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The spreading of an epidemic is determined by the connectiviy patterns which underlie the population. While it has been noted that a virus spreads more easily on a network in which global distances are small, it remains a great challenge to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Petermann , Paolo De Los Rios

By analysing the diffusive dynamics of epidemics and of distress in complex networks, we study the effect of the assortativity on the robustness of the networks. We first determine by spectral analysis the thresholds above which…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-26 Gregorio D'Agostino , Antonio Scala , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli

We study numerically the variability of the outbreak of diseases on complex networks. We use a SI model to simulate the disease spreading at short times, in homogeneous and in scale-free networks. In both cases, we study the effect of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Pascal Crépey , Fabián P. Alvarez , Marc Barthélemy

The spread of disease on complex networks has attracted widely attention in the physics community. Recent works have demonstrated that heterogeneous degree and weight distributions have a significant influence on the epidemic dynamics. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-22 Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Hai-Feng Zhang , Hui Gao , Younghae Do , Zong-Hua Liu

The spread of viruses in biological networks, computer networks, and human contact networks can have devastating effects; developing and analyzing mathematical models of these systems can be insightful and lead to societal benefits. Prior…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-19 Philip E. Paré , Angelia Nedić , Carolyn L. Beck

The compartmental models used to study epidemic spreading often assume the same susceptibility for all individuals, and are therefore, agnostic about the effects that differences in susceptibility can have on epidemic spreading. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-12 Daniel Smilkov , Cesar A. Hidalgo , Ljupco Kocarev

With the premise that social interactions are described by power-law distributions, we study a SIR stochastic dynamic on a static scale-free random network generated via configuration model. We verify our model with respect to deterministic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-10 Sara Sottile , Ozan Kahramanoğulları , Mattia Sensi

Vaccination is an important measure available for preventing or reducing the spread of infectious diseases. In this paper, an epidemic model including susceptible, infected, and imperfectly vaccinated compartments is studied on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Xiao-Long Peng , Xin-Jian Xu , Xinchu Fu , Tao Zhou

We study the influence of global, local and community-level risk perception on the extinction probability of a disease in several models of social networks. In particular, we study the infection progression as a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-05 Franco Bagnoli , Daniel Borkmann , Andrea Guazzini , Emanuele Massaro , Stefan Rudolph

Compartmental models of epidemics are widely used to forecast the effects of communicable diseases such as COVID-19 and to guide policy. Although it has long been known that such processes take place on social networks, the assumption of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-14 Samuel Johnson

Very often, when studying topological or dynamical properties of random scale-free networks, it is tacitly assumed that degree-degree correlations are not present. However, simple constraints, such as the absence of multiple edges and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 J. B. de Brito , C. I. N. Sampaio Filho , A. A. Moreira , J. S. Andrade

This paper considers a stochastic SIR (susceptible$\to$infective$\to$removed) epidemic model in which individuals may make infectious contacts in two ways, both within `households' (which for ease of exposition are assumed to have equal…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Frank Ball , David Sirl , Pieter Trapman

The epidemic threshold of a social system is the ratio of infection and recovery rate above which a disease spreading in it becomes an epidemic. In the absence of pharmaceutical interventions (i.e. vaccines), the only way to control a given…

We study the detailed mechanism of the failure of scale-free networks under intentional attacks. Although it is generally accepted that such networks are very sensitive to targeted attacks, we show that for a particular type of structure…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Lazaros K. Gallos , Panos Argyrakis

Epidemics have so far been mostly studied in undirected networks. However, many real-world networks, such as the social network Twitter and the WWW networks, upon which information, emotion or malware spreads, are shown to be directed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Cong Li , Huijuan Wang , Piet Van Mieghem

We study the effect of heterogeneous temporal activations on epidemic spreading in temporal networks. We focus on the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model on activity-driven networks with burstiness. By using an activity-based…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-28 Marco Mancastroppa , Alessandro Vezzani , Miguel A. Muñoz , Raffaella Burioni

Spreading of either information or matter can often be treated as a network problem. It can be of great importance to be able to estimate the likelihood that spreading through a network reaches essentially the entire network while still not…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-03-09 Tomas Alarcon , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

The epidemic threshold of a spreading process indicates the condition for the occurrence of the wide spreading regime, thus representing a predictor of the network vulnerability to the epidemic. Such threshold depends on the natural history…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-20 Eugenio Valdano , Chiara Poletto , Vittoria Colizza

We investigate the spread of an infection or other malfunction of cascading nature when a system component can recover only if it remains reachable from a functioning central component. We consider the susceptible-infected-susceptible…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-27 L. Böttcher , O. Woolley-Meza , E. Goles , D. Helbing , H. J. Herrmann

We consider an SIR epidemic model propagating on a configuration model network, where the degree distribution of the vertices is given and where the edges are randomly matched. The evolution of the epidemic is summed up into three…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-09 Laurent Decreusefond , Jean-Stéphane Dhersin , Pascal Moyal , Viet Chi Tran