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We investigate the asymptotic behavior of Bayesian posterior distributions under independent and identically distributed ($i.i.d.$) misspecified models. More specifically, we study the concentration of the posterior distribution on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-04 R. V. Ramamoorthi , Karthik Sriram , Ryan Martin

The prediction of the variance-covariance matrix of the multivariate normal distribution is important in the multivariate analysis. We investigated Bayesian predictive distributions for Wishart distributions under the Kullback-Leibler…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-26 Hidemasa Oda , Fumiyasu Komaki

Skewed generalizations of the normal distribution have been a topic of great interest in the statistics community due to their diverse applications across several domains. One of the most popular skew normal distributions, due to its…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-05 Narayan Srinivasan

We propose a simple phenomenological modification, a Gaussian screening, of the probability distribution function which was obtained by Beck to explain experimentally measured distribution from fully developed fluid turbulence, within the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 A. K. Aringazin , M. I. Mazhitov

We consider the problem of estimating undirected triangle-free graphs of high dimensional distributions. Triangle-free graphs form a rich graph family which allows arbitrary loopy structures but 3-cliques. For inferential tractability, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-24 Junwei Lu , Han Liu

In an attempt to characterize the distribution of forms and shapes of nodal domains in wave functions, we define a geometric parameter - the ratio $\rho$ between the area of a domain and its perimeter, measured in units of the wavelength…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-26 Yehonatan Elon , Sven Gnutzmann , Christian Joas , Uzy Smilansky

We present a framework for describing the evolution of stochastic observables having a non-stationary distribution of values. The framework is applied to empirical volume-prices from assets traded at the New York stock exchange. Using…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-18 Paulo Rocha , Frank Raischel , João P. Boto , Pedro G. Lind

We consider the Fisher-Snedecor diffusion; that is, the Kolmogorov-Pearson diffusion with the Fisher-Snedecor invariant distribution. In the nonstationary setting, we give explicit quantitative rates for the convergence rate of respective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-18 A. M. Kulik , N. N. Leonenko

We study the statistical properties of Lanczos coefficients over an ensemble of random initial operators generating the Krylov space. We propose two statistical quantities that are important in characterizing the complexity: the average…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-03-20 Zhuoran Li , Wei Fan

The Marshall-Olkin (MO) distribution has been considered a key model in reliability theory and in risk analysis, where it is used to model the lifetimes of dependent components or entities of a system and dependency is induced by "shocks"…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Javiera Barrera , Guido Lagos

This paper proposes an alternative approach for constructing invariant Jeffreys prior distributions tailored for hierarchical or multilevel models. In particular, our proposal is based on a flexible decomposition of the Fisher information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-29 Thaís C. O. Fonseca , Helio S. Migon , Heudson Mirandola

Macroscopic mechanical properties of polymers are determined by their microscopic molecular chain distribution. Due to randomness of these molecular chains, probability theory has been used to find their micro-states and energy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-23 Lixiang Yang

Two geometrical structures have been extensively studied for a manifold of probability distributions. One is based on the Fisher information metric, which is invariant under reversible transformations of random variables, while the other is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-02 Shun-ichi Amari , Ryo Karakida , Masafumi Oizumi

In previous work the authors defined the k-th order simplicial distance between probability distributions which arises naturally from a measure of dispersion based on the squared volume of random simplices of dimension k. This theory is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-06 Luc Pronzato , Henry Wynn , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

Fisher information is a lower bound on the uncertainty in the statistical estimation of classical and quantum mechanical parameters. While some deterministic dynamical systems are not subject to random fluctuations, they do still have a…

Classical Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mohamed Sahbani , Swetamber Das , Jason R. Green

The manifold of empirical mean values of statistical data ad infinitum has a geometric shape that depends on the probability measure that governs the generating model. Large deviation theory produces entropy functions that depend on both…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Viswa Virinchi Muppirala , Hong Qian

We propose point estimators for the three-parameter (location, scale, and the fractional parameter) variant distributions generated by a Wright function. We also provide uncertainty quantification procedures for the proposed point…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-13 Dexter Cahoy , Sharifa Minkabo

The distribution of the spacing, or the difference between consecutive order statistics, is known only for uniform and exponential random variates. We add here logistic and Gumbel variates, and present an estimator for distributions with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-30 Greg Kreider

Regression analysis with probability measures as input predictors and output response has recently drawn great attention. However, it is challenging to handle multiple input probability measures due to the non-flat Riemannian geometry of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-23 Xiaoyu Chen , Mengfan Fu , Yujing Huang , Xinwei Deng

Parametric portfolio policies may experience estimation risk. I develop a generalized Bayesian framework that updates priors, delivering a posterior distribution over characteristic tilts and out-of-sample returns that is the unique…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Christopher G. Lamoureux
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