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Mast fruiting represents a synchronous population behaviour which can spread on large landscape areas. This reproductive pattern is generally perceived as a synchronous periodic production of large seed crops and has a significant practical…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-12 Ciprian Palaghianu , Marian Dragoi

We study a coarsening process of one-dimensional cell complexes. We show that if cell boundaries move with velocities proportional to the difference in size of neighboring cells, then the average cell size grows at a prescribed exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-03 Emanuel Lazar , Robin Pemantle

Numerical experiments recently discussed in the literature show that identical nonlinear chaotic systems linked by a common noise term (or signal) may synchronize after a finite time. We study the process of synchronization as function of…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-28 L. Longa , E. M. F. Curado , F. A. Oliveira

We prove the well-posedness of a differential equation that describes the evolution of the large-system limit of the empirical age measure in the mean field forest fire model of R\'ath and T\'oth (arXiv:0808.2116). This forest fire model is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Edward Crane

We present a systematic study of corrections to scaling in the self-organized critical forest-fire model. The analysis of the steady-state condition for the density of trees allows us to pinpoint the presence of these corrections, which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

Motivated by a synchronization problem in distributed computing we studied a simple growth model on regular and small-world networks, embedded in one and two-dimensions. We find that the synchronization landscape (corresponding to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 H. Guclu , G. Korniss , M. A. Novotny , Z. Toroczkai , Z. Racz

After a zero temperature quench, we study the kinetics of the one-dimensional Ising model with long-range interactions between spins at distance $r$ decaying as $r^{-\alpha}$, with $\alpha \le 1$. As shown in our recent study [SciPost Phys…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-09 Federico Corberi , Manoj Kumar , Eugenio Lippiello , Paolo Politi

We show how clustering as a general hierarchical dynamical process proceeds via a sequence of inverse cascades to produce self-similar scaling, as an intermediate asymptotic, which then truncates at the largest spatial scales. We show how…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-31 A. Gabrielov , W. I. Newman , D. L. Turcotte

Consider the following forest-fire model on the upper half-plane of the triangular lattice: Each site can be "vacant" or "occupied by a tree". At time 0 all sites are vacant. Then the process is governed by the following random dynamics:…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-10 Robert Graf

Fire is an indissoluble component of ecosystems, however quantifying the effects of fire on vegetation is challenging task as fire lies outside the typical experimental design attributes. A recent simulation study showed that under…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-16 Aristides Moustakas

Fires and rainfall are major mechanisms that regulate woody and grassy biomasses in savanna ecosystems. Conditions of long-lasting coexistence of trees and grasses have been mainly studied using continuous-time modelling of tree-grass…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-28 V. Yatat , P. Couteron , J. J. Tewa , S. Bowong , Y. Dumont

This study presents a probabilistic surrogate model for localized wildfire spread based on a conditional flow matching algorithm. The approach models fire progression as a stochastic process by learning the conditional distribution of fire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Bryan Shaddy , Haitong Qin , Brianna Binder , James Haley , Riya Duddalwar , Kyle Hilburn , Assad Oberai

We consider the one-dimensional generalized forest fire process: at each site of $\zz$, seeds and matches fall according some i.i.d. stationary renewal processes. When a seed falls on an empty site, a tree grows immediately. When a match…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-04 Xavier Bressaud , Nicolas Fournier

The objective of the present study is twofold. First, the last developments and validation results of a hybrid model designed to simulate fire patterns in heterogeneous landscapes are presented. The model combines the features of a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-02-08 Mohamed Drissi

We introduce a random finite rooted tree $\mathcal{C}$, the steady state cluster, characterized by a recursive description: $\mathcal{C}$ is a singleton with probability $1/2$ and otherwise is obtained by joining by an edge the roots of two…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Edward Crane

We investigate a forest-fire model with the density of empty sites as control parameter. The model exhibits three phases, separated by one first-order phase transition and one 'mixed' phase transition which shows critical behavior on only…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 Siegfried Clar , Klaus Schenk , Franz Schwabl

We propose a Bayesian stochastic cellular automata modeling approach to model the spread of wildfires with uncertainty quantification. The model considers a dynamic neighborhood structure that allows neighbor states to inform transition…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-07 Nicholas Grieshop , Christopher K. Wikle

In this paper we study asymptotic properties of random forests within the framework of nonlinear time series modeling. While random forests have been successfully applied in various fields, the theoretical justification has not been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Richard A. Davis , Mikkel S. Nielsen

In the mean field integrate-and-fire model, the dynamics of a typical neuron within a large network is modeled as a diffusion-jump stochastic process whose jump takes place once the voltage reaches a threshold. In this work, the main goal…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-19 Jian-Guo Liu , Ziheng Wang , Yantong Xie , Yuan Zhang , Zhennan Zhou

In the mean field integrate-and-fire model, the dynamics of a typical neuron within a large network is modeled as a diffusion-jump stochastic process whose jump takes place once the voltage reaches a threshold. In this work, the main goal…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Jian-Guo Liu , Ziheng Wang , Yantong Xie , Yuan Zhang , Zhennan Zhou