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Research on social contagion dynamics has not yet including a theoretical analysis of the ubiquitous local trend imitation (LTI) characteristic. We propose a social contagion model with a tent-like adoption probability distribution to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-26 Xuzhen Zhu , Wei Wang , Shimin Cai , H. Eugene Stanley

Decisions to pursue higher education are not fully explained by economic incentives, with social influence and peer effects playing a crucial, yet dynamically understudied, role. This paper develops a theoretical non-linear dynamics model…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-06 Andrea Caravaggio , Marco Catola , Silvia Leoni

Decision-making individuals often imitate their highest-earning fellows rather than optimize their own utilities, due to bounded rationality and incomplete information. Perpetual fluctuations between decisions have been reported as the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-16 Yiheng Fu , Pouria Ramazi

We introduce a stochastic heterogeneous interacting-agent model for the short-time non-equilibrium evolution of excess demand and price in a stylized asset market. We consider a combination of social interaction within peer groups and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-20 Gunter M. Schütz , Fernando Pigeard de Almeida Prado , Rosemary J. Harris , Vladimir Belitsky

Empirical data of supermarket sales show stylised facts that are similar to stock markets, with a broad (truncated) Levy distribution of weekly sales differences in the baseline sales [R.D. Groot, Physica A 353 (2005) 501]. To investigate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Robert D. Groot

The dynamics of many socioeconomic systems is determined by the decision making process of agents. The decision process depends on agent's characteristics, such as preferences, risk aversion, behavioral biases, etc.. In addition, in some…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Gabriella Vaglica , Fabrizio Lillo , Esteban Moro , Rosario N. Mantegna

We investigate a toy model of inductive interacting agents aiming to forecast a continuous, exogenous random variable E. Private information on E is spread heterogeneously across agents. Herding turns out to be the preferred forecasting…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 S. Gualdi , A. De Martino

The rate of adoption of new information depends on reinforcement from multiple sources in a way that often cannot be described by simple contagion processes. In such cases, contagion is said to be complex. Complex contagion happens in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-21 Vítor V. Vasconcelos , Simon A. Levin , Flávio L. Pinheiro

Diffusion of innovation can be interpreted as a social spreading phenomena governed by the impact of media and social interactions. Although these mechanisms have been identified by quantitative theories, their role and relative importance…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-10-24 Márton Karsai , Gerardo Iñiguez , Kimmo Kaski , János Kertész

We study opinion dynamics in a population of interacting adaptive agents voting on a set of complex multidimensional issues. We consider agents which can classify issues into for or against. The agents arrive at the opinions about each…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-03-11 Renato Vicente , Andre C. R. Martins , Nestor Caticha

We present a model of opinion dynamics in which agents adjust continuous opinions as a result of random binary encounters whenever their difference in opinion is below a given threshold. High thresholds yield convergence of opinions towards…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Gerard Weisbuch , Guillaume Deffuant , Frederic Amblard , Jean Pierre Nadal

We investigate critical behaviors of a social contagion model on weighted networks. An edge-weight compartmental approach is applied to analyze the weighted social contagion on strongly heterogenous networks with skewed degree and weight…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-07-12 Yu-Xiao Zhu , Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Yong-Yeol Ahn

Optimizing recommender systems based on user interaction data is mainly seen as a problem of dealing with selection bias, where most existing work assumes that interactions from different users are independent. However, it has been shown…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-07-04 Norman Knyazev , Harrie Oosterhuis

We study a tractable opinion dynamics model that generates long-run disagreements and persistent opinion fluctuations. Our model involves an inhomogeneous stochastic gossip process of continuous opinion dynamics in a society consisting of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-12-03 Daron Acemoglu , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Asuman Ozdaglar

We introduce tools to capture the dynamics of three different pathways, in which the synchronization of human decision-making could lead to turbulent periods and contagion phenomena in financial markets. The first pathway is caused when…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-01 Naji Massad , Jørgen Vitting Andersen

Opinions and beliefs determine the evolution of social systems. This is of particular interest in finance, as the increasing complexity of financial systems is coupled with information overload. Opinion formation, therefore, is not always…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-05 Marco D'Errico , Gulnur Muradoglu , Silvana Stefani , Giovanni Zambruno

Recommender systems daily influence our decisions on the Internet. While considerable attention has been given to issues such as recommendation accuracy and user privacy, the long-term mutual feedback between a recommender system and the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2015-08-10 An Zeng , Chi Ho Yeung , Matus Medo , Yi-Cheng Zhang

We study how a behavior (an idea, buying a product, having a disease, adopting a cultural fad or a technology) spreads among agents in an a social network that exhibits segregation or homophily (the tendency of agents to associate with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-11-02 Matthew O. Jackson , Dunia Lopez-Pintado

The recent availability of huge high resolution datasets on human activities has revealed the heavy-tailed nature of the interevent time distributions. In social simulations of interacting agents the standard approach has been to use…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-24 Juan Fernández-Gracia , Víctor M. Eguíluz , Maxi San Miguel

The influence of a fixed number of agents with the same fixed behavior on the dynamics of the minority game is studied. Alternatively, the system studied can be considered the minority game with a change in the comfort threshold away from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 M. A. R. de Cara , F. Guinea