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Predicting future values at risk (fVaR) is an important problem in finance. They arise in the modelling of future initial margin requirements for counterparty credit risk and future market risk VaR. One is also interested in derived…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-27 Narayan Ganesan , Bernhard Hientzsch

Analytical, free of time consuming Monte Carlo simulations, framework for credit portfolio systematic risk metrics calculations is presented. Techniques are described that allow calculation of portfolio-level systematic risk measures…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-02 Mikhail Voropaev

Designing dynamic portfolio insurance strategies under market conditions switching between two or more regimes is a challenging task in financial economics. Recently, a promising approach employing the value-at-risk (VaR) measure to assign…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-23 Peyman Alipour , Ali Foroush Bastani

We consider calculation of capital requirements when the underlying economic scenarios are determined by simulatable risk factors. In the respective nested simulation framework, the goal is to estimate portfolio tail risk, quantified via…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-18 Michael Ludkovski , James Risk

The global financial crisis of 2007-2009 highlighted the crucial role systemic risk plays in ensuring stability of financial markets. Accurate assessment of systemic risk would enable regulators to introduce suitable policies to mitigate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-03 Natalia Nolde , Chen Zhou , Menglin Zhou

Basel II and Solvency 2 both use the Value-at-Risk (VaR) as the risk measure to compute the Capital Requirements. In practice, to calibrate the VaR, a normal approximation is often chosen for the unknown distribution of the yearly log…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-04 Marie Kratz

Value-at-Risk is one of the most popular risk management tools in the financial industry. Over the past 20 years several attempts to include VaR in the portfolio selection process have been proposed. However, using VaR as a risk measure in…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-19 Francesco Cesarone , Manuel L Martino , Fabio Tardella

Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) are two risk measures which are widely used in the practice of risk management. This paper deals with the problem of computing both VaR and CVaR using stochastic approximation (with…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-12-06 Olivier Aj Bardou , Noufel Frikha , G. Pagès

The value-at-risk of a delta-gamma approximated derivatives portfolio can be computed by numerical integration of the characteristic function. However, while the choice of parameters in any numerical integration scheme is paramount, in…

Applications · Statistics 2014-02-27 Johannes Vitalis Siven , Jeffrey Todd Lins , Anna Szymkowiak-Have

Risk management is very important for individual investors or companies. There are many ways to measure the risk of investment. Prices of risky assets vary rapidly and randomly due to the complexity of finance market. Random interval is a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-26 Jinping Zhang , Keming Zhang

Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) is a family of "coherent risk measures" which generalize the traditional mathematical expectation. Widely used in mathematical finance, it is garnering increasing interest in machine learning, e.g., as an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Zakaria Mhammedi , Benjamin Guedj , Robert C. Williamson

The entropic value-at-risk (EVaR) is a new coherent risk measure, which is an upper bound for both the value-at-risk (VaR) and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). As important properties, the EVaR is strongly monotone over its domain and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-17 Amir Ahmadi-Javid , Malihe Fallah-Tafti

Finance is one of the promising field for industrial application of quantum computing. In particular, quantum algorithms for calculation of risk measures such as the value at risk and the conditional value at risk of a credit portfolio have…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-01-28 Koichi Miyamoto

Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) is a prominent risk measure that is being used extensively in various domains. We develop a new formula for the gradient of the CVaR in the form of a conditional expectation. Based on this formula, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-25 Aviv Tamar , Yonatan Glassner , Shie Mannor

This paper considers the use for Value-at-Risk computations of the so-called Beta-Kotz distribution based on a general family of distributions including the classical Gaussian model. Actually, this work develops a new method for estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Jean-Michel Loubes , M Andrea Arias-Serna , Francisco Caro-Lopera

CoVaR (conditional value-at-risk) is a crucial measure for assessing financial systemic risk, which is defined as a conditional quantile of a random variable, conditioned on other random variables reaching specific quantiles. It enables the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-31 Weihuan Huang

We propose a non-asymptotic convergence analysis of a two-step approach to learn a conditional value-at-risk (VaR) and a conditional expected shortfall (ES) using Rademacher bounds, in a non-parametric setup allowing for heavy-tails on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-20 D Barrera , S Crépey , E Gobet , Hoang-Dung Nguyen , B Saadeddine

Expected Shortfall (ES) is the average return on a risky asset conditional on the return being below some quantile of its distribution, namely its Value-at-Risk (VaR). The Basel III Accord, which will be implemented in the years leading up…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-18 Andrew J. Patton , Johanna F. Ziegel , Rui Chen

Generally, in the financial literature, the notion of quadratic VaR is implicitly confused with the Delta-Gamma VaR, because more authors dealt with portfolios that contains derivatives instruments. In this paper, we postpone to estimate…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jules Sadefo Kamdem

The issue of model risk in default modeling has been known since inception of the Academic literature in the field. However, a rigorous treatment requires a description of all the possible models, and a measure of the distance between a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-17 Roberto Fontana , Elisa Luciano , Patrizia Semeraro