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Behavioural finance offers a valuable framework for examining foreign exchange (FX) market dynamics, including puzzles such as excess volatility and fat-tailed distributions. Yet, when it comes to their interaction with the `real' side of…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-05 Marwil J. Davila-Fernandez , Serena Sordi

Triangle fees are a novel fee structure for AMMs, in which marginal fees are decreasing in a trade's size. That decline is proportional to the movement in the AMM's implied price, i.e. for every basis point the trade moves the ratio of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-03 Rithvik Rao , Nihar Shah

The paper develops general, discrete, non-probabilistic market models and minmax price bounds leading to price intervals for European options. The approach provides the trajectory based analogue of martingale-like properties as well as a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-06 Sebastian E. Ferrando , Alfredo L. Gonzalez , Ivan L. Degano , Massoome Rahsepar

Arbitrage can arise from the simultaneous purchase and sale of the same asset in different markets in order to profit from a difference in its price. This work systematically reviews arbitrage opportunities between Automated Market Makers…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Krzysztof Gogol , Johnnatan Messias , Deborah Miori , Claudio Tessone , Benjamin Livshits

We introduce here for the first time the long-term swap rate, characterised as the fair rate of an overnight indexed swap with infinitely many exchanges. Furthermore we analyse the relationship between the long-term swap rate, the long-term…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-17 Francesca Biagini , Alessandro Gnoatto , Maximilian Härtel

We applied the SVAR-LiNGAM to illustrate the causal relationships between the spot exchange rate, and three crypto-asset exchange rates, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple. It was notable that the causal order, the EUR_USD spot…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-30 Takeshi Yoshihara , Taisei Kaizoji

We study how trading costs are reflected in equilibrium returns. To this end, we develop a tractable continuous-time risk-sharing model, where heterogeneous mean-variance investors trade subject to a quadratic transaction cost. The…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-06 Bruno Bouchard , Masaaki Fukasawa , Martin Herdegen , Johannes Muhle-Karbe

We generalize the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) to include the contribution of virtual arbitrage opportunities. We model the arbitrage return by a stochastic process. The latter is incorporated in the APT framework to calculate the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Kirill Ilinski

We study bilateral trade with interdependent values as an informed-principal problem. The mechanism-selection game has multiple equilibria that differ with respect to principal's payoff and trading surplus. We characterize the equilibrium…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-02-22 Takeshi Nishimura

Statistical arbitrage exploits temporal price differences between similar assets. We develop a framework to jointly identify similar assets through factors, identify mispricing and form a trading policy that maximizes risk-adjusted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Elliot L. Epstein , Rose Wang , Jaewon Choi , Markus Pelger

In this paper we study empirically the Forward Rate Curve (FRC) of 5 different currencies. We confirm and extend the findings of our previous investigation of the U.S. Forward Rate Curve. In particular, the average FRC follows a square-root…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Andrew Matacz , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Statistical arbitrage exploits temporal price differences between similar assets. We develop a unifying conceptual framework for statistical arbitrage and a novel data driven solution. First, we construct arbitrage portfolios of similar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Jorge Guijarro-Ordonez , Markus Pelger , Greg Zanotti

The dynamics of financial markets are driven by the interactions between participants, as well as the trading mechanisms and regulatory frameworks that govern these interactions. Decision-makers would rather not ignore the impact of other…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-02 Mahmoud Mahfouz , Angelos Filos , Cyrine Chtourou , Joshua Lockhart , Samuel Assefa , Manuela Veloso , Danilo Mandic , Tucker Balch

The Foreign Exchange (Forex) is a large decentralized market, on which trading analysis and algorithmic trading are popular. Research efforts have been focusing on proof of efficiency of certain technical indicators. We demonstrate,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-01 Nikolay Ivanov , Qiben Yan

In FX cash markets, market makers provide liquidity to clients for a wide variety of currency pairs. Because of flow uncertainty and market volatility, they face inventory risk. To mitigate this risk, they typically skew their prices to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-31 Alexander Barzykin , Philippe Bergault , Olivier Guéant

The increasing use of cryptoassets for international remittances has proven to be faster and more cost-effective, particularly for migrants without access to traditional banking. However, the inherent volatility of cryptoasset prices,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-02 Abhijit Chakraborty , Yuichi Ikeda

In recent years, the popularity of artificial intelligence has surged due to its widespread application in various fields. The financial sector has harnessed its advantages for multiple purposes, including the development of automated…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-01 Vito Alessandro Monaco , Antonio Riva , Luca Sabbioni , Lorenzo Bisi , Edoardo Vittori , Marco Pinciroli , Michele Trapletti , Marcello Restelli

In the paper, the pricing of Quanto options is studied, where the underlying foreign asset and the exchange rate are correlated with each other. Firstly, we adopt Bayesian methods to estimate unknown parameters entering the pricing formula…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-10 Lisha Lin , Yaqiong Li , Rui Gao , Jianhong Wu

We describe a new model to simulate the dynamic interactions between market price and the decisions of two different kind of traders. They possess spatial mobility allowing to group together to form coalitions. Each coalition follows a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Filippo Castiglione

The \$-Game was recently introduced as an extension of the Minority Game. In this paper we compare this model with the well know Minority Game and the Majority Game models. Due to the inter-temporal nature of the market payoff, we introduce…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 F. F. Ferreira , M. Marsili