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The original Hegselmann-Krause (HK) model is composed of a finite number of agents characterized by their opinion, a number in $[0,1]$. An agent updates its opinion via taking the average opinion of its neighbors whose opinion differs by at…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-19 Hsin-Lun Li

In 2002, Serge Galam designed a model of a minority opinion spreading. The effect is expected to lead a conservative minority to prevail if the issue is discussed long enough. Here we analyze the marriage gap, i.e. the difference in voting…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Krzysztof Kulakowski , Maria Nawojczyk

Since Downs proposed that the act of voting is irrational in 1957, myriad models have been proposed to explain voting and account for observed turnout patterns. We propose a model in which partisans consider both the instrumental and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-24 Cameron Guage , Feng Fu

We propose a nonlinear voter model to study the emergence of global consensus in opinion dynamics. In our model, agent $i$ agrees with one of binary opinions with the probability that is a power function of the number of agents holding this…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-30 Han-Xin Yang , Wen-Xu Wang , Ying-Cheng Lai , Bing-Hong Wang

Two decades ago, a phenomenon resembling Landau damping was described in the synchronization of globally coupled oscillators: the evidence of a regime where the order parameter decays when linear theory predicts neutral stability for the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-07-21 Tian Qiu , Yue Zhang , Jie Liu , Hongjie Bi , S. Boccaletti , Zonghua Liu , Shuguang Guan

In this paper, we investigate the self-affirmation effect on formation of public opinion in a directed small-world social network. The system presents a non-equilibrium phase transition from a consensus state to a disordered state with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Luo-Luo Jiang , Da-Yin Hua , Jun-Fang Zhu , Bing-Hong Wang , Tao Zhou

Accounting for undecided and uncertain voters is a challenging issue for predicting election results from public opinion polls. Undecided voters typify the uncertainty of swing voters in polls but are often ignored or allocated to each…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-18 Joshua J Bon , Timothy Ballard , Bernard Baffour

The Naming Game is a classic model for studying the emergence and evolution of language within a population. In this paper, we extend the traditional Naming Game model to encompass multiple committed opinions and investigate the system…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Cheng Ma , Brendan Cross , Gyorgy Korniss , Boleslaw K. Szymanski

There is growing evidence of systematic attempts to influence democratic elections by controlled and digitally organized dissemination of fake news. This raises the question of the intrinsic robustness of democratic electoral processes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-03 Glory M. Givi , Robin Delabays , Matthieu Jacquemet , Philippe Jacquod

Although deep reinforcement learning agents have produced impressive results in many domains, their decision making is difficult to explain to humans. To address this problem, past work has mainly focused on explaining why an action was…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-01 Matthew L. Olson , Lawrence Neal , Fuxin Li , Weng-Keen Wong

The dynamical origin of opinion polarization in the real world is an interesting topic physical scientists may help to understand. To properly model the dynamics, the theory must be fully compatible with findings by social psychologists on…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-09-03 H. F. Chau , C. Y. Wong , F. K. Chow , C. -H. F. Fung

Belief perseverance is the widely documented tendency of holding to a belief, even in the presence of contradicting evidence. In online environments, this tendency leads to heated arguments with users ``blocking'' each other. Introducing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-20 André Martin Timpanaro

We study the opinion dynamics in a population by considering a variant of Kuramoto model where the phase of an oscillator represents the opinion of an individual on a single topic. Two extreme phases separated by $\pi$ represent opposing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-04 Sidharth Pradhan , Sangeeta Rani Ujjwal

We study models of a society composed of a mixture of conformist and reasonable contrarian agents that at any instant hold one of two opinions. Conformists tend to agree with the average opinion of their neighbors and reasonable contrarians…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2015-10-21 Franco Bagnoli , Raul Rechtman

In linear models of consensus dynamics, the state of the various agents converges to a value which is a convex combination of the agents' initial states. We call it democratic if in the large scale limit (number of agents going to infinity)…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-02-17 Fabio Fagnani , Jean-Charles Delvenne

In this work we study a model of opinion dynamics considering activation/deactivation of agents. In other words, individuals are not static and can become inactive and drop out from the discussion. A probability $w$ governs the deactivation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-14 Marcelo A. Pires , Nuno Crokidakis

The rebellious voter model, introduced by Sturm and Swart (2008), is a variation of the standard, one-dimensional voter model, in which types that are locally in the minority have an advantage. It is related, both through duality and…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-17 Jan M. Swart , Karel Vrbensky

We introduce and study a simple model for the dynamics of voting intention in a population of agents that have to choose between two candidates. The level of indecision of a given agent is modeled by its propensity to vote for one of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-08 Federico Vazquez , Nicolas Saintier , Juan Pablo Pinasco

In this work, we focus on strategies to influence the opinion dynamics of a well-connected society. We propose a generalization of the popular voter model. This variant of the voter model can capture a wide range of individuals including…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-02-17 Arunabh Saxena , Bhumesh Kumar , Anmol Gupta , Neeraja Sahasrabudhe , Sharayu Moharir

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of some common opinion dynamic models in a continuum of agents. We show that as long as the interactions among the agents are symmetric, the distribution of the agents' opinion converges. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Julien M. Hendrickx , Alex Olshevsky
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