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Doubly intractable distributions arise in many settings, for example in Markov models for point processes and exponential random graph models for networks. Bayesian inference for these models is challenging because they involve intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

We study the problem of bounding path-dependent expectations (within any finite time horizon $d$) over the class of discrete-time martingales whose marginal distributions lie within a prescribed tolerance of a given collection of benchmark…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Zhengqing Zhou , Jose Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn

Tightly focused optical dipole traps induce vector light shifts ("fictitious magnetic fields") which complicate their use for single-atom trapping and manipulation. The problem can be mitigated by adding a larger, real magnetic field, but…

Atomic Physics · Physics 2018-02-14 Sébastien Garcia , Jakob Reichel , Romain Long

Monte-Carlo simulations are routinely used for estimating the scaling exponents of complex systems. However, due to finite-size effects, determining the exponent values is often difficult and not reliable. Here we present a novel technique…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-03-05 Indrek Mandre , Jaan Kalda

State-space models are commonly used to describe different forms of ecological data. We consider the case of count data with observation errors. For such data the system process is typically multi-dimensional consisting of coupled Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-15 Axel Finke , Ruth King , Alexandros Beskos , Petros Dellaportas

1. Temporal trends in species distributions are necessary for monitoring changes in biodiversity, which aids policymakers and conservationists in making informed decisions. Dynamic species distribution models are often fitted to ecological…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-15 Kwaku Peprah Adjei , Rob Cooke , Nick Isaac , Robert B. O'Hara

In the paper we deal with linear fractional control problems with constant delays in the state. Single-order systems with fractional derivative in Caputo sense of orders between 0 and 1 are considered. The aim is to introduce a new…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Josef Rebenda , Zdeněk Šmarda

Population Monte Carlo simulations in the form commonly referred to as population annealing can serve as a useful meta-algorithm for simulating systems with complex free-energy landscapes. In the present paper we provide an easily…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-17 P. L. Ebert , D. Gessert , W. Janke , M. Weigel

Macroscopic fluctuation theory has shown that a wide class of non-equilibrium stochastic dynamical systems obey a large deviation principle, but except for a few one-dimensional examples these large deviation principles are in general not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-10-02 Gino Del Ferraro , Erik Aurell

Monte Carlo approximations for random linear elliptic PDE constrained optimization problems are studied. We use empirical process theory to obtain best possible mean convergence rates $O(n^{-\frac{1}{2}})$ for optimal values and solutions,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Werner Römisch , Thomas M. Surowiec

This study investigates the use of fractional order differential models to simulate the dynamic response of non-homogeneous discrete systems and to achieve efficient and accurate model order reduction. The traditional integer order approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-22 John P. Hollkamp , Mihir Sen , Fabio Semperlotti

Non-convex optimization problems often arise from probabilistic modeling, such as estimation of posterior distributions. Non-convexity makes the problems intractable, and poses various obstacles for us to design efficient algorithms. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-12-18 Khoat Than , Tu Bao Ho

We address the relationship between membrane microheterogeneity and anomalous subdiffusion in cell membranes by carrying out Monte Carlo simulations of two-component lipid membranes. We find that near-critical fluctuations in the membrane…

Biological Physics · Physics 2011-04-29 Jens Ehrig , Eugene P. Petrov , Petra Schwille

Monte Carlo simulations of neutronic systems are computationally intensive and demand significant memory resources for high-fidelity modeling. Compressed sensing enables accurate reconstruction of signals from significantly fewer samples…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-02-10 Ethan Lame , Camille Palmer , Todd Palmer , Ilham Variansyah

Sequential Monte Carlo techniques are useful for state estimation in non-linear, non-Gaussian dynamic models. These methods allow us to approximate the joint posterior distribution using sequential importance sampling. In this framework,…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-09 Mike Klaas , Nando de Freitas , Arnaud Doucet

When properly tuned, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo scales to some of the most challenging high-dimensional problems at the frontiers of applied statistics, but when that tuning is suboptimal the performance leaves much to be desired. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-05 Michael Betancourt

We present a new numerical Monte Carlo approach to determine the scaling behavior of lattice field theories far from equilibrium. The presented methods are generally applicable to systems where classical-statistical fluctuations dominate…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2013-11-19 David Mesterházy , Luca Biferale , Karl Jansen , Raffaele Tripiccione

Approximating a function with a finite series, e.g., involving polynomials or trigonometric functions, is a critical tool in computing and data analysis. The construction of such approximations via now-standard approaches like least squares…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Dihan Dai , Yekaterina Epshteyn , Akil Narayan

We propose a new least-squares Monte Carlo algorithm for the approximation of conditional expectations in the presence of stochastic derivative weights. The algorithm can serve as a building block for solving dynamic programming equations,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-02 Christian Bender , Nikolaus Schweizer

Optimal prediction approximates the average solution of a large system of ordinary differential equations by a smaller system. We present how optimal prediction can be applied to a typical problem in the field of molecular dynamics, in…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2008-11-15 Benjamin Seibold
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