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Many problems require to approximate an expected value by some kind of Monte Carlo (MC) sampling, e.g. molecular dynamics (MD) or simulation of stochastic reaction models (also termed kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC)). Often, we are furthermore…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-18 Sandra Döpking , Sebastian Matera

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have existed for a long time and the field is well-explored. The purpose of MCMC methods is to approximate a distribution through repeated sampling; most MCMC algorithms exhibit asymptotically optimal…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-13 Fareed Sheriff

We consider the problem of estimating the probability of a large loss from a financial portfolio, where the future loss is expressed as a conditional expectation. Since the conditional expectation is intractable in most cases, one may…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Zhenghang Xu , Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

Replica exchange Monte Carlo (reMC), also known as parallel tempering, is an important technique for accelerating the convergence of the conventional Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. However, such a method requires the evaluation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-23 Wei Deng , Qi Feng , Liyao Gao , Faming Liang , Guang Lin

Microscopic processes on surfaces such as adsorption, desorption, diffusion and reaction of interacting particles can be simulated using kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) algorithms. Even though kMC methods are accurate, they are computationally…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-12-24 Yannis Pantazis , Markos Katsoulakis

We propose an efficient method for Monte Carlo simulation of quantum lattice models. Unlike most other quantum Monte Carlo methods, a single run of the proposed method yields the free energy and the entropy with high precision for the whole…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Chiaki Yamaguchi , Naoki Kawashima , Yutaka Okabe

By adopting a Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) framework, we show that only a handful of costly fine scale computations are needed to accurately estimate statistics of the failure of a composite structure, as opposed to the thousands typically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-25 T. J. Dodwell , S. Kinston , R. Butler , R. T. Haftka , Nam H. Kim , R. Scheichl

Monte Carlo simulations of proteins are hindered by the system's high density which often makes local moves ineffective. Here we devise and test a set of long range moves that work well even when all sites of a lattice simulation are…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 J. M. Deutsch

Accurately and efficiently estimating system performance under uncertainty is paramount in power system planning and operation. Monte Carlo simulation is often used for this purpose, but convergence may be slow, especially when detailed…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-23 Simon Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a widely used sampling method in modern artificial intelligence and probabilistic computing systems. It involves repetitive random number generations and thus often dominates the latency of probabilistic…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Yihan Fu , Daijing Shi , Anjunyi Fan , Wenshuo Yue , Yuchao Yang , Ru Huang , Bonan Yan

We study the feature-scaled version of the Monte Carlo algorithm with linear function approximation. This algorithm converges to a scale-invariant solution, which is not unduly affected by states having feature vectors with large norms. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Rahul Madhavan , Hemanta Makwana

Continuous-time random disturbances from the renewable generation pose a significant impact on power system dynamic behavior. In evaluating this impact, the disturbances must be considered as continuous-time random processes instead of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-09 Yiwei Qiu , Jin Lin , Xiaoshuang Chen , Feng Liu , Yonghua Song

Modeling the dynamics of a quantum system connected to the environment is critical for advancing our understanding of complex quantum processes, as most quantum processes in nature are affected by an environment. Modeling a macroscopic…

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are often used in clustering since they guarantee asymptotically exact expectations in the infinite-time limit. In finite time, though, slow mixing often leads to poor performance. Modern computing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-24 Tin D. Nguyen , Brian L. Trippe , Tamara Broderick

We introduce a new method to simulate the physics of rare events. The method, an extension of the Temperature Accelerated Molecular Dynamics, comes in use when the collective variables introduced to characterize the rare events are either…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-09-13 Giovanni Ciccotti , Simone Meloni

Population annealing is a powerful tool for large-scale Monte Carlo simulations. We adapt this method to molecular dynamics simulations and demonstrate its excellent accelerating effect by simulating the folding of a short peptide commonly…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-02-27 Henrik Christiansen , Martin Weigel , Wolfhard Janke

Monte Carlo (MC) techniques are often used to estimate integrals of a multivariate function using randomly generated samples of the function. In light of the increasing interest in uncertainty quantification and robust design applications…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-08-25 Brendan Tracey , David Wolpert , Juan J. Alonso

AlfaMC is a Monte Carlo simulation code for the transport of alpha particles. The code is based on the Continuous Slowing Down Approximation and uses the NIST/ASTAR stopping-power database. The code uses a powerful geometrical package…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-11-07 Luis Peralta , Alina Louro

A recent reformulation [1] of the problem of Coulomb gases in the presence of a dynamical dielectric medium showed that finite temperature simulations of such systems can be accomplished on the basis of completely local Hamiltonians on a…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 A. Duncan , R. D. Sedgewick

This paper studies a non-random-walk Markov Chain Monte Carlo method, namely the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method in the context of Subset Simulation used for structural reliability analysis. The HMC method relies on a deterministic…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-20 Ziqi Wang , Marco Broccardo , Junho Song