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The collapse of man-made and natural structures is a complex phenomenon that has been studied for centuries. We propose a new approach to understanding catastrophic instabilities, based on the idea that they do not occur at the critical…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2023-08-29 Klaus Regenauer-Lieb , Manman Hu

Social media such as tweets are emerging as platforms contributing to situational awareness during disasters. Information shared on Twitter by both affected population (e.g., requesting assistance, warning) and those outside the impact zone…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-05-08 Hien To , Sumeet Agrawal , Seon Ho Kim , Cyrus Shahabi

The study of spreading processes often analyzes networks at different resolutions, e.g., at the level of individuals or countries, but it is not always clear how properties at one resolution can carry over to another. Accordingly, in this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-04 Baike She , Matthew Hale

Time-limited states characterise many dynamical processes on networks: disease infected individuals recover after some time, people forget news spreading on social networks, or passengers may not wait forever for a connection. These…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-13 Arash Badie-Modiri , Márton Karsai , Mikko Kivelä

The structure, interdependence, and fragility of systems ranging from power grids and transportation to ecology, climate, biology and even human communities and the Internet, have been examined through network science. While the response to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-02-17 Udit Bhatia , Devashish Kumar , Evan Kodra , Auroop R. Ganguly

An extremely challenging problem of significant interest is to predict catastrophes in advance of their occurrences. We present a general approach to predicting catastrophes in nonlinear dynamical systems under the assumption that the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-28 Wen-Xu Wang , Rui Yang , Ying-Cheng Lai , Vassilios Kovanis , Celso Grebogi

We study the problem of designing dynamic intervention policies for minimizing networked defaults in financial networks. Formally, we consider a dynamic version of the celebrated Eisenberg-Noe model of financial network liabilities and use…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Marios Papachristou , Siddhartha Banerjee , Jon Kleinberg

Ecological networks allow us to study the structure and function of ecosystems and gain insights on species resilience/stability. The study of this ecological networks is usually a snapshop focused in a limited specific range of space and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-07-17 Andrzej Jarynowski , Fco. Alejandro Lopez-Nunez , Han Fan

Despite recent advances in uncovering the quantitative features of stationary human activity patterns, many applications, from pandemic prediction to emergency response, require an understanding of how these patterns change when the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-06-06 James P. Bagrow , Dashun Wang , Albert-László Barabási

The behavior of ecological systems mainly relies on the interactions between the species it involves. We consider the problem of inferring the species interaction network from abundance data. To be relevant, any network inference…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-29 Raphaëlle Momal , Stéphane Robin , Christophe Ambroise

How can we model influence between individuals in a social system, even when the network of interactions is unknown? In this article, we review the literature on the "influence model," which utilizes independent time series to estimate how…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-02-28 Wei Pan , Manuel Cebrian , Wen Dong , Taemie Kim , James Fowler , Alex Pentland

This paper concerns the potential of corrective actions, such as generation and load dispatch on minimizing the effects of transmission line failures in electric power systems. Three loss functions (grid-centric, consumer-centric, and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-13 Siyu Liu , Marija Ilic

When modeling the dynamics of infectious disease, the incorporation of contact network information allows for the capture of the non-randomness and heterogeneity of realistic contact patterns. Oftentimes, it is assumed that the underlying…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-17 Maxwell H. Wang , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Temporal networks have been increasingly used to model a diversity of systems that evolve in time; for example human contact structures over which dynamic processes such as epidemics take place. A fundamental aspect of real-life networks is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-08 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

The sensitivity analysis of biological system models can significantly contribute to identifying and explaining influences of internal or external changes on model and its elements. We propose here a comprehensive framework to study…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-11 Gaoxiang Zhou , Kai-Wen Liang , Natasa Miskov-Zivanov

Global strategies to contain a pandemic, such as social distancing and protective measures, are designed to reduce the overall transmission rate between individuals. Despite such measures, essential institutions, including hospitals,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Roberto Morán-Tovar , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Lässig

Over the past decade, extreme weather events have significantly increased worldwide, leading to widespread power outages and blackouts. As these threats continue to challenge power distribution systems, the importance of mitigating the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-16 Shuva Paul , Abodh Poudyal , Shiva Poudel , Anamika Dubey , Zhaoyu Wang

The exploration of epidemic dynamics on dynamically evolving ("adaptive") networks poses nontrivial challenges to the modeler, such as the determination of a small number of informative statistics of the detailed network state (that is, a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-07 Assimakis A. Kattis , Alexander Holiday , Ana-Andreea Stoica , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

In response to the damage to electric power transmission systems caused by typhoon disasters in coastal areas, a planning-targeted resilience assessment framework that considers the impact of multiple factors is established to accurately…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-07 Rui Yang , Yang Li

One of the most important tasks of urban and hazard planning is to mitigate the damages and minimize the costs of the recovery process after catastrophic events. The rapidity and the efficiency of the recovery process are commonly referred…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-08-02 D. Asprone , M. Cavallaro , V. Latora , G. Manfredi , V. Nicosia