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The study of human dynamics has attracted much interest from many fields recently. In this paper, the fractal characteristic of human behaviors is investigated from the perspective of time series constructed with the amount of library…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-20 Chao Fan , Jin-Li Guo , Yi-Long Zha

We propose a simple stochastic model of market behavior. Dividing market participants into two groups: trend-followers and fundamentalists, we derive the general form of a stochastic equation of market dynamics. The model has two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Guennadi Saiko

In the past few decades considerable effort has been expended in characterizing and modeling financial time series. A number of stylized facts have been identified, and volatility clustering or the tendency toward persistence has emerged as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Kan Chen , C. Jayaprakash , Baosheng Yuan

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

The critical dynamics of conformal field theories on random surfaces is investigated beyond the previously studied dynamics of the overall area and the genus. It is found that the evolution of the order parameter in physical time performs a…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2025-11-04 Christof Schmidhuber

Biondi et al. (2012) develop an analytical model to examine the emergent dynamic properties of share market price formation over time, capable to capture important stylized facts. These latter properties prove to be sensitive to regulatory…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-27 Yuri Biondi , Simone Righi

We perform non-linear analysis on stock market indices using time-dependent extended Tsallis statistics. Specifically, we evaluate the q-triplet for particular time periods with the purpose of demonstrating the temporal dependence of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-30 Ioannis P. Antoniades , Leonidas P. Karakatsanis , Evgenios G. Pavlos

The concepts of scale invariance, self-similarity and scaling have been fruitfully applied to the study of price fluctuations in financial markets. After a brief review of the properties of stable Levy distributions and their applications…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Rama Cont , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We show that recent stock market fluctuations are characterized by the cumulative distributions whose tails on short, minute time scales exhibit power scaling with the scaling index alpha > 3 and this index tends to increase quickly with…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 S. Drozdz , M. Forczek , J. Kwapien , P. Oswiecimka , R. Rak

We consider a market where many agents trade many different types of products with each other. We model development of collective modes in this market, and quantify these by fluctuations that scale with time with a Hurst exponent of about…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Raul Donangelo , Alex Hansen , Kim Sneppen , Sergio R. Souza

For many externally driven complex systems neither the noisy driving force, nor the internal dynamics are a priori known. Here we focus on systems for which the time dependent activity of a large number of components can be monitored,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz , Soon-Hyung Yook , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

As a typical representation of complex networks studied relatively thoroughly, financial market presents some special details, such as its nonconservation and opinions spreading. In this model, agents congregate to form some clusters, which…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jie Wang , Chun-Xia Yang , Pei-Ling Zhou , Ying-Di Jin , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

The performance of the multifractal detrended analysis on short time series is evaluated for synthetic samples of several mono- and multifractal models. The reconstruction of the generalized Hurst exponents is used to determine the range of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-12 Juan Luis Lopez , Jesus Guillermo Contreras

It is widely accepted that there is strong persistence in the volatility of financial time series. The origin of the observed persistence, or long-range memory, is still an open problem as the observed phenomenon could be a spurious effect.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-24 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

The state of a stochastic process evolving over a time $t$ is typically assumed to lie on a normal distribution whose width scales like $t^{1/2}$. However, processes where the probability distribution is not normal and the scaling exponent…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-24 Lijian Chen , Kevin E. Bassler , Joseph L. McCauley , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

We investigate the random walk of prices by developing a simple model relating the properties of the signs and absolute values of individual price changes to the diffusion rate (volatility) of prices at longer time scales. We show that this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Gabriele La Spada , J. Doyne Farmer , Fabrizio Lillo

Financial market dynamics is rigorously studied via the exact generalized Langevin equation. Assuming market Brownian self-similarity, the market return rate memory and autocorrelation functions are derived, which exhibit an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-17 R. Tsekov

Empirical analysis of the foreign exchange market is conducted based on methods to quantify similarities among multi-dimensional time series with spectral distances introduced in [A.-H. Sato, Physica A, 382 (2007) 258--270]. As a result it…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Aki-Hiro Sato

We derive a higher-order asymptotic expansion of the conditional characteristic function of the increment of an It\^o semimartingale over a shrinking time interval. The spot characteristics of the It\^o semimartingale are allowed to have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

In this paper we have analyzed scaling properties of time series of stock market indices (SMIs) of developing economies of Western Balkans, and have compared the results we have obtained with the results from more developed economies. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-14 Darko Sarvan , Djordje Stratimirovic , Suzana Blesic , Vladimir Miljkovic
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