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One of the tasks of the Bayesian inverse problem is to find a good estimate based on the posterior probability density. The most common point estimators are the conditional mean (CM) and maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimates, which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-29 Martin Burger , Yiqiu Dong , Federica Sciacchitano

This paper is a review of a particular approach to the method of maximum entropy as a general framework for inference. The discussion emphasizes the pragmatic elements in the derivation. An epistemic notion of information is defined in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-08-04 Ariel Caticha

Coping with distributional shifts is an important part of transfer learning methods in order to perform well in real-life tasks. However, most of the existing approaches in this area either focus on an ideal scenario in which the data does…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Luis Pedro Silvestrin , Shujian Yu , Mark Hoogendoorn

High-throughput characterization often requires estimating parameters and model dimension from experimental data of limited quantity and quality. Such data may result in an ill-posed inverse problem, where multiple sets of parameters and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Abigail N. Poteshman , Jiwon Yun , Tim H. Taminiau , Giulia Galli

We propose a novel numerical method for solving inverse problems subject to impulsive noises which possibly contain a large number of outliers. The approach is of Bayesian type, and it exploits a heavy-tailed t distribution for data noise…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-30 Bangti Jin

Integration against a probability distribution given its unnormalized density is a central task in Bayesian inference and other fields. We introduce new methods for approximating such expectations with a small set of weighted samples --…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Ayoub Belhadji , Daniel Sharp , Youssef M. Marzouk

Entropy based ideas find wide-ranging applications in finance for calibrating models of portfolio risk as well as options pricing. The abstracted problem, extensively studied in the literature, corresponds to finding a probability measure…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-04 Santanu Dey , Sandeep Juneja , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

We propose a Bayesian inference framework to estimate uncertainties in inverse scattering problems. Given the observed data, the forward model and their uncertainties, we find the posterior distribution over a finite parameter field…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Ana Carpio , Sergei Iakunin , Georg Stadler

Unnormalized (or energy-based) models provide a flexible framework for capturing the characteristics of data with complex dependency structures. However, the application of standard Bayesian inference methods has been severely limited…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Naruki Sonobe , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Daichi Mochihashi , Takeru Matsuda

We introduce a novel Bayesian estimator for the class proportion in an unlabeled dataset, based on the targeted learning framework. Our procedure requires the specification of a prior (and outputs a posterior) only for the target of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-26 Iván Díaz , Oleksander Savenkov , Hooman Kamel

We introduce a new incremental preference elicitation procedure able to deal with noisy responses of a Decision Maker (DM). The originality of the contribution is to propose a Bayesian approach for determining a preferred solution in a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Nadjet Bourdache , Patrice Perny , Olivier Spanjaard

We demonstrate that the principle of maximum relative entropy (ME), used judiciously, can ease the specification of priors in model selection problems. The resulting effect is that models that make sharp predictions are disfavoured,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-12-07 Brendon J. Brewer , Matthew J. Francis

Entropy Search (ES) and Predictive Entropy Search (PES) are popular and empirically successful Bayesian Optimization techniques. Both rely on a compelling information-theoretic motivation, and maximize the information gained about the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-06 Zi Wang , Stefanie Jegelka

We consider the problem of global optimization of a function f from very noisy evaluations. We adopt a Bayesian sequential approach: evaluation points are chosen so as to reduce the uncertainty about the position of the global optimum of f,…

Accurate orientation estimation is a crucial component of 3D molecular structure reconstruction, both in single-particle cryo-electron microscopy (cryo-EM) and in the increasingly popular field of cryo-electron tomography (cryo-ET). The…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-25 Sheng Xu , Amnon Balanov , Amit Singer , Tamir Bendory

We consider arbitrage free valuation of European options in Black-Scholes and Merton markets, where the general structure of the market is known, however the specific parameters are not known. In order to reflect this subjective uncertainty…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-13 Hanno Gottschalk , Elpida Nizami , Marius Schubert

A Bayesian nonparametric estimator to entropy is proposed. The derivation of the new estimator relies on using the Dirichlet process and adapting the well-known frequentist estimators of Vasicek (1976) and Ebrahimi, Pflughoeft and Soofi…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Luai Al-Labadi , Viskakh Patel , Kasra Vakiloroayaei , Clement Wan

Minimizing the Mean Squared Error (MSE) is a key objective in machine learning and is commonly used for imputing missing values. While this approach provides accurate point estimates, it introduces systematic biases in downstream analyses.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Stef van Buuren

We consider continuous-time sparse stochastic processes from which we have only a finite number of noisy/noiseless samples. Our goal is to estimate the noiseless samples (denoising) and the signal in-between (interpolation problem). By…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-11 Arash Amini , Ulugbek S. Kamilov , Emrah Bostan , Michael Unser

We study Bayesian inverse problems with mixed noise, modeled as a combination of additive and multiplicative Gaussian components. While traditional inference methods often assume fixed or known noise characteristics, real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Paul Hagemann , Robert Gruhlke , Bernhard Stankewitz , Claudia Schillings , Gabriele Steidl