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We develop a Monte Carlo-free approach to inference post output from randomized algorithms with a convex loss and a convex penalty. The pivotal statistic based on a truncated law, called the selective pivot, usually lacks closed form…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-19 Snigdha Panigrahi , Jelena Markovic , Jonathan Taylor

Polyhedral-type approximations of convex-like domains in $\mathbb{C}^d$ have been considered recently by the second author. In particular, the decay rate of the error in optimal volume approximation as a function of the number of facets has…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-24 Siva Athreya , Purvi Gupta , D. Yogeshwaran

We compute a Monte Carlo approximation of {\pi} using importance sampling with shots coming out of a Mossberg 500 pump-action shotgun as the proposal distribution. An approximated value of 3.131 is obtained, corresponding to a 0.33% error…

Popular Physics · Physics 2014-04-10 Vincent Dumoulin , Félix Thouin

We describe Monte Carlo methods for estimating lower envelopes of expectations of real random variables. We prove that the estimation bias is negative and that its absolute value shrinks with increasing sample size. We discuss fairly…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-02 Arne Decadt , Gert de Cooman , Jasper De Bock

Rotational setup errors are usually neglected in most clinical centers. An analytical formula is developed to determine the extra margin between clinical target volume (CTV) and planning target volume (PTV) to account for setup errors. The…

Medical Physics · Physics 2014-11-18 Qinghui Zhang , Weijun Xiong , M. Chan , Y. Song , C. Burman

This article studies statistical estimation of $\pi$ based on the fact that the ratio of the volumes of a $d$-dimensional hypersphere and a $d$-dimensional hypercube is a certain function of $\pi$, and the function depends on the dimension…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-10-29 Syon Bhattacharjee , Subhra Sankar Dhar

In Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations, the thermal equilibria quantities are estimated by ensemble average over a sample set containing a large number of correlated samples. These samples are selected in accordance with the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-01-08 J. Li , P. Vignal , S. Sun , V. M. Calo

Conventional Monte Carlo simulations are stochastic in the sense that the acceptance of a trial move is decided by comparing a computed acceptance probability with a random number, uniformly distributed between 0 and 1. Here we consider the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-24 Daan Frenkel , K. Julian Schrenk , Stefano Martiniani

Monte Carlo methods are used to approximate the means, $\mu$, of random variables $Y$, whose distributions are not known explicitly. The key idea is that the average of a random sample, $Y_1, ..., Y_n$, tends to $\mu$ as $n$ tends to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-16 Fred J. Hickernell , Lan Jiang , Yuewei Liu , Art Owen

Pick $d+1$ points uniformly at random on the unit sphere in $\mathbb R^d$. What is the expected value of the angle sum of the simplex spanned by these points? Choose $n$ points uniformly at random in the $d$-dimensional ball. What is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-04 Zakhar Kabluchko

Counts-in-cells are measured in the $\tau$CDM Virgo Hubble Volume simulation. This large N-body experiment has 10^9 particles in a cubic box of size 2000 h^{-1} Mpc. The unprecedented combination of size and resolution allows for the first…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 Stéphane Colombi , István Szapudi , Adrian Jenkins , Jörg Colberg

We describe and analyze some Monte Carlo methods for manifolds in Euclidean space defined by equality and inequality constraints. First, we give an MCMC sampler for probability distributions defined by un-normalized densities on such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Emilio Zappa , Miranda Holmes-Cerfon , Jonathan Goodman

Based on the central limit theorem, we discuss the problem of evaluation of the statistical error of Monte Carlo calculations using a time discretized diffusion process. We present a robust and practical method to determine the effective…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-02-22 François Delyon , Bernard Bernu , Markus Holzmann

Overlap between two neural quantum states can be computed through Monte Carlo sampling by evaluating the unnormalized probability amplitudes on a subset of basis configurations. Due to the presence of probability amplitude ratios in the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-11-28 Tomasz Szołdra

The convex hull of N independent random points chosen on the boundary of a simple polytope in R^n is investigated. Asymptotic formulas for the expected number of vertices and facets, and for the expectation of the volume difference are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-11 M. Reitzner , C. Schuett , E. M. Werner

We present a new unbiased algorithm that estimates the expected value of f(U) via Monte Carlo simulation, where U is a vector of d independent random variables, and f is a function of d variables. We assume that f does not depend equally on…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-02 Nabil Kahale

We consider the discrete three dimensional scan statistics. Viewed as the maximum of an 1-dependent stationary r.v.'s sequence, we provide approximations and error bounds for the probability distribution of the three dimensional scan…

Computation · Statistics 2013-03-18 Alexandru Amarioarei , Cristian Preda

In this paper, we re-analyze the $1^{-+}$ and $0^{++}$ light hybrids from QCD sum rules with a Monte-Carlo based uncertainty analysis. With $30\%$ uncertainties in the accepted central values for QCD condensates and other input parameters,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-06-18 Zhu-feng Zhang , Hong-ying Jin , T. G. Steele

Monte Carlo simulations are based on the manipulation of random numbers to evaluate probable outcomes, with applicability in a variety of different fields. By assigning probabilities, which can be determined a priori, to various events, it…

Physics Education · Physics 2022-01-03 Parasuraman Swaminathan

Discrepancies play an important role in the study of uniformity properties of point sets. Their probability distributions are a help in the analysis of the efficiency of the Quasi Monte Carlo method of numerical integration, which uses…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 A. F. W. van Hameren