, A quantum model for the stock market, Physica A 389(2010) 5769]. Our approach is an attempt to make this model consistent…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-09 Liviu-Adrian Cotfas

We discuss several models in order to shed light on the origin of power-law distributions and power-law correlations in financial time series. From an empirical point of view, the exponents describing the tails of the price increments…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Stock price change in financial market occurs through transactions in analogy with diffusion in stochastic physical systems. The analysis of price changes in real markets shows that long-range correlations of price fluctuations largely…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 V. Gontis

We study the effect of investor inertia on stock price fluctuations with a market microstructure model comprising many small investors who are inactive most of the time. It turns out that semi-Markov processes are tailor made for modelling…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ulrich Horst , Ronnie Sircar

We present several refinements on the fluctuations of sequences of random vectors (with values in the Euclidean space $\mathbb{R}^d$) which converge after normalization to a multidimensional Gaussian distribution. More precisely we refine…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-04 Pierre-Loïc Méliot , Ashkan Nikeghbali

The global energy fluctuations of a low density gas granular gas in the homogeneous cooling state near its clustering instability are studied by means of molecular dynamics simulations. The relative dispersion of the fluctuations is shown…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 J. Javier Brey , M. I. Garcia de Soria , P. Maynar , M. J. Ruiz-Montero

This paper reviews some of the phenomenological models which have been introduced to incorporate the scaling properties of financial data. It also illustrates a microscopic model, based on heterogeneous interacting agents, which provides a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Giulia Iori

As a typical representation of complex networks studied relatively thoroughly, financial market presents some special details, such as its nonconservation and opinions spreading. In this model, agents congregate to form some clusters, which…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jie Wang , Chun-Xia Yang , Pei-Ling Zhou , Ying-Di Jin , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

Trading volume movement prediction is the key in a variety of financial applications. Despite its importance, there is few research on this topic because of its requirement for comprehensive understanding of information from different…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-26 Liang Zhao , Wei Li , Ruihan Bao , Keiko Harimoto , YunfangWu , Xu Sun

Distributions derived from non-extensive Tsallis statistics are closely connected with dynamics described by a nonlinear Fokker-Planck equation. The combination shows promise in describing stochastic processes with power-law distributions…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fredrick Michael , M. D. Johnson

In this paper we present an interacting-agent model of stock markets. We describe a stock market through an Ising-like model in order to formulate the tendency of traders getting to be influenced by the other traders' investment attitudes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

The estimation of asset return distributions is crucial for determining optimal trading strategies. In this paper we describe the constrained mixture model, based on a mixture of Gamma and Gaussian distributions, to provide an accurate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-03-15 Iead Rezek

Human motor activities are known to exhibit scale-free long-term correlated fluctuations over a wide range of timescales, from few to thousands of seconds. The fundamental processes originating such fractal-like behavior are not yet…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 C. Anteneodo , D. R. Chialvo

We revisit the replica method for analyzing inference and learning in parametric models, considering situations where the data-generating distribution is unknown or analytically intractable. Instead of assuming idealized distributions to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-11-17 Takashi Takahashi

The shape and tails of partial distribution functions (PDF) for a financial signal, i.e. the S&P500 and the turbulent nature of the markets are linked through a model encompassing Tsallis nonextensive statistics and leading to evolution…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Marcel Ausloos , Kristinka Ivanova

We examine the statistics of active scalar fluctuations in high-Rayleigh number fingering convection with high-resolution three-dimensional numerical experiments. The one-point distribution of buoyancy fluctuations is found to present…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-18 Jost von Hardenberg , Francesco Paparella

We propose a non linear Langevin equation as a model for stock market fluctuations and crashes. This equation is based on an identification of the different processes influencing the demand and supply, and their mathematical transcription.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Rama Cont

Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian stochastic process with stationary, long-time correlated increments and is frequently used to model anomalous diffusion processes. We study numerically fractional Brownian motion confined to a finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-22 T. Guggenberger , G. Pagnini , T. Vojta , R. Metzler