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We present a method for the approximate propagation of mean and covariance of a probability distribution through ordinary differential equations (ODE) with discontinous right-hand side. For piecewise affine systems, a normalization of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Florian Messerer , Katrin Baumgärtner , Armin Nurkanović , Moritz Diehl

Let $\mathbf{a}_{ij}$, $1\leq i\leq j\leq n$, be independent random variables and $\mathbf{a}_{ji}=\mathbf{a}_{ij}$, for all $i,j$. Suppose that every $\mathbf{a}_{ij}$ is bounded, has zero mean, and its variance is given by…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Victor M. Preciado , M. Amin Rahimian

We consider the urn setting with two different objects, ``good'' and ``bad'', and analyze the number of draws without replacement until a good object is picked. Although the expected number of draws for this setting is a standard textbook…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-07 John Ahlgren

Random planar graphs have been the subject of much recent work. Many basic properties of the standard uniform random planar graph P_{n}, by which we mean a graph chosen uniformly at random from the set of all planar graphs with vertex set…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2013-07-23 Chris Dowden

First order stochastic dominance and monotone likelihood ratio are two partial orders on the $n$-probability simplex that play an important role in the establishment of structural results for MDPs and POMDPs. We study the strength of those…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Sela Fried

Given a sequence of $n$ identically distributed random variables with common distribution $F$, the \emph{fragility distribution of order $m$}, represented by $\FD$, is the limit conditional distribution of the number of exceedances given…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-06 H. L. Gan , A. Xia

In Bayesian inference, we seek to compute information about random variables such as moments or quantiles on the basis of {available data} and prior information. When the distribution of random variables is {intractable}, Monte Carlo (MC)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Alec Koppel , Amrit Singh Bedi , Brian M. Sadler , Victor Elvira

This article studies the expected occupancy probabilities on an alphabet. Unlike the standard situation, where observations are assumed to be independent and identically distributed (iid), we assume that they follow a regime switching…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Michael Grabchak , Mark Kelbert , Quentin Paris

Trait allocations are a class of combinatorial structures in which data may belong to multiple groups and may have different levels of belonging in each group. Often the data are also exchangeable, i.e., their joint distribution is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Trevor Campbell , Diana Cai , Tamara Broderick

For a random sample of points in $\mathbb{R}$, we consider the number of pairs whose members are nearest neighbors (NN) to each other and the number of pairs sharing a common NN. The first type of pairs are called reflexive NNs whereas…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-07 Selim Bahadır , Elvan Ceyhan

We consider the problem of sequential sampling from a finite number of independent statistical populations to maximize the expected infinite horizon average outcome per period, under a constraint that the expected average sampling cost does…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-01-20 Apostolos Burnetas , Odysseas Kanavetas

Unnormalized probability distributions are central to modeling complex physical systems across various scientific domains. Traditional sampling methods, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), often suffer from slow convergence, critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Vikas Kanaujia , Vipul Arora

We consider distributions of ordered random vectors with given one-dimensional marginal distributions. We give an elementary necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of such a distribution with finite entropy. In this case, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Richard Fischer

We compute the full probability distribution of the spectral form factor in the self-dual kicked Ising model by providing an exact lower bound for each moment and verifying numerically that the latter is saturated. We show that at large…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-01-04 Ana Flack , Bruno Bertini , Tomaz Prosen

We study the entropy of the distribution of the set R_n of vertices visited by a simple random walk on a graph with bounded degrees in its first n steps. It is shown that this quantity grows linearly in the expected size of R_n if the graph…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-13 David Windisch

We study eigenvalue distribution of the adjacency matrix $A^{(N,p, \alpha)}$ of weighted random bipartite graphs $\Gamma= \Gamma_{N,p}$. We assume that the graphs have $N$ vertices, the ratio of parts is $\frac{\alpha}{1-\alpha}$ and the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-12-03 Valentin Vengerovsky

Let $\mathcal{P}_n$ be the set of all probability mass functions (PMFs) $(p_1,p_2,\ldots,p_n)$ that satisfy $p_i>0$ for $1\leq i \leq n$. Define the minimum expected length function $\mathcal{L}_D :\mathcal{P}_n \rightarrow \mathbb{R}$ such…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Shivkumar K. Manickam

We take an $L_1$-dense class of functions $\Cal F$ on a measurable space $(X,\Cal X)$ together with a sequence of independent, identically distributed $X$-space valued random variables $\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n$ and give a good estimate on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Peter Major

The estimation of categorical distributions under marginal constraints summarizing some sample from a population in the most-generalizable way is key for many machine-learning and data-driven approaches. We provide a parameter-agnostic…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2023-11-17 Orestis Loukas , Ho Ryun Chung

Distributed consensus and other linear systems with system stochastic matrices $W_k$ emerge in various settings, like opinion formation in social networks, rendezvous of robots, and distributed inference in sensor networks. The matrices…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Dragana Bajovic , Joao Xavier , Jose M. F. Moura , Bruno Sinopoli