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We study a variable length Markov chain model associated with a group of stationary processes that share the same context tree but each process has potentially different conditional probabilities. We propose a new model selection and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-01 Alexandre Belloni , Roberto I. Oliveira

We study the asymptotics of the point process induced by an interacting particle system with mean-field drift interaction. Under suitable assumptions, we establish propagation of chaos for this point process: it has the same weak limit as…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Nikolaos Kolliopoulos , Martin Larsson , Zeyu Zhang

This is one of the two papers where the optimized perturbation theory was first formulated. The other paper is published in Theor. Math. Phys. 28, 652--660 (1976). The main idea of the theory is to reorganize the perturbative sequence by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-01-29 V. I. Yukalov

We consider a general method for the approximation of the distribution of a process conditioned to not hit a given set. Existing methods are based on particle system that are failable, in the sense that, in many situations , they are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 William Oçafrain , Denis Villemonais

Stationary distributions of multivariate diffusion processes have recently been proposed as probabilistic models of causal systems in statistics and machine learning. Motivated by these developments, we study stationary multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Tobias Boege , Mathias Drton , Benjamin Hollering , Sarah Lumpp , Pratik Misra , Daniela Schkoda

We study a general class of translation invariant quantum Markov evolutions for a particle on $\bbZ^d$. The evolution consists of free flow, interrupted by scattering events. We assume spatial locality of the scattering events and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Jeremy Clark , Wojciech De Roeck , Christian Maes

The basic question in perturbation analysis of Markov chains is: how do small changes in the transition kernels of Markov chains translate to chains in their stationary distributions? Many papers on the subject have shown, roughly, that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Na Lin , Yuanyuan Liu , Aaron Smith

The aim of this article is to prove that diffusion processes in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with a drift can be approximated by suitable Markov chains on $n^{-1}\mathbb{Z}^d$. Moreover, we investigate sufficient conditions on the conductances which…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Marvin Weidner

We study a nonlinear branching diffusion process in the sense of McKean, i.e., where particles are subjected to a mean-field interaction. We consider first a strong formulation of the problem and we provide an existence and uniqueness…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Julien Claisse , Jiazhi Kang , Xiaolu Tan

The slow processes of metastable stochastic dynamical systems are difficult to access by direct numerical simulation due the sampling problem. Here, we suggest an approach for modeling the slow parts of Markov processes by approximating the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-12-03 Frank Noé , Feliks Nüske

We investigate the stability of quantum Markov processes with respect to perturbations of their transition maps. In the first part, we introduce a condition number that measures the sensitivity of fixed points of a quantum channel to…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-03-25 Oleg Szehr , Michael M. Wolf

The perturbative theory of the nucleation kinetics is analyzed. A new improvement is suggested and compared with numerical calculations.

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-01-03 Victor Kurasov

In this paper, we study the existence and uniqueness of solutions for general fractional-time parabolic equations of mixture type, and their probabilistic representations in terms of the corresponding inverse subordinators with or without…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-04 Zhen-Qing Chen

We consider a chain of anharmonic oscillators with local mean field interaction and long-range stochastic exchanges of velocity. Even if the particles are not exchangeable, we prove the convergence of the empirical measure associated with…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-07 Alejandro Fernandez Montero

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

For a class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes, the supports of the invariant measures are characterized. This is based on the analysis of controllability properties of an associated deterministic control system. Its invariant…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-05 Michel Benaïm , Fritz Colonius , Lettau Ralph

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Necessary and sufficient conditions are given for a substochastic semigroup on $L^1$ obtained through the Kato--Voigt perturbation theorem to be either stochastic or strongly stable. We show how such semigroups are related to piecewise…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2009-05-14 Marta Tyran-Kaminska

We propose a constructive approach to building temporal point processes that incorporate dependence on their history. The dependence is modeled through the conditional density of the duration, i.e., the interval between successive event…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

A general theory is developed to study individual based models which are discrete in time. We begin by constructing a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-03 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane