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Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods are a set of tools providing posterior distributions on the output of numerical methods. The use of these methods is usually motivated by the fact that they can represent our uncertainty due to…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-01 Xiaoyue Xi , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

In this article, we study the analogue of the integration by parts formula from "Hitting times for Gaussian processes" in the context of GMC and its inverse.

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Tomas Kojar

This study proposes a new Bayesian approach to infer binary treatment effects. The approach treats counterfactual untreated outcomes as missing observations and infers them by completing a matrix composed of realized and potential untreated…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Masahiro Tanaka

Koopman Operator Theory has opened the doors to data-driven learning of globally linear representations of complex nonlinear systems. However, current methodologies for Koopman Operator discovery struggle with uncertainty quantification and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-11 Abhigyan Majumdar , Navid Mojahed , Shima Nazari

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

We utilize copulas to constitute a unified framework for constructing and optimizing variational proposals in hierarchical Bayesian models. For models with continuous and non-Gaussian hidden variables, we propose a semiparametric and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-19 Shaobo Han , Xuejun Liao , David B. Dunson , Lawrence Carin

Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures based on Markov chain Monte Carlo marginal methods typically yield point estimates in the form of posterior expectations. Though very useful and easy to implement in a variety of statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Julyan Arbel , Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti

This paper proposes a flexible Bayesian approach to multiple imputation using conditional Gaussian mixtures. We introduce novel shrinkage priors for covariate-dependent mixing proportions in the mixture models to automatically select the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-17 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Jae Kwang Kim , Kosuke Morikawa

We adopt Bayesian approach to consider the inverse problem of estimate a function from noisy observations. One important component of this approach is the prior measure. Total variation prior has been proved with no discretization invariant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Junxiong Jia , Jigen Peng , Jinghuai Gao

In the usual Bayesian setting, a full probabilistic model is required to link the data and parameters, and the form of this model and the inference and prediction mechanisms are specified via de Finetti's representation. In general, such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Yu Luo , David A. Stephens , Daniel J. Graham , Emma J. McCoy

We compare different versions of a bosonic description for systems of interacting fermions, with particular emphasis on the free energy functional. The bosonic effective action makes the issue of symmetries particularly transparent and we…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2013-05-29 Christof Wetterich

In this note, we define a Gaussian probability distribution over matrices. We prove some useful properties of this distribution, namely, the fact that marginalization, conditioning, and affine transformations preserve the matrix Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-22 Shane Barratt

We present a new approach to Bayesian inference that entirely avoids Markov chain simulation, by constructing a map that pushes forward the prior measure to the posterior measure. Existence and uniqueness of a suitable measure-preserving…

Computation · Statistics 2012-08-31 Tarek A. El Moselhy , Youssef M. Marzouk

We consider the Rosenzweig-Porter model of random matrix which interpolates between Poisson and gaussian unitary statistics and compute exactly the two-point correlation function. Asymptotic formulas for this function are given near the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 H. Kunz , B. Shapiro

We propose efficient algorithms for classically simulating fermionic linear optics operations applied to non-Gaussian initial states. By gadget constructions, this provides algorithms for fermionic linear optics with non-Gaussian…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-05-22 Beatriz Dias , Robert Koenig

Interval Pairwise Comparison Matrices have been widely used to account for uncertain statements concerning the preferences of decision makers. Several approaches have been proposed in the literature, such as multiplicative and fuzzy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Bice Cavallo , Matteo Brunelli

We consider the problem of estimating the inverse covariance matrix by maximizing the likelihood function with a penalty added to encourage the sparsity of the resulting matrix. We propose a new approach based on the split Bregman method to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-17 Gui-Bo Ye , Jian-Feng Cai , Xiaohui Xie

The binomial, the negative binomial, the Poisson, the compound Poisson and the Erlang distribution do all admit integral representations with respect to its (continuous) parameter. We use the Margulis-Russo type formulas for Bernoulli and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Guenter Last , Sergei Zuyev

This article revisits the problem of Bayesian shape-restricted inference in the light of a recently developed approximate Gaussian process that admits an equivalent formulation of the shape constraints in terms of the basis coefficients. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Pallavi Ray , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

Using the linear Gaussian latent variable model as a starting point we relax some of the constraints it imposes by deriving a nonparametric latent feature Gaussian variable model. This model introduces additional discrete latent variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Adam Farooq , Yordan P. Raykov , Luc Evers , Max A. Little